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U.S. Department of State 95/10/05 Interview: MacNEIL/LEHRER Newshour Office of the Spokesman U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE Office of the Spokesman For Immediate Release October 5, 1995 INTERVIEW OF SECRETARY OF STATE WARREN CHRISTOPHER ON PBS - TV "MacNEIL/LEHRER NEWSHOUR" Thursday, October 5, 1995 MR. LEHRER: We go first tonight to the Bosnia cease-fire agreement and to a "Newsmaker" interview with Secretary of State Warren Christopher. Mr. Secretary, welcome. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Thank you, Jim. MR. LEHRER: Let's begin with some basics here. The cease-fire agreement is between and among what parties? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, it's between and among the Serbians who represent the Bosnian Serbs as well and the Bosnian Government. But the Croatian -- MR. LEHRER: But just the Muslims? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: The Muslim Government. MR. LEHRER: Right. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: The Croatians also will abide by it. They're not direct parties to it. Dick Holbrooke has talked to President Tudjman, and they recognize the need for them to comply as well. MR. LEHRER: Dick Holbrooke being Assistant Secretary of State who has been mediating in this. What have these folks resolved to do? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: There've been two things that they've done today. Taken together that's a very important development. First, is a cease-fire that will last for 60 days or until the peace conference that's also contemplated is concluded. The second development, Jim, is, the parties have agreed to commence proximity peace talks here in the United States sometime around the 25th. We say around the 25th of October because the Croatian elections are involved. This means that the Presidents of those three countries -- that is, Bosnia, Serbia, and Croatia -- will be coming here for proximity peace talks. As I say, that's a major development. MR. LEHRER: "Proximity," meaning in this context, what? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, it means that they will be together on the same site, and our negotiators will be going back and forth between them leading up to the time when they will be brought together. "Proximity" means that they'll be in different locations... MR. LEHRER: But in Washington, in the same town? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Probably not in Washington. Probably outside of Washington someplace, in a location where they might have a little bit more peace and quite, a little bit more privacy. MR. LEHRER: Why won't they sit down together in the same room and get this thing over with? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: You reach a point in a negotiation where that might happen. But I think we'd like to prepare the ground. Diplomacy is hard work, Jim, and it's particularly hard work where people have been at war with each other for three years or so. There's a need to make sure that when they get together they'll reach agreement rather than having the thing blow up in smoke. MR. LEHRER: But they will all be in the United States. They will all be in the same area. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Right. MR. LEHRER: They just won't be in the same room, at least at the beginning. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Not at the beginning, but we hope to bring them together, and then the next stage that's contemplated is that after that's moved an appropriate distance -- after we see something in sight -- it will be moved to a peace conference in France. MR. LEHRER: I see. All right. Let's go back to the cease-fire. Are you confident, Mr. Secretary, that the people who actually made this agreement today can in fact deliver -- They can actually turn to their folks and say, "Okay, knock it off. This is it"? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: We have a lot of confidence in that, and let me tell you why. President Milosevic of Serbia was empowered to negotiate for the Bosnian Serbs. We've got a signed document, signed by Karadzic and Mladic, that empowers President Milosevic to negotiate for them, and he's got a lot of sway with them. On the Bosnian side, we've been very careful to contact the various elements of their government -- not only President Izetbegovic but the rest of his negotiating team; his Foreign Minister, Mr. Sacirbey, and his Prime Minister, Mr. Silajdzic. So I think we've touched the bases there. We think that there will be compliance with this cease-fire. There was a cease-fire last December, reached about the 20th of December. It held fairly well for three months. So we've got a track record here, but we'll also be asking the United Nations forces to take some action to make sure the cease-fire works. MR. LEHRER: Our folks on the foreign affairs beat today tried to count up how many cease-fires there have been in Bosnia since this thing began, the figure they came up with is somewhere between 30 and 36. Why is this one different, sir? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: One of the reasons this is different is because we've got the proximity peace talks scheduled in connection with it. We wouldn't feel very confident all we had was a cease-fire, but because we've got the talks closely related and integrated to it, it gives us more confidence. I also think that we've done a good job of letting the parties recognize the time has come to move from war to peace. There's a fatigue with the war. There's a relative correlation of the forces that gives them some incentive toward the peace talks. We're not taking anything for granted. As the President said in that excerpt that you saw, it will be deeds that count, and we're going to be watching very closely. But this is a very important extension of the initiative the President began in the middle of the summer when he came to his foreign policy team and said, "We've got to do something about this. The United States should take the lead." And we've moved from there. There's been a confluence of events that enabled us to get to this point, and a lot of cooperation from our allies in Europe and Russia. So this is one of those situations where there is no single factor, but this congery of forces finally brought us to this very hopeful point. MR. LEHRER: You said the U.N. is going to monitor this cease-fire. How are they going to do that? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: As they've done before, Jim, they will be there on the ground, able to call attention to the violations. They will also be opening the road from Sarajevo to Gorazde, which is an important element. MR. LEHRER: Why is that important? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: That's the only part of the Bosnian territory that's not contiguous with the remainder of the Bosnian territory. Opening of that road means that all the territory of the federation between Bosnia and Croatia will then be contiguous. It also means that Gorazde can be resupplied without having to use airdrops. MR. LEHRER: Moving to the next phase, assuming that the cease-fire holds -- which is a big assumption, I would think you would agree, would you not, Mr. Secretary? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: We're certainly not taking anything for granted here. It's a delicate moment. MR. LEHRER: Let's go to the second stage and to the peace talks. Is it your own view and your associates' view at the State Department, the folks who've been working on this on the ground, that these people really do want peace, or is it they have been forced to it by the United States and all the parties you just mentioned? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, this is not a compelled or coerced. This is a decision on the part of the three leaders that the time has come to see if they can't work things out. We'd feel a lot less confident if we didn't feel that they genuinely want to try to work things out. It's difficult because there are long antagonisms. But, as I say, I think fatigue, the fact that there is a relative equilibrium between the Federation and the Serbian forces give it good chance. There are a lot of difficult issues that will come into that peace conference. MR. LEHRER: Do you feel that there is a kind of, if not agreement, at least an understanding of where the territory rests now -- in other words, the control of various elements. We have a map that shows how it's all divided up now. (Map displayed on TV screen.) Muslim control there with the light color and the Croats the green, if it's a color TV, and then the stripes are the Serb controlled thing. That that's roughly -- that the parties have agreed that that's what Bosnia will look like? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Roughly so, Jim. But when we get down to considering the map, which will be one of the most difficult aspects of the proximity talks, I'm sure there might be some territorial swaps so as to make the map work better. MR. LEHRER: Okay, the map has not been agreed to by any stretch of the imagination. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: No, the map has not been agreed to, but the map is roughly the 50/50 allocation that the Contact Group recommended a year ago. MR. LEHRER: 50/50 means 50 between the Serbs -- the Serbs get one 50 and the other 50 goes to a combination between Bosnia and the Croat Federation, is that right? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Exactly. Those are entities, but they will be joined at the top by a common presidency; foreign affairs functions concentrated not in the two elements but rather in the federal government at the top; a cabinet; a constitutional court; a parliament, and so forth. Although there will be two entities and they are relatively equivalent in size, nevertheless, they will have the connective tissue of a common presidency, a cabinet and so forth. MR. LEHRER: So they will not be independent nations. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: They will not be independent nations. MR. LEHRER: And they've agreed to that. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: They've agreed to that. That's what we accomplished on the 8th of September in Geneva, that first agreement that said there will be a single Bosnia-Herzegovina, consisting of these two entities, and they will be joined together in a way that will preserve the Republic of Bosnia-Herzegovina with these two entities. Then the agreement we reached ten days ago in New York, and when I said we then would be seeking a cease-fire, that agreement provided for these governmental aspects -- that is, the presidency, the constitutional court and the parliament, and so forth. I confess to your viewers this is complicated stuff, but that's the essence of diplomacy sometimes. MR. LEHRER: Was there a magic moment in these negotiations, Mr. Secretary, or a magic idea, something that everybody said, "Okay, that's it. We can have a cease-fire. We can move this thing down the road." SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, I'd have to honestly say I think it's just a confluence of a number of events -- some welcome ones and some tragic ones. To make this happen, you probably had to have Srebrenica and Zepa which caused the international community to say, "Stop! We can't have this anymore." MR. LEHRER: This is when the Serbs went in there -- SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Yes, that's right. MR. LEHRER: -- and ran the Muslims out and a lot of atrocities -- SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: That's a terrible epic. But at the same time the Croatians' move into Sector North and Sector South has had the effect of making peace somewhat easier; what happened at the London Conference -- all against a background, I think, of President Clinton's very strong initiative. So there were a number of factors, and we have been working hard, going step by step. But today was an important day. MR. LEHRER: What about the NATO bombing? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: The NATO bombing was a major factor. Of course, it was in response to a tragedy -- that is, the loss of 30-plus lives in Sarajevo. But that galvanized the international community, and we conducted some bombing then. It wasn't simply a single bombing event. It was several days, and it had some real effect on the Serbs. MR. LEHRER: Mr. Secretary, you've been dealing with this now -- this issue of Bosnia -- since you've been Secretary of State. SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Correct. MR. LEHRER: From the very beginning. Do you have a feeling that this may finally be resolved now, or can you allow yourself to think that way? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, this is the best chance we've had. I'm a little bit superstitious. All I can say is, we're going to keep on working. I called my four fellow Foreign Ministers today. The common theme we had: Let's keep up the momentum; let's keep the pressure on; let's grab this moment. MR. LEHRER: The next moment, of course, will be the proposal to send U.S. troops in there to maintain the peace. If that happens, when would that happen? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, we have these proximity peace talks starting here in late October. That will take some time, and, hopefully, we can move to a peace conference in Europe. After that, would come time for implementation. I can't tell you when that would be, but NATO is doing the planning. Secretary Perry is going to Europe this weekend to meet with the Russian Defense Minister to try to find the right way to incorporate the Russians into this process; a dignified proper role for them, but without interfering with NATO command and control. That would happen after the peace conference, when there is a an agreement. As I've said, we would not begin to try to implement until there was a real peace to implement. MR. LEHRER: The President is still committed to sending 20,000 to 25,000 U.S. troops in there? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: The President is committed to playing our proper role in NATO. The numbers haven't been decided on yet. We're going to have to see the shape of peace. But we're going to do our part in NATO, Jim, and it would be a tragedy if we didn't. I think it might undermine the fundamental purpose of NATO if NATO went in and we wouldn't go along. Also, I just have to tell you that the parties will not agree in my judgment to make peace here unless they know the United States is going help to implement it. MR. LEHRER: Why? Why not? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: They've got a lot of confidence in the United States. They look to the United State for the leadership. They think if we're involved in the implementation of this, that if we're there on the ground, people are not likely to violate it. MR. LEHRER: Senator Dole and other members of Congress, including some Democrats, at least publicly at this point, are opposed or skeptical about the idea of the introduction of U.S. ground forces in this. How big a problem is that going to be? Are you going to ask permission of Congress for this? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: We'd certainly welcome their support. As a practical matter, we need their support because they have the purse strings. We have an obligation to explain to them exactly what is going on and explain to the American people. The President began that process last Friday, and I think he got a good reception. Congress listened to a very careful briefing very intently. We're going to be moving down that road. We know we've got a job of convincing to do. So many people in Congress have been telling us, "Do something about this problem." Now, we've got an opportunity. I don't think they'll want to thwart us at that point. MR. LEHRER: So you think you can win the support of Congress? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: It will be a tough job, but I think we ought to be able to win the support of Congress. This is a time when we've got a great opportunity. I just can't imagine the United States at that critical moment would turn its back on it and not grasp this opportunity. MR. LEHRER: What about the public? One of the things that members of Congress say is, "Hey, the President has not made the case to the American people for putting U.S. young men and women on the ground in Bosnia." SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: We're beginning to make that case. I think we're beginning to get a good deal of support from the American people. One of the things that caused us to say, "The United States has got to take the leadership" is that the American people began to sense that here was a problem that was getting out of control in Europe -- and Europe has always been very important to us. I think we'll be able to convince the American people of the importance of this as long as we do it carefully, as long as we do it with our traditional NATO allies, as long as we go in in a strong way that we'll do everything we can to minimize any dangers or casualties. MR. LEHRER: Mr. Secretary, finally, before you go, I want to change subjects on you dramatically. Late today there was a White House source story which said tomorrow there was going to be an announcement about some overtures toward Cuba. What is that all about? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, I don't want to scoop the President. The President is going to make a very important speech tomorrow. Basically, the speech is going to be about the importance of American engagement and, indeed, for resources to back up that engagement. Let me just say with respect to Cuba, we have essentially a two-track policy on Cuba. The first track is to maintain and stiffen the embargo to try to produce political and economic reform. But the other track of that is to try to increase communication between the United States and the people of Cuba. I think there will be something in the President's speech about increasing communication between the people of the United States and the people of Cuba. MR. LEHRER: Student exchanges -- things like that; business? No trade? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, there will be no trade. As I say, I think you'll understand if I don't want to scoop the President here on your program tonight, nice as that might be. MR. LEHRER: But it's a big deal? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: It's an important part. The main theme of the speech, I think, is what I hope people will register. And that is, we need to have resources to back up our leadership. Many in Congress have wanted us to lead but they've not been willing to put up the resources. I think that's the main theme of the President's speech. MR. LEHRER: I said that was going to be the last one, but there's one other. You met today -- and here, again, your folks did here at the State Department -- with representatives of Syria, trying to move their talks with Israel along. The Syrian representative said nothing happened; there was no progress? You agree with that? SECRETARY CHRISTOPHER: Jim, I conducted those meetings myself. I had to shift gears a little bit in the middle of the day today, after a long night and day on Bosnia. I had a good talk with Foreign Minister Shara, who was here in town for meetings at the U.N. We explored various ways to resume the peace talks between Israel and Syria. We talked about my possible visit to the region. There wasn't any dramatic outcome of the meeting. That doesn't mean we didn't make some progress. As I say, diplomacy is hard work and you go one step at a time. You try to hit singles. Today, I think, on Bosnia we got a double. It's hard work. You just have to keep pressing. MR. LEHRER: Mr. Secretary, that really was my last question. Thank you very much. Good to see you again.To the top of this page