U.S. Department of State
Dispatch, Volume 7, Number 45, November 4, 1996
Bureau of Public Affairs
ARTICLES IN THIS ISSUE:
1. The Enduring Importance of American Engagement in the Asia-Pacific
Region--Anthony Lake
2. Inauguration of the Central Asia Institute--James F. Collins
3. Transatlantic Relations and the Future of European Security--William
J. Crowe, Jr.
Article 1:
The Enduring Importance of American Engagement in the Asia-Pacific
Region
Anthony Lake, Assistant to the President For National Security Affairs
Remarks to the Japan-America Society, Washington, DC, October 23, 1996
Tonight, I want to speak with you about the enduring importance of
American engagement in the Asia-Pacific region. The United States has
been a Pacific power since the first China Clippers and the U.S. Navy's
Pacific Squadron set sail from our shores almost two centuries ago. By
the time of the Second World War, countless Americans had traveled
across an ocean that Herman Melville called the tide-beating of the
earth--many to make fortunes, some to save souls, but all to swell a
two-way flow of commerce and culture that helped to strengthen and
enrich our country. After the war, our leaders understood that America's
future would not be secure if Asia's was imperiled. Our military
presence provided the stability that gave Asian nations the chance to
build thriving economies. In turn, America benefited from strong
security ties with our allies and partners, growing economic links and
the talent and drive of millions of Asian immigrants.
President Clinton came into office determined to renew and reinforce our
commitment to remain a Pacific power. Today, we are a Pacific power. We
have maintained about 100,000 troops across the Pacific--just as we
maintain about 100,000 troops in Europe. We have revitalized our
alliance with Japan--the cornerstone of our engagement--for the
challenges of a new century. We have acted decisively to preserve
stability, sending our carriers to calm the seas off Taiwan and our
Apache helicopters and Patriot missiles to keep the peace on the Korean
Peninsula. We have opened a new chapter in our relations with Vietnam,
while working for the fullest possible accounting of the Americans
missing there. And we have advanced an ambitious diplomatic agenda
across Asia--strengthening democracy, spurring economic integration,
launching regional security talks, helping American businesses, and
protecting the health and welfare of American citizens.
We will continue to be a Pacific power--not because we are sentimental
moralists, but because we have cold, hard interests in a region that
accounts for half the world's people, much of its resources, a quarter
of its goods and services, and most of its biggest militaries. Our
security and prosperity depend on our engagement where the interests of
so many powers converge--and where we fought three wars in the last
half-century. An American withdrawal would create an unhealthy vacuum.
It could kindle arms races from Northeast Asia to the South China Sea.
It could make us more vulnerable to new threats like the spread of
weapons of mass destruction, terrorists who plot to blow up American
airliners, and criminal gangs that export illegal aliens and import
stolen cars. It could slow the proud march of Asia's newest democracies
to a crawl. And it could shut us out of the world's most vibrant
markets, harming 40% of our trade and over 2 million of our jobs, and
hurting our chances to benefit from more than $1 trillion in Asian
infrastructure projects alone over the next decade. In short, just as
America's strength at home continues to depend on our engagement in
Europe, we also must be either a Pacific power or no power at all.
But power is not an end in itself. We must answer the fundamental
question about the purpose of our power--the power of our military and
our diplomacy, the power of our ideals and example, the power of our
economy.
Let me tell you what I told the Asian leaders with whom I met on my
recent trip in the region. With the end of the Cold War, the purpose of
our power in the Pacific is stability. Our victory in what President
Kennedy called our long, twilight struggle has left us with no single,
overarching foe to contain, and we are in no hurry to create a new one.
We must and will always be prepared to defend our interests, whether in
the Asia-Pacific region, Europe, or elsewhere around the globe. But as
we defend those interests or respond to crises, diplomatically or
militarily, we must also pursue our strategic vision of how to build a
world where our people can prosper in peace.
Today, Asia faces a choice between two global visions for the 21st
century. The first is a return to the zero-sum politics of the 19th
century--a world where great powers are permanent rivals, acting as
though what was good for one power was, by definition, detrimental to
another. The second is a world where great powers act to increase
cooperation, avert chaos, and strengthen economic growth, while
preserving the balances of power that preserve the peace.
As the world's most powerful nation, the United States will survive and
prosper under either vision. But in a world grown closer, both the costs
of conflict and the rewards of cooperation have risen. That is why we
are convinced that the second vision holds greater benefits for the
American people. This vision is driven by interests, not altruism. It
serves our national interest if great powers can work together to
establish global norms in areas such as trade, non-proliferation, and
the environment, and join in combating common threats such as terrorism
and international crime. Establishing these rules of the road will help
promote the stability that benefits us all. And we want to work with
Asia's leaders as those rules are developed.
President Clinton laid out his vision of an Asia-Pacific community built
on shared efforts, shared benefits, and shared destiny when he traveled
to Japan and Korea in July 1993--his first trip overseas as President.
By working together over the last four years to strengthen the region's
unprecedented stability, we are laying the groundwork for a true
regional community.
Our efforts to promote greater stability have taken three forms:
strengthening our alliances, deepening our engagement with China, and
enlarging the region's community of democracies.
First, we have revitalized our alliances and maintained our forward-
deployed forces because we share the view of almost every country in
Asia that a strong, American security presence remains the bedrock for
regional stability.
To strengthen the U.S.-Japan alliance, President Clinton and Prime
Minister Hashimoto signed a new charter last April that will benefit all
the nations of Asia. Since 1952, our security ties have been essential
to creating the stable environment that has enabled countries in the
region to focus more on their economies than their arsenals. Japan's
continued support for our military presence and closer links between our
armed forces will maintain those conditions and enable us to deepen our
cooperation on behalf of peace and stability. We have also worked
together to ease the burden of our bases in Okinawa without weakening
our forces.
Our alliance with a democratic and prosperous Japan is one of the great
success stories of the last half-century. Together, we are supporting
peace in the Middle East and Bosnia, reform in Russia, and the
consolidation of democracy in Haiti. And through our Common Agenda, we
are global partners in the fight to preserve the environment and halt
scourges such as AIDS. We look forward to working with Japan's new
government to ensure that our alliance's next five decades are as
successful as its last.
With our ally, South Korea, we are working to reduce the tensions on the
Korean Peninsula that threaten all of Northeast Asia. Working with South
Korea, Japan, and China, our determined diplomacy has stopped North
Korea's dangerous nuclear program in its tracks and put it on the path
to eventual dismantlement. As I speak, its facilities remain frozen
under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency, whose
technicians are on the ground canning spent fuel for shipment out of the
country. President Clinton and President Kim Young Sam have proposed
four-party talks that have the potential to close one of the Cold War's
last open chapters and lead to a permanent peace on the peninsula.
We have also reinforced our alliances with Australia, the Philippines,
and Thailand--and President Clinton looks forward to deepening those
ties when he visits each of these countries next month. We have
magnified the power of our forward-deployed forces by expanding our
access to military facilities with ASEAN nations such as Singapore. And
we have begun building a new architecture for regional security
cooperation. While we have not tried to create carbon copies of European
institutions such as NATO and the OSCE, we have worked with our allies
and partners in Asia to open security dialogues that will strengthen our
ability to confront common challenges. These initiatives are already
helping to defuse tensions in the South China Sea and to dispel distrust
across the region.
A second key element of regional stability is our engagement with China.
With its emergence as a great power, China will play a central role in
deciding whether the next century is one of cooperation or zero-sum
rivalry and conflict. As President Clinton has said, a secure, stable,
open, and prosperous China--in other words, a strong China--is in our
interest. We welcome China to the great powers table. But great powers
also have great responsibilities.
Our cooperation is essential to security in the Asia-Pacific region and
around the world. We worked closely with China to secure passage of the
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty last month and the indefinite extension of
the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty last year. We have cooperated to
consolidate peace in Cambodia and ensure stability on the Korean
Peninsula.
As you know, this spring presented real challenges to all of us who
believe in the importance of constructive U.S.-China relations--chief
among them China's military exercises in the Taiwan Strait. By sending
two carrier groups to the area, we made clear that any use of force
against Taiwan would have grave consequences. We also reiterated our
commitment to our one-China policy and encouraged both sides to resume
the dialogue that is essential to a peaceful resolution of their
differences.
Our clear understanding of each other's position on Taiwan, together
with strong progress in other areas, has restored the positive momentum
to our relationship. When I traveled to Beijing this July, I found
China's leadership clearly eager to expand our strategic dialogue. Since
then, we have held important high-level talks on non-proliferation and
trade. Of course, the United States and China will continue to have
important differences, especially in areas such as human rights, where
China's recent conduct has been of particular concern. But we agree that
the best way to manage those differences is through engagement, not
pervasive confrontation--building agreement where our interests converge
and dealing frankly where they do not. We will have the opportunity to
make further headway next month, when Secretary Christopher will travel
to Beijing and President Clinton will meet with President Jiang Zemin at
the APEC Leaders' Meeting in Manila.
The third key element of regional stability is democracy and human
rights. Put simply, open societies make for better neighbors. Whether in
the Asia-Pacific region or around the world, history shows that
governments that abuse their citizens at home are also more likely to
provoke conflicts or cause problems beyond their borders, whether by
spawning refugees, sheltering narcotics traffickers, or damaging the
global environment.
Of course, we promote the rule of law and human rights not just because
it advances our interest in stability, but because doing so is true to
our ideals as Americans. Democracy comes in many forms. We do not seek
to impose our own vision on others. Indeed, the democratic odyssey of
countries from Mongolia to Thailand demonstrates that the desire for
political freedom is a home-grown commodity, not an American export.
Across Asia and around the world, we will continue to speak out on
behalf of those who defend universally recognized rights. We will
continue to push repressive regimes in places like Burma to pursue
national reconciliation and genuine political dialogue. And we will
continue to assist new democracies like Cambodia by encouraging the
development of political parties and political institutions.
By using our power to promote stability, we accomplish two goals.
-- First, we help hundreds of millions of people to live what President
Clinton has called the quiet miracle of a normal life. Thanks to
America's efforts, the Pacific has finally begun to live up to its name.
In Cambodia, farmers can till fields that once yielded only death and
destruction. In South Korea, schoolchildren can worry more about their
exams than about war. And in Thailand, one of the biggest threats that a
thriving democratic middle class now faces are traffic jams.
-- Second, in promoting stability, we spur the economic progress that
benefits all our businesses and workers. Freed from the threat of war
and inspired by a greater stake in their futures, the peoples of an
Asia-Pacific region at peace have propelled their nations into the front
ranks of economic growth.
Now, our economic strategy is enlarging the shared stake that we have in
sustaining that growth. The United States is working to encourage the
free flow of trade and investment that is creating jobs and
opportunities for Americans, fueling Asia's high-octane economies, and
uniting nations across the Pacific in the common pursuit of prosperity.
President Clinton came into office determined to create an open global
trading system for the 21st century--a goal that we will advance this
December at the first meeting of the new World Trade Organization in
Singapore. Decades from now, people will look back on this period as a
time of revolutionary change in the world trading system. The more than
200 trade agreements that we have negotiated have helped to create more
than 1 million new American jobs and to restore our status as the
world's biggest exporter.
Nowhere has our strategy been more important--or more successful--than
in Asia, home to the world's most dynamic economies and some of our most
important trading partners. As the world's two largest economies, the
United States and Japan have a special responsibility to uphold the goal
of open trade. And we are. Our 22 trade agreements with Japan--covering
everything from medical parts and auto parts to rice--have raised our
exports in those areas by 85%. They have also helped to reduce our
overall trade deficit by 10% last year--the first decline since 1990.
And the deficit for the first seven months of the year is nearly 30%
lower than for the same period in 1995. Now we are working to ensure
full implementation of those agreements, as well as to resolve our
differences in other important areas.
It is also in our strategic interest to ensure the smooth integration of
China--now our fastest-growing export market and soon to be the world's
largest economy--into the global trading system. Our economic engagement
is bringing down barriers to our products and protecting our
intellectual property. Now we are working to bring China into the World
Trade Organization on commercially viable terms. That is the best way to
ensure that China lives by the economic rules of the road and has the
opportunity to help set those rules. Because China will have an enormous
impact on the future of the global economic system, it is especially
important that it lives up to the standards of openness and transparency
that the WTO requires of all its members.
We also have a strong interest in supporting open trade with the ASEAN
nations--now our third-largest export market. Our two-way trade has
expanded nearly 50% over the last two years, reaching more than $100
billion in 1995.
But increasingly, it is the ambitious regional efforts that we have
launched--from NAFTA and the Free Trade Area of the Americas to APEC--
that are spearheading the drive toward a world where the flow of trade
and investment is limited only by our imaginations. Three years ago,
President Clinton set out a bold vision of regional economic integration
at the first historic APEC Leaders' Meeting in Seattle--a vision given
life by the landmark commitment the leaders made one year later to
achieve free trade and investment in the region by the year 2020. Next
month in Manila, we will set out plans to achieve that goal, as well as
work to strengthen regional financial institutions and
preserve our shared environment.
At this year's APEC Leaders' Meeting and on each stop along his trip,
President Clinton will also deliver a simple message--loud and clear:
The United States will remain a Pacific power. The interests that compel
our engagement have grown. And our determination to create a community
of shared efforts, shared benefits, and shared destiny is stronger than
it has ever been.
The advances that we have already made attest to the remarkable fast-
forwarding of history in the Asia-Pacific region over the last half-
century. Some of its nations have risen from the ruins of war and
tyranny to the heights of peace and democracy. Many have transformed
themselves from colonialism's oldest outposts to capitalism's newest
frontiers. And almost all have succeeded in offering their people a
future much brighter than their past. This dramatic progress was
profoundly in America's interest, and we were there to support and
encourage it every step of the way.
Now, on the edge of a new era and the brink of a new millennium,
American leadership in the Asia-Pacific region is essential to security,
prosperity, and freedom not just across an ocean but around the world.
As we strive to advance our global interests, how well we respond to the
challenges of what some call the Pacific century will determine whether
it will be an American century as well.
(###)
Article 2:
Inauguration of the Central Asia Institute
James F. Collins, Special Adviser to the Secretary For the New
Independent States
Remarks before foreign policy/Central Asia experts, Johns Hopkins School
of Advanced International Studies, Washington, DC, October 21, 1996
I want to thank Paul Wolfowitz and Fred Starr for including me on the
occasion of the opening of the Central Asia Institute. Deputy Secretary
Strobe Talbott very much regrets he could not join you and asked me to
convey his very best wishes to all of you as you open the new Institute,
which he and we believe will be doing very important work
My first message today is that all of us in the government's foreign
policy community unreservedly and enthusiastically welcome the founding
of this Institute. It will bring needed new emphasis and focus in the
scholarly and policy community to issues of a region in which the United
States has important and growing interests.
The five states of Central Asia present special challenges and
paradoxes. While possessing great natural resources, they ranked among
the poorest and least-developed of the former Soviet republics at the
time of independence. Despite its Silk Road heritage and position at an
historic crossroad of European and Asian civilizations, the region was
the most isolated in the U.S.S.R. at the time that empire broke apart.
Proud founders of great Islamic centers of faith and scholarship whose
ranks included the great physician and philosopher Avicenna and the
astronomer Ulu Beg, the Central Asians are today challenged to define
anew the relationship between religion and the state after more than 70
years of enforced atheism.
In engaging these new nations, America's challenge has been to promote
modern, tolerant states and societies which can work productively with
us in support of shared interests. We have defined the following U.S.
objectives in the New Independent States (NIS) which we have tailored to
meet the specific needs of the rich and complex region of Central Asia:
-- Support for the independence, sovereignty, and security of each of
the Central Asian states.
-- Assistance in the establishment of free-market economies and
democratic governments committed to equal opportunity and human rights
for their citizens.
-- Integration of these states into the world community of political and
financial institutions, as well as their participation in the Euro-
Atlantic security dialogue and cooperative programs.
-- Encouragement of these states to pursue peaceful relations among
themselves and with their neighbors to seek new avenues for regional
cooperation, and to resolve local conflicts with international
mediation.
-- Prevention of any trafficking in weapons of mass destruction or their
elements across this region or its borders. The departure of the last
nuclear warhead from Kazakstan in 1995 was a significant achievement in
support of non-proliferation. We all owe a debt of gratitude to the
Government of Kazakstan for their removal. Similarly, we will cooperate
on other transnational threats of terrorism, narcotics, and
environmental degradation.
-- Enhancement of U.S. commercial interests and the expansion and
diversification of global energy supplies.
This agenda is complex and demanding, but my second message is that we
are making progress throughout Central Asia in advancing it.
It is worth recalling that, at independence, there were many who doubted
whether these new states would survive. Skeptics pointed to the lack of
a national tradition in Central Asia and noted the absence of defined
national independence movements in this area. Yet, I think today we are
struck by the progress that has been made in just five years.
Integration Into International Organizations
One of our earliest goals was to assist with the introduction of these
states into the international community. We were among the first to
recognize them, to establish embassies in each of the Central Asian
nations, and to engage their governments as sovereign members of the
international community. Today, there has been significant progress
across the area. All except Tajikistan are active participants in
NATO's Partnership for Peace. All are members of the OSCE, which has
opened a regional office in Tashkent. All are exploring membership in
the World Trade Organization, and several are well on their way to
completing the process. They all welcome foreign trade and investment.
They are responsible and moderate players in the international arena.
Regional Cooperation
There are encouraging signs of increasing regional cooperation.
Kazakstan, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan for example, in addition to
developing a regular trilateral dialogue and some common financial
institutions, have formed a joint peacekeeping battalion which
participated together for the first time in August in a U.S. Partnership
for Peace exercise. Regional cooperation will also be essential in
tackling the enormous environmental problems in the area--especially the
management of water resources--whose past misuse led to the Aral Sea
catastrophe. The U.S. was the first foreign donor to provide assistance
in this area with our Aral Sea Initiative. We continue to encourage
regional cooperation on the environment. In line with Secretary
Christopher's determination to enhance our diplomatic focus on
environmental issues, we plan to establish a new State Department
regional environmental office at our embassy in Tashkent that will serve
the area. We have also taken a regional approach to economic
development.
The Central Asian American Enterprise Fund got off to the fastest start
of any of the comparable investment funds and has a significant
contribution as an effective instrument in promoting economic change. We
feel strongly that regional cooperation on topics of common concern,
such as the environment, can foster ties which will extend to other
areas as well. Such cooperation can help lessen tensions in the region
and will help to reduce the potential for conflict.
Regional Conflict
Much of the progress that Central Asians have achieved reflects the fact
that most of their societies are at peace. Tragically, the Tajiks have
been the exception and their situation underscores the need to resolve
local conflicts without violence and through political means. Denied
that benefit, the Tajiks grapple with a continuing conflict and a
fragile ceasefire that has hindered political and economic reform.
Unresolved, this conflict will place the very future of the Tajik nation
at risk. We continue to support the efforts of the UN to find an
equitable, negotiated settlement ensuring a broad-based government
essential to a lasting solution. We also support the efforts of
institutions such as the OSCE to work within Tajikistan to promote
national reconciliation. This process has been tough and painfully slow.
While the Tajik parties themselves must find the means to reach the
necessary compromises, we also hope that the regional states will
redouble their efforts to contribute to a solution.
Democratic and Economic Reform
There are still many obstacles in the quest to create democratic
societies in Central Asia. Some positive steps have been taken; the
open, multi-candidate presidential election in Kyrgyzstan is one
example. But progress here has been much slower than we would have
liked. Institutions and attitudes inherited from the past are still too
entrenched in many places.
Some in the region believe that too swift a transformation will simply
lead to instability or "Islamic extremism." One continuing point we make
is that there is no contradiction between democracy and stability. On
the contrary, pluralist, open, and tolerant societies are essential for
stability and prosperity.
We continue to assist in the area of building democracy. Our assistance
programs have emphasized the importance of democratic reform and
promoted the growth of non-governmental organizations. Thousands of
Central Asian citizens have participated in U.S. exchange programs--
educators, parliamentarians, lawyers and judges, journalists, and other
future leaders.
We have welcomed democratic achievements in the area, such as
Kyrgyzstan's election, and we are actively encouraging further steps
throughout Central Asia, such as the registration of local NGO's,
increased media freedom, and protection of human rights. Central Asian
governments are increasingly receptive to dialogue with us and other
states, the OSCE, and international human rights organizations. We need
to stay fully engaged with our Central Asian friends on this front.
Economic Reform
On the economic reform side, Central Asian states have made impressive
gains. The states have introduced their own currencies and all have
central banks and are poised for growth. Tajikistan--plagued by
continuing civil conflict--is the obvious exception, but even here the
government qualified for its first IMF program and a $50 million World
Bank loan this year. We have focused much of our technical assistance on
helping these countries develop sound commercial, legal, and regulatory
systems, but we need to do more to encourage the creation of an
investor-friendly climate. This will benefit U.S. business and it will
significantly help these countries attract the investment and the
capital they need. Central Asia's population base of more than 50
million--combined with proper development of its significant resources--
will make it an important business market for the future.
The independence and economic prospects of Central Asia's states are
clearly linked with their ability to expand and develop new markets (as
well as other new trade and communications routes west to Europe, east
to Asia, and south to the Subcontinent). The United States will be an
active participant in developing Central Asian markets and promoting the
region's economic development.
Energy
We have both a strategic and commercial interest in increasing and
diversifying world energy supplies. With the vast resources of the
Caspian Basin, Central Asia will be a significant energy producer in the
next century. We support rapid Caspian energy development through
private investment. Western private investment will be crucial and its
importance is increasingly recognized. Western private investment in the
development of the Caspian energy resources will require a legal regime
that offers a clear delineation of seabed resources by the littoral
states and minimal involvement by Iran. The current transport systems
are inadequate for moving the growing volume of Caspian Basin oil and
gas exports to world markets. We support the development of additional
and multiple export routes, including a route through Turkey. We are
encouraging regional cooperation on oil transport and development, which
will benefit all states in the region. And we are emphasizing that
commercial viability and meeting international standards are central to
successful projects.
Conclusion
So, my final message is that America today has new and growing interests
at stake in Central Asia. As this region opens itself to the outside
world, it is vital that Americans develop the tools, find the resources,
and use the talent needed to promote our goals of an independent, open,
stable, secure, and economically developed Central Asia. The group
associated with this Institute is a distinguished one which has shown
leadership in awakening the United States to the importance of Central
Asia. Dr. Brzezinski and Dean Wolfowitz were just in Turkmenistan, and
Institute Chairman Starr's article on Uzbekistan in Foreign Affairs
focused on the importance of the area.
We have been working to develop productive relations with the leaders
and societies of this region since its states became independent five
years ago. Vice President Gore heads the list of administration
officials who have visited the area since independence. This month
alone, all five foreign ministers from Central Asia visited Washington.
President Clinton received Uzbekistan President Karimov in June, and
Tajikistan Prime Minister Azimov was here in September. Aside from such
exchanges, we have developed a network of bilateral ties and programs in
the political, economic, and security areas.
So, as we meet this evening, I again wish to salute the Institute and
its founders. Your commitment to scholarship and to free, public debate
in launching the Central Asia Institute adds an important new voice in
support of America's relations with Central Asia. In a larger sense, we
also salute the states of Central Asia for their commitment to sovereign
equality with all other states in the great Eurasian space. We know from
our own experience that a new birth of freedom requires courage and
steadfast commitment to the great task ahead. As the citizens of
Kazakstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan build
their new nations, the United States will continue to be fully engaged
with these five states. Our cooperation on a government-to-government
basis and through excellent independent initiatives such as the Central
Asia Institute will continue to deepen across the whole range of
interests. I am confident that our partnership with each, and our
regional cooperation with all five, will be vital to their development
as resilient, prosperous, sovereign, and democratic states.
(###)
Article 3:
Transatlantic Relations and the Future of European Security
William J. Crowe, Jr., U.S. Ambassador to the United Kingdom
Remarks at the Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, U.K.,
October 25, 1996
I would like to thank the Ret. Hon. David Howell for that very gracious
introduction. I am privileged to be here today. I want to congratulate
the Royal Institute on its handsome new quarters.
The make-over of the auditorium is indicative of the continued vitality
of the Royal Institute. I was privileged to host a function at Winfield
House last fall to mark the 75th anniversary of this venerable
establishment. Chatham House has, throughout its history, enjoyed an
enviable reputation as a commentator on international affairs and a
catalyst for imaginative foreign policy research.
This tradition continues with the release today of a Chatham House Paper
on Transatlantic Relations by Beatrice Heuser. This paper is a welcome
addition to the discussion, and comes at a time when we are all
interested in how the Atlantic Community will adapt to the new realities
of the 21st century.
I intend to speak on that subject today. But first, a report from the
home front. I have recently returned from the U.S., where, as you no
doubt have noticed, there is a presidential election campaign underway.
I have seen some anxiety expressed by pundits because so little
attention is given to foreign policy during the American elections. In
turn, I am often asked whether this heralds a resurgent isolationism in
America.
In one sense they are right. Historically, foreign policy plays a minor
role in U.S. voter calculations, which turn much more on domestic
issues.
It is true that Americans, in general, would like to see Europe do more
in solving European problems and to rely less on U.S. involvement. As
you might suspect, they similarly wish to cut down on the monies that go
to overseas concerns.
But to conclude that such attitudes signal a retreat from global
engagement on the part of Washington would be very wide of the mark. In
fact, when polled in detail, the great bulk of the public wants their
government to remain engaged overseas and to exercise a prominent role
in free world councils.
The two main presidential candidates are both internationalists who
believe that American leadership is vital to the continued growth of
trade and prosperity around the globe, as well as to our own national
security. Admittedly, you will hear occasional echoes from our
isolationist past--particularly in extremely conservative quarters--but
these voices are in no sense harbingers of the future.
These views are well founded. As the world's remaining superpower, the
U.S. is irrevocably entwined with the international community. Indeed,
globalization has advanced to the point that direct foreign investment
is now one of the leading forms of international commerce.
Nearly one-fifth of American workers owe their jobs in whole or in part
to foreign trade and investment. Exports now account for almost one-
third of real U.S. growth, and are expected to climb more sharply than
the overall economy for the remainder of this decade. Studies show that
American companies which export their goods tend to be more profitable,
and their workers better paid.
These are facts. If politicians tried to ignore them, I can assure you
that American business would quickly show them the error of their ways.
Last Tuesday, the President reminded Americans of these realities. In
the interconnected world of today, our domestic security and prosperity
are intimately linked with foreign policy, leaving no choice but global
engagement.
To bring the matter closer to home, the President further stressed that,
. . . nowhere are our interests more engaged than in Europe. When Europe
is at peace, our security is strengthened. When Europe prospers, so does
America.
At the same time, our history has made us somewhat circumspect about
asserting our power. We are not eager to be the world's policeman. But
please do not make the mistake of assuming occasional reticence signals
a major retreat; it does not. The central lesson of the Cold War is
still with us: U.S. engagement is a key element of global stability and
a necessary condition for the advance of free markets and pluralism. My
entire working life has been devoted to this proposition, and the
President reiterated on Tuesday that he personally subscribes to this
philosophy.
I can think of no better way of illustrating this commitment than
reviewing with you the progress we are making--with Britain and our
other allies--on building a durable structure for security and
prosperity in Europe.
There is no question that we are living through a period of traumatic
change and restructuring in Europe. With the demise of the Warsaw Pact,
the benchmarks that informed the free world's political and strategic
policies for over 40 years disappeared. In turn, an unprecedented level
of ethnic conflict and violence has been unleashed, which presents us
with a whole new set of perplexing challenges.
Already, some encouraging adjustments have been made to the imperatives
of what, for a time, was called the New World Order. Among those states
interested in order, joint action is replacing confrontation. Today, the
West is more and more operating on a consensus of values. For example,
democratization and pluralism have been accepted as the cornerstone of
the transformation.
While the horizon is still unclear, the U.S., along with its allies, has
laid out an impressive game plan for moving forward in this uncertain
era. This approach aims at both cooperation and restructuring to bring
together a variety of institutions and processes to achieve our goals.
Secretary Christopher has described this enterprise as constructing a
"New Atlantic Community." Let's look briefly at the current state of
play.
First and foremost, together we are facing the most important challenge
for the West today--the task of integrating the former Warsaw Pact
nations, including a democratic Russia, into a stable European security
framework. The aim is to capitalize on Europe's diversity and strengths,
but, at the same time, to overcome its historical divisions.
This is a formidable task, requiring a multi-faceted effort. A conscious
decision has been made that the best way to do this is by building on
existing tools of cooperation, such as NATO, the OSCE, and the EU.
Collective security, anchored on both sides of the Atlantic, is the base
on which this new community must rest. That is why NATO is at the heart
of the endeavor
In the five years since the end of the Cold War, we have made
considerable progress on adapting the alliance's organization to the new
imperatives. Internal reforms are giving substance to a European defense
identity within NATO's overall apparatus. This approach is generating a
new flexibility to respond to purely European crises with the necessary
forces taken from NATO assets--commonly known as the Combined Joint Task
Force concept.
Moreover, the Alliance's "Partnership for Peace," or PfP, has matured
into a credible mechanism for security cooperation and dialogue with
non-NATO nations. It promises to remain a dynamic vehicle for expanding
this kind of contact. It serves to acquaint the militaries of emerging
democracies with the challenges of civilian control, new governments
with the political and military character of NATO, and aspiring members
with both the merits and burdens of full participation in the coalition.
Similarly, the OSCE provides a values-based forum for all of Europe that
contributes to the growth of a common security vision. The OSCE is the
only framework which combines all European states into a single
grouping. An emphasis on promoting stability and democratization is at
the heart of the OSCE. It is being tested at this moment, overseeing
Bosnian elections--at both the national and municipal levels. Although
it operates at a broader and more grassroots level, it will, hopefully,
dovetail well with the overall security structure.
The principal challenge, however, remains--to extend NATO's security
assurances to those eastern and central European nations who wish to
join the alliance, and who qualify for membership. President Clinton has
proposed a NATO summit in the spring or early summer of next year. An
immediate objective will be to take the next logical step by inviting
potential new members to begin accession negotiations with the alliance.
The President has set 1999 as the American goal for accepting the first
new members into the fold. I understand the British Government has
proposed a similar date. In this way we can commemorate the 50th
anniversary of the signing of the Washington Treaty by setting NATO on
track for another half-century.
This will continue to be a transparent, deliberate, thoughtful process.
Ultimately, final decisions will be submitted to the involved
parliaments for approval. The first members to join will not shut the
door behind them. It will remain open for further accessions of
democratic governments ready and willing to shoulder the
responsibilities of participation. Please understand, no state outside
NATO will exercise a veto on the final decisions.
At the same time, deepening the links between Russia and NATO will be
high on the summit agenda. Secretary Christopher has proposed that a
central element of this project be a formal NATO-Russia charter. But the
modalities of this effort are, frankly, still in flux.
The target is to agree upon formal arrangements for joint action between
the alliance and the Kremlin, and to create a permanent mechanism for
taking on serious problems such as weapons proliferation, nuclear
smuggling, and conflict prevention. Hopefully, these initiatives can
build on our heartening experience in Bosnia, where Russian troops are
participating in the IFOR mission. In sum, it is a promising and
farseeing strategy.
I am not so naive as to suggest that this will be simple or easy. Most
Russians have a built-in foreboding about NATO, and overcoming their
suspicions will require exceptional patience, statesmanship, and
imagination on the part of all the allies. Nevertheless, we must
persevere. Successfully crafting solutions that permit Russia to be a
participating partner for peace and stability in the mainstream of
Europe is a matter of the highest priority.
We do not often have the luxury of choosing where we meet the future. I
don't think anyone would have selected the Balkans as a test case for
NATO reform and adaptation, just as in the aftermath of World War II,
Berlin was the last place the allies wished to engage in a test of
strength with Stalin. However, you play the hand you are dealt, and, as
my British friends like to say, "Get on with it."
NATO has passed the first hurdle by successfully leading the IFOR
deployment, while at the same time laying some of the groundwork for
reorienting the alliance's basic perspectives. Not a bad record for an
organization many thought destined to become a museum piece in the wake
of the Cold War.
In Bosnia itself, last month's elections were an important milestone on
the long road to recovery. As we move toward the end of the IFOR
mission, the options for a possible security presence after 1996
currently are the focus of intense study at NATO. Once the need for and
the specific shape of any potential mission is clear, we can then
proceed to the question of whether and how the U.S. and others can
respond and contribute to it.
We must retain a long-term perspective as we evaluate where to go from
here. While Washington has striven to follow the Dayton schedule, it is
not dogmatic on the subject. We respect this week's decision by the OSCE
to postpone the municipal elections scheduled for next month in Bosnia.
The first priority must be to ensure the election process is fair and
meaningful.
One should also keep in mind the wide spectrum of civil tasks to be
completed--governance, law enforcement, infrastructure, etc. Above all,
long-term economic support will be critical if the people of Bosnia are
to move toward a genuine pluralism. Of course our ability to supply this
support hinges on the basic commitment of the Bosnians to political
progress. In that regard, the U.S. was encouraged by the first meeting
of the three-person Bosnian presidency this week. They agreed to a
regular schedule of joint presidency meetings, which is a significant
achievement.
While it is always easy to be pessimistic in such endeavors, we should
not overlook that a great deal has been achieved in Bosnia in the last
18 months, certainly more than anyone could have predicted. There have
been a series of encouraging accomplishments which should inspire
further effort.
I want to stress, as I have in the past, the importance of success in
Bosnia. Like it or not, the future character of NATO, Russian reform,
the EU, the UN, bilateral alliances--all have a heavy stake in the
Bosnian outcome. In my judgment, it will be a landmark event in the
history of the next 50 years.
With the end of the Cold War, we increasingly find economic and security
developments intersecting and melding. As Europe progressively
integrates its economies, stability should grow. For this very reason,
it is our hope that NATO and the EU enlargement will generally move
forward together.
But we have also sought to move beyond economic cooperation in our
relationship with the EU. This is the rationale behind the Transatlantic
Agenda signed by President Clinton in Madrid last December.
The document, of course, has a strong trade and investment component,
but it also seeks to engender cooperative political, humanitarian, and
development activities. This effort reflects the broad range of issues
that now require international attention, as well as the American desire
that our European allies share more fully the burden of responding to
post-Cold War concerns.
Whether it be studying ways to reduce trade barriers, putting in place a
global early warning system for infectious diseases, or coordinating
environmental assistance to central Europe, the emphasis of the agenda
is on practical, near-term steps the U.S. and the EU can take together.
By taking a series of modest and attainable steps, we hope to lay the
foundation for more visionary goals as confidence grows and
circumstances permit.
In the area of commerce, the U.S. is particularly keen to move ahead on
further reducing tariffs in the information technology area. Also, in
response to the strong messages we are receiving from the transatlantic
business community, we are now working on a series of "Mutual
Recognition Agreements" that will harmonize standardization procedures
in business sectors representing over $40 billion in mutual trade.
Progress in this area has been somewhat uneven but we hope to harvest as
many of these "MRA" accords as possible before the next EU-U.S. summit.
Success on this front would graphically signal that a new era of
cooperation is truly underway.
This new initiative with the EU builds on our existing bilateral
relations with our allies. It is a natural complement to the movement of
the EU--with U.S. support--toward greater economic collaboration.
Washington remains an interested observer as EU-member states discuss
greater foreign policy and/or security cooperation. These decisions, of
course, are for the European players to sort out. But the U.S. has a
strong interest in preserving the foreign policy flexibility and
responsiveness which we currently enjoy in the bilateral relationships
with our allies.
In the security discussions, we are pleased to see a growing European
security identity planted within NATO. In the final analysis, we would
like to see the EU evolve in a way consistent with the goals of building
a stable and prosperous Europe, while at the same time, taking into
account the democratic and cultural roots of its members.
I think it is worthwhile to step back for a moment to comment on the
overall impact of these steps I have discussed. Taken as a whole, as I
have outlined, we have developed an impressive array of tools to address
Europe's emerging problems. They offer alternatives ranging across the
entire spectrum of political and economic initiatives to direct military
force when it becomes appropriate.
Supported by positive bilateral relations with allies, these efforts
should enable America to develop a deeper partnership with Europe--
irrespective of national boundaries. The U.S. is genuinely committed to
a presence in Europe. While we are unquestionably strong--both
economically and militarily--the heart of the American approach lies in
a political willingness to search for creative, non-violent actions
geared to the new realities, and which permit us to resolve problems in
innovative ways.
Make no mistake. Americans prefer to use power sparingly and to work
hand-in-hand with other free nations in meeting today's challenges.
Washington's leadership is still a vital part of this endeavor, but the
U.S. cannot work in isolation. American influence and power alone is not
sufficient. A new consensus among NATO, the EU, and adjacent countries
is essential and, I believe, we are well on our way to achieving that
ideal.
The legacy of cooperation and trust the U.S. has built up with the
United Kingdom is of crucial importance as we construct these new
understandings and processes.
The most important result of our common legacy is that the United
Kingdom shares with the U.S. a willingness to shoulder the risks and
responsibilities of international action. Without it, our ability to
deal with the recent sea changes that have transformed the globe would
be severely diminished.
That is why I reject those who claim our unique bilateral heritage is
becoming a historical relic that will fade away, replaced by a new
globalism. On the contrary, as President Clinton asserted during his
visit last year, U.S.-U.K. cooperation stands "above the rest--a model
for the ties that should bind all democracies."
As the American baseball manager Casey Stengel was fond of saying,
"Predictions are difficult, especially about the future." My naval
experience taught me early on the futility of trying to look too far
over the horizon.
But I do know this. The Anglo-American bond is alive and well. It will
continue to be an important and steady beacon to steer by. Indeed, one
of the more pleasant aspects of my job is that every day I witness yet
another example of how strong these ties remain.
I firmly believe the Anglo-American bond will continue to flourish and
to amplify the strength of both people. It is a principal reason why I
am confident that we will find our way in this new terrain. In a time of
trial, I can think of no better asset to fall back on than the legacy of
Anglo-American cooperation. Thank you.
(###)
[END DISPATCH VOLUME 7, NUMBER 45]
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