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U.S. Department of State 95/11/27 Interview: PBS-TV "Newshour with Jim Lehrer" Office of the Spokesman U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE Office of the Spokesman ____________________________________________________________________ For Immediate Release November 27, 1995 INTERVIEW OF SECRETARY OF STATE WARREN CHRISTOPHER BY JIM LEHRER - PBS-TV "NEWSHOUR WITH JIM LEHRER" Washington, D. C. November 27, 1995 MR. LEHRER: Now to Secretary of State Christopher for a "Newsmaker" interview. Mr. Secretary, welcome. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, thank you. MR. LEHRER: First, just for the record, is the peace agreement holding as we speak tonight? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Yes. I think it's holding quite well. Certainly the cessation of hostilities seems to be holding, and I think we're on schedule, on track, Jim. Just about what we expected from the outcome of Dayton seems to be taking place in Bosnia. MR. LEHRER: What about the complaint of the Bosnian Serbs about Sarajevo? Is that a serious problem? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: I think it's not unexpected, Jim. When you have an agreement that was as hard fought as this one was in Dayton -- you know, the situation in Dayton was really as difficult as I've ever seen it; the tensions were overt, really the hostility was very deep-seated - - so it's not surprising when an agreement is reached, compromises are made, that some of the people in Bosnia are going to be unhappy about it. I think we're seeing some of that in Sarajevo, but the result there is the best one for the long run -- a unified city -- and I look to the Bosnian Government to give reassurance to the Serbs there in Bosnia that they really expect them to live in a condition of peace and tranquillity. MR. LEHRER: One of the concerns, apparently, is that the agreement also calls for the Muslims to be armed and that that is what has got the Serbs there concerned. Is that a legitimate concern? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Let me say about the agreement itself, Jim. It has very strong arms control provisions. We expect to try to create some equilibrium in the country through arms control and through a build-down. Only if that's unsuccessful will we resort to rearming the Bosnians in order to create a situation where there's an equilibrium, where they are not really a target for others. We'd really like to see this done, as I say, though, by arms control and by building down. MR. LEHRER: So when the Bosnian Serb commander says, as he did in our news summary just now, "We're not going anywhere, because we're here to protect our people," he's wrong about that. He's going somewhere some time, is he not, if this thing holds? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: He absolutely is. Let me just put that in a little broader context. As you probably know, President Milosevic of Serbia was authorized to negotiate not just for Serbia but for the Bosnian Serbs as well. He came with the direct authorization to that effect. Moreover, his delegation in Dayton had some Bosnian Serbs on it. One of the last things I talked to President Milosevic about was trying to get the Bosnian Serbs actually to initial the agreement themselves. He told me he would do it within ten days. He gave me a letter to that effect. I was very pleased when that was done within two days. So that's why I say I think things are on track. There's going to be some difficulties ahead, but we do not expect any massive resistance, any resistance from an army. There will be perhaps some scattered incidents of rogue elements that try to resist; but I think when they see the strength of the NATO forces which we expect to deploy there, they'll have second thoughts about their resistance. MR. LEHRER: Speaking of resistance, what's your reading tonight of the resistance within the Congress to sending U.S. troops -- the 20,000 troops that would be part of a 60,000-NATO peacekeeping force? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: We have certainly a difficult task of persuading the Congress to go ahead on this. But I see some improvement. The President will make a very important speech tonight spelling out the American leadership interests, the American vital interests, the American values that are at stake here. I think as we go through these next several days -- couple of weeks, perhaps -- you'll see some movement in Congress. Although it will be a difficult task of persuasion, I believe it will be successful. I strongly believe that. MR. LEHRER: Mr. Secretary, explain -- a lot of people don't understand why 20,000 U.S. troops are so crucial. If you have 60,000 troops, what does it matter whether 20,000 of them are Americans or whether they're British or French or whatever? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, this is a job that only NATO can do. Only NATO has the professionalism, has the kind of troops that can do it. The United States is critical to NATO. We're the leader in NATO, so NATO is not going to do this without the United States participation on the ground. MR. LEHRER: But why? Why will they not do this without the U.S. participation on the ground? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Because we're the leader of NATO; because our troops are essential to doing this job well. Our logistics are essential. I think that the European countries simply will not think we're serious about this. They will not be prepared to undertake the sacrifices themselves unless we're in it with them, and certainly we ought to be, Jim. After all, we are the leaders of NATO. The leader can't walk away from this. As a matter of fact, in the broader sense here, look what's happened. This is a horrific war in Bosnia: 250,000 people have been killed; two million refugees. With United States leadership, we began to reverse the course in August. United States leadership produced a massive bombing campaign that told the Serbs we meant business. We got a cease- fire. We produced an agreement that there would be a single multi- ethnic country; and then in Dayton we were able to persuade the parties, the three leaders there, to enter into quite a remarkably detailed and comprehensive peace agreement. This is no time for the United States to talk away from this situation. I can't imagine what the world would think of us if we've led this far and if we don't follow through. Jim, we simply can't shrink from this obligation we have, this opportunity we have to complete the task, to get a real peace in Bosnia which will be, as I say, very important for United States interests as well as United States values. MR. LEHRER: But what do you say, Mr. Secretary, to the people who say, "Wait a minute, this is not a United States problem. This is a European problem. We had no business being over there in the first place, no business negotiating this peace, no business getting this committed to begin with?" SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, European problems are very important to the United States. We have economic and political and social interests in Europe. Twice before in this century, we have been drawn into European wars with tens of thousands of casualties, hundreds of thousands of men. This commitment of 20,000 men into a peacekeeping endeavor is a good investment to prevent us from being drawn into, once again, a major war in Europe. If we were to fail at this point, Jim, if we were to come this far and then turn back from it, it seems quite clear to me that the violence would spread, the war would break out and it would very likely extend to other parts of Europe. That would destabilize Europe and might produce as well a situation where we would be drawn into a real war. We're going there not in a war situation but in a peace situation. So the real choice, in a sense, Jim, is a choice between war and peace. We've got an opportunity for peace. We must take it. MR. LEHRER: Several members of Congress -- members of the U.S. Senate, in particular -- have said over the weekend that the case has not been made for the spilling of one ounce of blood by any young American in that place called Bosnia. Do you agree with them? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: We're in the course of making that case, Jim. The President's speech tonight will be very important. He'll be meeting with Congressional leaders tomorrow. This is an on-going process. But I think there is an extremely strong case for United States involvement. When the American troops go in, of course, they're best trained, best equipped -- the best troops, probably, in history. We'll do everything we can to minimize the possibility of any casualties. But no operation of that kind is entirely risk free. So there is some possibility of that; but it is a very good investment to keep us from having far greater risks, the possibility of far greater casualties in the future. MR. LEHRER: Is it just a simple fact, Mr. Secretary, that there would be no peace agreement without the pledge that you and the President gave of the use of 20,000 troops for a peacekeeping force? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: There's no question in my mind. There would have been no agreement in Dayton without the United States involvement. There will be no peace without the United States involvement in implementation. The parties made it clear to me in Dayton that the United States commitment of being involved in the implementation force was crucial. Certainly, it's crucial to the Bosnian Government. MR. LEHRER: Why did you and the President elect not to go to Congress before that pledge was made in Dayton? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, I testified extensively before the Dayton agreement. I found that I was getting a lot of questions that could only be answered from the agreement. Now, we've got a solid, comprehensive agreement. When we go back to testify on Capitol Hill, which we'll probably do later this week, we'll have something to point to. So I think it was necessary to have the agreement which provides the foundation for asking the Congress for support. MR. LEHRER: One of the other things the members of Congress want is an exit date. Secretary Perry has been rather specific in the last couple of days: In eight or nine months a withdrawal would begin; all gone within a year. Can you be that precise? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: The military estimates are, Jim, that this job will require about a year to do. That's what we're going on; and I think it's very healthy to set an exit date, an approximate exit date, because it helps avoid mission creep. It helps, you know, that what we're there to do is implement the military provisions of the peace agreement. MR. LEHRER: But what if you're a troublemaker over there and, you know, "Well, the Americans are going to get out of here in a year. Why not hold our fire until they get out, and then we can really make our mischief." SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Of course, I've heard that argument a number of times. They made it in connection with the situation in Haiti and the American multinational force was withdrawn. We'll be withdrawing our force on schedule in Haiti as well. There are means to deal with that kind of troublemaker. MR. LEHRER: All right, speaking of Haiti. President Aristide hinted over the weekend that he might not leave as scheduled in February. What's going on there, Mr. Secretary? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, there will be an election there on the 17th of December to choose a new President. That new President will be inaugurated on the 7th of February. President Aristide has assured us that he will follow the constitution which requires that he not run this time; that there will be a new President on the 7th of (February.) There have been several clarifying statements today, indicating that President Aristide will stick by the constitution and follow that schedule. In recent days, he assured my colleague, Tony Lake, the National Security Adviser, that he will be following the constitution and following his pledge. MR. LEHRER: And you consider that pledge -- the United States considers that pledge iron-clad. There was no way out of this for him, is that right? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: That's right. But, of course, that's a pledge that he has taken some time ago. He said -- and I thought so eloquently -- it's the second election in a new democracy that's so important. I think he's going to live up to that. He's given us no reason otherwise. But I want to emphasize, Jim, that it's the constitution that he is looking to primarily. He's looking to that because he thinks that's right for his country and right for his people. MR. LEHRER: Not necessarily the deal with the United States? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: That's right. MR. LEHRER: What is causing this sudden surge of boat people, of people leaving Haiti, risking their lives to get out? There's been 1,000, as I reported, just this past week. What's going on down there? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Of course, there is still very serious economic deprivation in the country. If I had to guess, I would guess a number of those people are driven by economic concerns. There has been an upsurge in violence but not nearly the kind of violence that we've seen there in the past. But if I had to guess, I would guess it's mainly a desire to come to the United States, which they'll not be permitted to do, of course. MR. LEHRER: The thing's not falling apart, is it, Mr. Secretary? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: I do not think things are falling apart. I think we've had some incidents in the last few days; but I think the election will go forward on schedule, and we'll see a Haiti which will continue to have problems, because it's had 200 years of one kind of deprivation after another. I think things are going forward, but I wouldn't say that we shouldn't expect some difficulty in the future. There will be difficulty for many years as that country tries to repair itself. MR. LEHRER: And the United States is going to remain involved? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: The United States will certainly remain involved from the standpoint of our aid. Our United Nations troops will leave on the 7th of February. United States troops are part of those. But we'll continue to be involved in trying to assist the development of their economy, which, of course, is crucial. MR. LEHRER: Mr. Secretary, thank you very much. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Thank you, Jim.To the top of this page