U.S. Department of State Dispatch
Volume 6, Number 39, September 25, 1995
Bureau of Public Affairs
ARTICLES IN THIS ISSUE:
1. Resources for Leadership--Secretary Christopher
2. South Asia After the Cold War: India and Pakistan--Robin L. Raphel
3. Assessing the Progress of Haitian Democracy--James F. Dobbins
4. Fact Sheet: U.S. Proposals To Improve the Landmines Protocol of the
Convention on Conventional Weapons
ARTICLE 1:
Resources for Leadership
Secretary Christopher
Statement at the Council on Foreign Relations, Washington, DC, September
20, 1995
Thank you, Pete, for that kind introduction. I want to say that I have
great admiration for you and the many contributions you have made in
your public and private sector careers. In the last decade, no one has
done more to alert the country to the urgency of tackling the federal
budget deficit. I had the honor of serving under you as Vice Chairman of
the Council--but our real affinity, of course, comes from our shared
prairie roots--Pete's from Nebraska and mine from North Dakota. Even
though we both ended up in tall buildings in big cities, there were
certain advantages to growing up in the wide open spaces on the spine of
America.
As you know, I originally planned to talk tonight about the links
between economics and our foreign policy. But this evening I have
something much more immediate on my mind: the importance of American
leadership and the need to have adequate resources to maintain it. Two
areas that have been filling my hours this week--the former Yugoslavia
and the Middle East--illustrate this need. Let me begin with a brief
comment on each, before moving on to my central theme.
As we all painfully know, a peaceful resolution to the conflict in the
former Yugoslavia has eluded the international community for more than
three years. But now--thanks to President Clinton's leadership and a
renewed determination by the international community--we are moving
forward on a diplomatic and military track that seems to be genuinely
promising.
Two months ago in London, we persuaded our allies that Serb attacks on
safe areas would be met by substantial and decisive air strikes. Since
then, you have seen our highly effective NATO action implementing that
decision. Two weeks ago our negotiating team, headed by Dick Holbrooke,
helped to convince the parties to accept the continuation of Bosnia as a
single state within its current internationally recognized borders.
Just 2 1/2 hours ago, the deadline for the Bosnian Serbs to move their
heavy weapons from Sarajevo passed. Based upon conversations that I had
earlier today with our military authorities and very recent information,
I confidently expect that commanders in the field will say within just a
few minutes that they have concluded that the Serbs have met that
commitment. This means that the NATO bombing campaign can be suspended
but only suspended so long as there is no threat to Sarajevo or other
safe areas.
Our negotiating team returned to Washington early this morning for
consultations and instructions. In the next few days, they will resume
their intensive shuttle diplomacy, seeking sufficient agreement on key
issues to allow direct negotiations on a final settlement to begin very
soon.
Without our military capacity and the will to use it, we would still be
facing a stalemate in Bosnia. At the same time, without diplomacy,
military strength alone does not create the conditions that make lasting
peace possible. Diplomacy and force, we are reminded again, are
indivisible instruments of American power, whether in Europe or
elsewhere around the globe.
In the Middle East, American diplomacy has been indispensable to the
success of Arab-Israeli negotiations. In recent days and weeks, we have
been intensively involved behind the scenes in an effort to help Israel
and the Palestinians reach agreement on the implementation of the second
phase of the Declaration of Principles signed in Washington just over
two years ago.
The negotiations on the implementation of the second phase of the
Declaration of Principles are an enormously complex undertaking
involving redeployment of Israeli troops, security arrangements,
elections, and the transfer of authority to the Palestinians on the West
Bank. Little wonder that it has taken a little extra time to negotiate
this agreement. The wonder is that the parties are overcoming such
difficult issues and are close to an agreement. This agreement will
reflect Israel's understandable security requirements and, for the first
time, enable Palestinians throughout the West Bank to achieve control
over the most fundamental aspects of their daily lives. Once again, the
parties will look to us to play a central role in providing the support
that can make real the promise of peace.
Bosnia and the Middle East are just two examples of the complex
conflicts we continue to face in the post-Cold War world. The progress
made over the last few weeks carries a clear lesson: When the world
faces tough challenges, very little can be accomplished without American
leadership, and American leadership cannot be sustained on the cheap.
As all of you know, the Council was founded seven decades ago to make
the case for American leadership. In the wake of World War I and our
retreat into isolationism, the first generation of Council members began
to address one of the great challenges in our democracy: It began to
construct a durable consensus for the proposition that commitments must
be made and resources must be spent on behalf of a strong America and a
better world.
Now, with the end of the Cold War, we have unparalleled opportunities to
advance our interests and our values. Everywhere I go around the world,
America is called upon to provide direction and leadership. Open markets
and open societies are ascendant on every continent, giving us great
opportunities to enhance prosperity and stability. But this promising
state of affairs will endure only as long as we work to sustain it and
to build on it. We cannot wish into being the world we seek.
Indeed, I believe that the importance of American leadership is a
central lesson of this century. As a global power with global interests,
retreat is not a responsible option for the United States.
This remains a dangerous world. In the last few years, we have seen half
a dozen armed conflicts in the former Soviet Union, territory that is
still home to thousands of nuclear weapons. We have to be constantly
vigilant to make sure that countries like Iraq and North Korea are
denied weapons of mass destruction and prevented from menacing their
neighbors. This imperative is underscored by the recent and clear
confirmation that Saddam has sought to hide a massive biological weapons
program. Terrorism and organized crime also threaten our safety, as well
as the survival of new democracies.
As we look at today's world, the President and I have great hopes but no
illusions. Our budget reflects our understanding of the opportunities
and threats we face, and it seeks the resources America needs to meet
them. In a world without dangers, the recent congressional attempts to
deny these resources might be more comprehensible. But in the real
world, these actions would weaken America at a time when we must remain
strong.
As Pete Petersen has so often reminded us, our nation faces no greater
challenge than to get our own economic house in order. Since the early
eighties, the deficit has constrained our ability to act and weakened
our credibility with our allies and trading partners. In that vein, I
view the President's deficit-cutting package of 1993 as one of our most
important foreign policy achievements--one that has made us stronger
around the world.
The State Department has not been and should not be exempt from budget
cuts. In fact, our international affairs spending has been reduced by
45% in real terms in the last decade. Under my direction, we have cut
1,300 jobs and reduced administrative expenses by 5% in two years.
The American people rightly demand that we apply the most rigorous
standards when we decide how to spend their tax dollars. At the same
time, they have a fundamental expectation that their government will do
what it must to protect America's security and prosperity. The President
and I have therefore drawn a line: We will fight budgetary strictures so
radical that they would damage our nation's interests and cripple our
ability to lead.
Regrettably, too many Members of the current Congress appear set on
crossing that line. At every opportunity, the leaders of the new
Congress call for American leadership. Yet, many would deny us the
minimum resources that any administration would need to get the job
done. If the Senate follows the levels approved by the Commerce,
Justice, and State Appropriations Subcommittee, the State Department
budget would be cut in one year by 20%--the largest single reduction in
foreign affairs spending in American history. If these cuts remain, I
will have no alternative but to recommend to the President that he veto
the bill.
Last November, on the day after the Congressional mid-term elections, I
was in Seoul, Korea, on tthe first leg of a long trip through Asia. I
believed then, as I do now, that the election was not a license to lose
sight of our global interests, or of the need for bipartisanship in
foreign policy. I therefore pledged that the United States would remain
strong and steadfast in our commitments around the world.
The bipartisan consensus on behalf of American engagement in the world
has been a vital source of America's strength. Five decades ago, that
consensus enabled Democrats like Truman and Republicans like Vandenberg
to come together to launch NATO and the Marshall Plan. A few years
later, Dwight Eisenhower ran for President in part to put the Republican
Party firmly--and he hoped permanently--on the side of global
engagement. In the last two years, that bipartisan consensus withstood
the forces of isolationism and protectionism to pass NAFTA and GATT, and
it has sustained our support for reform in the former Soviet Union and
for the Middle East peace process.
I was heartened to see former President Bush's statement yesterday
warning against "the voices of isolation," and New York Mayor Giuliani's
criticism of "the potent strain of isolationism that once again is
infecting our political discourse." I still hope that their view will
ultimately prevail in the Congress.
Bipartisanship has never precluded disagreement on matters of policy.
But it does require agreement that we cannot protect our interests if we
do not marshal the resources to stand by our commitments. We cannot have
it both ways. Those who say they want a strong America have a duty to
help keep America strong. And diplomatic readiness is our first line of
defense--in large part so that we are not compelled to put our men and
women in uniform in harm's way. Morale, equipment, and communications
are no less important to our diplomats than to our soldiers.
Regrettably, in the last few months, both Houses of Congress have put
forward drastic proposals to slash the foreign affairs budget. The
recent actions of the Senate Appropriations Committee pose perhaps the
most immediate threat to our nation's interests.
For example, the Senate appropriators would cut the State Department's
basic operating budget by almost $300 million. This could force us to
close some 50 embassies and consulates--the equivalent of every post in
Asia or Africa. It could force us to consider widespread furloughs and
layoffs, closing passport offices, and halting the modernization of our
communications system that is so long overdue.
One casualty would be the principle of universality in our
representation abroad--the principle that there should be a U.S. mission
in virtually every country. Universal representation was invaluable
earlier this year, when more than 170 countries in the world from
Albania to Zambia had an equal say in the extension of the Nuclear Non-
Proliferation Treaty and an equal need to be persuaded by American
diplomacy. It is also essential when a crisis erupts in an unexpected
place--whether in Burundi or Belarus--and when American citizens get
into trouble abroad--and they do get into trouble in the darnedest
places.
Day in and day out, our ability to meet these challenges depends on our
people in the field. They are the ones responsible for the arms control
agreements in Ukraine and Russia. They are the ones who worked out the
details of our intellectual property rights agreement with China, and
who must ensure that it is enforced. They are the ones who have to
convince the parties in Bosnia to choose peace--at grave risk, as we
have seen, to their own lives. That's why I get so angry when I hear
disparaging comments about diplomats in long coats, high hats, and
limousines.
Last year, the people at our posts abroad responded to almost 2 million
requests for service from Americans overseas. We issued over 6 million
passports--a record number. In the last few years, our people have
helped American companies win billions of dollars in contracts. Our
posts are also the operating platform for more than 38 other agencies,
including the Defense, Commerce, and Agriculture Departments, the FBI,
and the DEA.
When Congress mandates deep and devastating cuts, I often wonder if they
have given any thought to where in the world we should start retreating.
Should we pull people from our embassies in the Middle East, at a
critical time for the peace process? Should we close posts in Asia, the
most dynamic market for our exports in the world? Should we prepare less
for the next Western Hemispheric summit, ignoring the most dramatic
march to democracy in the world? Had reductions of this magnitude been
approved a few years ago, I wonder where the people on Capitol Hill
would have chosen to cut back--from Haiti, from the Balkans, from
Northeast Asia?
One of the primary tasks of our diplomats is to prevent crises that
would otherwise cost us dearly. Our Agreed Framework with North Korea,
for example, which has frozen its nuclear program, is also saving us
hundreds of millions of dollars right now. Without it, we would have
been compelled to increase dramatically our forces in Northeast Asia.
Yet, we are having a hard time getting Congress to approve $20 million
to help implement the agreement, as our modest contribution alongside
the billions, not millions, that South Korea and Japan are prepared to
contribute.
I am also determined to resist the drastic cuts that have been proposed
in our obligations to international institutions. The Senate
appropriators would slash our assessed contributions to international
organizations by almost $400 million. These measures could affect our
obligations to NATO. They would force us to cut support for the
International Atomic Energy Agency, which is critical to our effort to
ensure that countries like Iraq and North Korea do not become nuclear
weapons states. They would hurt the World Health Organization, which is
leading the fight against diseases like AIDS and Ebola.
Our peacekeeping contributions would be limited to only $250 million.
This would force the withdrawal of peacekeepers and monitors from vital
trouble spots, including the Middle East. We recognize that peacekeeping
has not always achieved its intended purpose. But just as surely, it has
allowed us to advance our interests without forcing our troops to take
all the risks or our taxpayers to foot all the bills. Without
peacekeeping as a tool, we would be left with an unacceptable choice
each time a crisis arose: a choice between acting alone and doing
nothing.
When we fail to pay our peacekeeping dues, we also compromise our
ability to push for reform at the United Nations and other institutions.
Far-reaching change is clearly needed. But we will not convince our
allies to support our proposals if they think we are using reform as an
excuse to avoid our obligations. We cannot reform and retreat at the
same time.
The Senate appropriators have also voted to cut the Arms Control and
Disarmament Agency by more than 50%. As you know, we are at the verge of
major breakthroughs in this area, including a Comprehensive Test Ban.
Why would we choose this moment to decimate the resources we need to
negotiate and verify such vital and complex arms control agreements? The
Senate would also slash funding for the USIA and for international
broadcasting, the voice of our values and one of the most cost-effective
ways we have to project our influence.
Let me add that these agencies--ACDA, USIA, as well as the Agency for
International Development--have distinct missions that should be
maintained. The issue here is resources, not reorganization.
The cuts I have already described are compounded by other Congressional
proposals, which, if enacted, would slash foreign assistance by almost
$3 billion. This would devastate funding for multilateral development
banks and for bilateral aid.
I do not believe that President Eisenhower was wrong in calling foreign
assistance America's "best investment." I do not think that every
Congress elected since World War II was wrong in providing steady
support to American diplomats in the field. I do not believe that every
administration since the days of F.D.R. was wrong about the vital
importance of international organizations.
The budgetary proposals we have seen reveal, in my view, how short our
historical memory is. They reflect a troubling lack of appreciation for
what the United States has accomplished in the world in the last 50
years--and how we have accomplished it. Very simply, cuts of the
magnitude we face would represent a fundamental break with America's
tradition of leadership. They are not responsible. The ability of this
and every future President to protect American interests is at risk.
In addition to the budget cuts, I should add that the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee is at this moment holding up 30 ambassadorial
nominations. It is also refusing to permit a vote on two treaties--START
II and the Chemical Weapons Convention--on which there is virtually
unanimous agreement in the Congress. Taken together, the actions I have
described this evening represent an unprecedented assault on the
country's ability to carry out an effective foreign policy.
I value the Council as a place for lively discussion and for healthy
debate. But whatever disagreements we may have on specific policy
issues, I ask you to consider this: If these cuts are made, in a few
years we may not have the resources to conduct a foreign policy that is
worth arguing about. And that would be a tragedy for the United States
and for the world as well.
Today, time is short. Each of us has to do a better job in defending the
continuing need for American leadership. If we succeed, I hope we can
get back to the debate we ought to be having--the debate about how to
use America's strength, instead of whether we should be strong. Thank
you.
(###)
ARTICLE 2:
South Asia After the Cold War: India and Pakistan
Robin L. Raphel, Assistant Secretary for South Asian Affairs
Statement before the Subcommittee on Near Eastern and South Asian
Affairs of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Washington, DC,
September 14, 1995
Mr. Chairman and members of the subcommittee: I am pleased to testify
before you today on how the Administration looks at South Asia in the
evolving post-Cold War era.
In earlier testimony before this committee, I reviewed recent positive
developments in South Asia--in foreign relations, in economic reform and
growth, and in the strengthening of democratic institutions and respect
for human rights. At the same time, we recognize there are bound to be
bumps in the road ahead. Events in Karachi, Afghanistan, Sri Lanka,
Kashmir, and elsewhere give cause for concern. The threats posed by
nuclear and missile proliferation remain. Yet, while obstacles will
inevitably emerge on the road ahead, momentum continues to build for
progress. We must continue to encourage our South Asian friends as
they make the sometimes difficult transition to full democracy and open
markets. Remaining engaged with South Asian countries is essential if we
are to advance our key interests in regional stability and non-
proliferation.
While each country in South Asia is important in its own right--I just
returned from Sri Lanka and Bangladesh where both the achievements and
the problems are impressive--I want to concentrate today on the region's
two largest countries and long-time rivals, India and Pakistan.
In building stronger relations with South Asia, we seek to break the
zero-sum mind-set that has plagued Indo-Pakistani relations since
partition and was reinforced by the global rivalries of the past
decades. We are now working to build bilateral ties that stand on their
own, freed from the complicated triangular equations that dominated the
earlier foreign policy calculus. For decades, we viewed our relations
with South Asian countries largely through the prism of our rivalry with
the Soviet Union. Today, the United States emphasizes good relations
with each, based on their intrinsic importance to the U.S. and the
region.
We continue to place a high priority on preventing the proliferation of
weapons of mass destruction and missile delivery systems and preserving
regional stability in South Asia. The U.S. can play a role in ensuring
such stability--a role that has the potential to expand as India and
Pakistan join us in realizing that relations among our three countries
are not a zero-sum game. Strong and productive U.S. relations with both
India and Pakistan serve not only important U.S. interests but also the
cause of easing regional tensions. We will continue to use our influence
in both countries to encourage economic development and better regional
relations.
India, the dominant regional power, will continue to grow in importance
on the world stage. With its large population, growing economy, and
technological prowess, India has the potential to be among the great
world powers of the 21st century. Greatness implies a responsible
approach toward international affairs. We applaud India's support of
multilateral peace and development efforts and its continuing role as a
leader among developing countries. It is also important for India, as
the most powerful country in its region, to pursue good relations with
its neighbors.
Our relationship with India is increasingly broad and deep and holds
great promise for future cooperation. In the economic area, in
particular, both of our countries are benefiting from strong progress in
trade and investment. We have initiated a regular dialogue with the
Indian Government on security issues. Indeed, the U.S.-India Defense
Policy Group is meeting in Washington this week to discuss expanded
contacts between the U.S. and Indian militaries. We have been
cooperating with India in developing the Indian Light Combat Aircraft
and have an increasing share of the Indian market for military
technology.
Pakistan has been a valuable friend and ally of the United States for
nearly five decades. It has been an important source for moderation in a
troubled part of the world where religious extremism can threaten
stability in the region and beyond. As Prime Minister Bhutto's speech in
Beijing eloquently demonstrated, Pakistan is striving to uphold
simultaneously principles of Islam and of secular democracy. Pakistan is
a major contributor to peacekeeping operations around the world and has
worked with us to combat terrorism and narcotics trafficking.
Our efforts to work more closely with Pakistan toward our common goals,
however, are hampered by the sweeping sanctions imposed under the
Pressler Amendment five years ago. The Pressler sanctions ended all
military and economic assistance to Pakistan, terminating many long-
standing and some highly successful programs. While the Administration
strongly supports the amendment's goal of curbing Pakistan's nuclear
weapons program, the legislation needs to be revised to fit current
global realities and to better achieve our non-proliferation objectives.
Of most immediate concern are the Pressler roadblocks to cooperation
with Pakistan's Government in areas such as combating terrorism and
furthering U.S. commercial interests in a lucrative market, where U.S.
firms need OPIC insurance to level the playing field with their European
competitors. Our ability to press key non-proliferation goals over the
longer term has also been eroded by the Pressler Amendment.
Pressler sanctions have also changed Pakistani perceptions of their role
in the world. For most of the past 40 years, Pakistan's strong, Western
orientation has been continually reinforced by a broad range of contacts
with the United States. Five years of sanctions have cut off contacts,
training, and cooperative projects that reinforced this orientation. No
one should be surprised if Pakistani military officers and civilians
look else- where for training and contacts, and for inspiration and
friendship. Given its troubled neighborhood, Pakistan stands in danger,
over time, of drifting in directions contrary to our fundamental
interest and its own.
Over the past year, we have had discussions with many in Congress about
how to focus sanctions to pursue more effectively our key national
security objectives, including our non-proliferation aims. This
dialogue, and work by members of this committee, have resulted in a
proposed initiative to lift sanctions that blocked progress in areas of
our relationship unrelated to proliferation--economic and commercial
growth, counter-terrorism, and professional development in the military.
The problem remained, however, of final disposition of military
equipment ordered by Pakistan prior to imposition of sanctions in 1990.
This included 28 F-16 aircraft and about 370 million worth of other
equipment. Three points of consensus emerged from our dialogue with
Congress.
1. The United States needs a productive, cooperative relationship with
Pakistan. It is a large, moderate Islamic democracy in a troubled
region. It has been an important partner in peacekeeping operations and
a supporter of counter-terrorism efforts. Like other countries in the
region, it faces threats from narcotics trafficking and ethnic strife.
2. To preserve a central feature of the Pressler Amendment and avoid
contributing to further tensions in the region, the U.S. should not
deliver the controversial F-16 aircraft or resume an official military
supply relationship with Pakistan.
3. The United States should, however, resolve the fundamental unfairness
of a situation where we have ended up with both Pakistan's money and the
embargoed equipment.
The status quo is clearly unacceptable. It is seen as unfair both in
Pakistan and by many in the United States, and is an unhealthy irritant
to bilateral relations. This irritation continues to erode our ability
to work with Pakistan to achieve non-proliferation and other important
goals. The status quo, unfortunately, offers few incentives for future
cooperation or restraint by Pakistan--or by India, whose nuclear and
missile programs are also of concern. Putting this issue behind us will
permit a more normal and productive relationship between Washington and
Islamabad, allowing for real progress on non-proliferation and other
issues of concern to the United States.
The President, therefore, decided to sell the F-16 aircraft to other
countries and return the proceeds to Pakistan. Proceeds from sale of
aircraft for which Pakistan paid national funds will be returned
directly, while proceeds from sale of those aircraft financed by FMF
loans will be credited to Pakistan's FMF account.
In addition, the President is seeking authority from Congress to turn
over to Pakistan the other $370 million in other, less controversial,
equipment in the pipeline. Mr. Reidel will expound at greater length on
the equipment involved in the context of the military balance in the
region.
The key impact of sanctions relief is not military or financial. The
effect would be primarily in the political realm, creating a sense of
faith restored and an unfairness rectified with a country and a people
who have been loyal friends of the United States over the decades. This
is fully recognized by the Government of Pakistan, which knows we are
not re-establishing a defense supply relationship. Indians who worry
about the meaning of this step should also be reassured.
Relations With Russia
The Indo/Pakistan rivalry often spills over in their relations with
countries outside of South Asia. India and Pakistan's relations with
Russia are an obvious example, although there are others. Still a major
buyer of military equipment, India has imported $3.5 billion in military
equipment--primarily from Russia--since 1990, during which period
Pakistan imported, from all sources, about $1.7 billion in arms. Russian
sales to India are not necessarily a cause for concern, but provide a
useful frame of reference in assessing the significance of the $370
million in equipment that we seek to release to Pakistan.
However, any Russian resumption of exports of nuclear power reactors or
missile-related equipment and technology to India would be of concern.
In 1992, we applied economic sanctions to the Russian space agency--
Glavkosmos--for the export of rocket engine technology to India. We have
since reached agreement with Russia on an arrangement under which Russia
terminated the transfer of technology in the rocket engine deal, and we
lifted the sanctions on Russia. We have continued regular discussions of
non-proliferation in South Asia with Russia, which shares many of our
concerns. Russia's imminent membership in the Missile Technology Control
Regime is another disincentive for it to provide missile-related
assistance to India.
With the end of the Cold War, Pakistan also has attempted to build a
military supply relationship with Russia. However, in view of its close
ties with India, Russia has so far refused to sell any military systems
to Pakistan.
Relations With Iran
Iran is another country where India and Pakistan compete for influence.
Both seek to maintain correct relations with Iran. They see Iran as a
major regional player which is active in Afghanistan and Central Asia--
areas of great concern to both Islamabad and New Delhi. Both are also
concerned about possible Iranian attempts to radicalize their Muslim
populations. We would not accept this rationale as justifying efforts by
either India or Pakistan to improve relations with Iran, but the
rationale is similar in both cases.
Pakistan and Iran share a common border and are wary neighbors, not
strategic allies. There is no compelling evidence that they share any
defense equipment. Their differing regional strategies can be seen in
Afghanistan, where Iran and Pakistan support competing factions in the
ongoing civil war.
Questions have been raised about Pakistan-Iran nuclear cooperation
as well as Iranian security cooperation with India. We are not aware of
any Pakistani assistance to Iran's nuclear weapons program or
significant Indian contacts with Iran's military, even following the
recent visit of the Iranian President to India. It is clear that no
South Asian state is interested in having another nuclear-capable
neighbor.
Relations With Central Asia And Afghanistan
Pakistan has strategic and cultural reasons for wanting to play a
constructive role in Central Asia, an area with which it has ties dating
back centuries. As a moderate Islamic state, Pakistan is often seen as
an alternative model to Iran in Central Asia. Pakistan has contributed
to Central Asian stability in Tajikistan--using its ties to the Tajik
opposition to promote an end to the conflict--recently by hosting talks
between the rebels and the government in Islamabad. The Government of
Pakistan has also played an important, if sometimes controversial, role
in Afghan affairs.
The Bhutto Government has also sought to build closer ties with the
Central Asian republics through the recently revived Economic
Cooperation Organization, a trade organization originally formed in 1977
by Pakistan, Turkey, and Iran, but which now includes the Central Asian
states. It also has sought to build a gas pipeline from Turkmenistan
across Afghanistan to Pakistan to supply its growing energy needs.
Neither of these efforts has yet borne fruit, however. Ultimately, a
stable, peaceful Afghanistan is a prerequisite for a prosperous and
stable Central Asia.
India has also sought to build its influence in Afghanistan and Central
Asia, both as a counterweight to Pakistan and China and for long-term
commercial reasons. India would like to keep Afghanistan from being a
source of weapons and militants for the separatist violence in Kashmir.
On the economic front, India is particularly interested in developing a
land transport corridor through Iran to the Central Asian states and
Russia. Indian traders and diplomats are increasingly active in the
Central Asian states.
Relations With China
Pakistan's traditionally close relationship with China remains strong
despite the gradual rapprochement between China and India. Pakistan
particularly values its Chinese ties as a source of both moral and
material support for its interests in the region. Prime Minister Bhutto
has just returned from bilateral talks with senior Chinese leaders on
the margins of the world women's conference in Beijing.
Our concerns with aspects of the bilateral security relationship are
well-known; they involve Chinese support for Pakistan's nuclear weapons
program, as well as the provision of missile-related items which would
violate the missile export provisions of the Arms Export Control Act.
The latter action prompted our imposition of Category II sanctions on
both countries in 1993.
We view India's improving relationship with China as a positive trend.
Though a boundary dispute remains unresolved, confidence-building
measures along the Indo-Chinese border and peaceful negotiations on
disengagement suggest that this dispute will not block the world's two
most populous states from becoming better neighbors. As Indo-Chinese
ties improve, the reduced threat may make regional nuclear disarmament a
more viable option and China's military relations with Pakistan less of
an issue.
Conclusion
Mr. Chairman, I last testified before you six months ago. Since then, we
have consulted closely with you and other members of the committee along
with many other members of the Senate and House on how best to pursue
U.S. interests in South Asia. I appreciate the interest you and they
have shown and your commitment to providing the President with the
legislative authority he needs to effectively achieve these objectives.
I hope the next time I testify, it will be to report on the success of
our efforts to advance our vital goals in South Asia, foremost among
them halting nuclear and ballistic missile proliferation.
(###)
ARTICLE 3:
Assessing the Progress of Haitian Democracy
James F. Dobbins, Special Haiti Coordinator
Remarks at daily press briefing, Washington, DC, September 19, 1995
It has been a year today since U.S. forces entered Haiti at the head of
a multinational coalition, with the objective of restoring Haiti's
democratically elected government and assisting a transition to
sustainable democracy. At the height of the U.S. military presence--
shortly after that initial deployment--there were over 23,000 American
military personnel in Haiti. Today, there are 2,500 out of a total of
6,000 UN peacekeeping troops and 800 UN civilian police drawn from 31
countries
In five months--that is to say, in February 1996--the mission of this
peacekeeping force will be concluded. Our troops will return home,
having successfully completed a complex and challenging operation.
Completion of this operation has been keyed to two processes. The first
of these is the disbanding of Haiti's old institutions of repression and
the creation of a new professional civilian police force, along with the
reform of its judiciary. The second process is that of democratic
renewal and the constitutional transfer of power. This process involves
the holding of local, municipal, parliamentary, and, finally,
presidential elections, so that by the time the U.S. and other military
forces leave Haiti next year, the entire Haitian Government structure--
from the lowest to the highest levels--will be renewed, based on a new
exercise of democratic choice within the framework of the Haitian
constitution. Both of these processes are proceeding at a pace that will
permit us to meet the timetable which the United States and the United
Nations have set for this peacekeeping operation.
Last June, Haitians voted to elect 2,000 mayors and municipal and county
counselors, thereby providing Haiti, for the first time in its history,
with a comprehensive system of freely elected local government. Last
Sunday, Haiti completed the second round in the election of members of
its lower and upper houses of parliament. Like the June 25 vote,
Sunday's balloting was peaceful. Unlike the June 25 vote, Sunday's
balloting was more orderly and better administered.
Later this year, Haitians will go to the polls again to elect the
successor to President Aristide who will take office next February.
Yesterday, President Aristide reconfirmed "beyond a shadow of a doubt"
his personal commitment to this transfer of power.
The second ongoing process to which the timing of the international
peacekeeping effort has been tied is, as I have said, the disbanding of
Haiti's old, corrupt, and repressive security institutions and the
creation of a new professional civilian police force and the reform of
the judiciary. This process is also very much on schedule. The Haitian
army has been disbanded. Over half--that is to say over 3,000--of its
members have been demobilized. Most of these individuals are currently
completing a six-month program of vocational training. Something less
than 3,000 former members of the Haitian army remain as members of the
interim police force. Several hundred of these interim police are being
demobilized each month, as new classes of the Haitian National Police
are fielded. This demobilization will be completed by February.
By that date, the Haitian National Police will have fielded at least
5,000 new police officers. These young men and women have been selected
in an open, rigorous, and competitive national process. They are
receiving four months of intensive professional training in a program
organized by the U.S. Department of Justice and taught by professional
law enforcement officers from France, Canada, and the United States.
The process of selection for the Haitian National Police has drawn on
the best Haiti has to offer. Tens of thousands of young men and women
have competed for entry. In a society where less than 25% of the people
can read and write, the average educational level of the initial group
of police cadets is two years of college.
Alongside the Police Academy, we have also assisted the Haitian
Government in creating a new Judicial Academy. American, French, and
Haitian lawyers are providing instruction to Haitian judges and court
administrators at this new institution.
The duration of the peacekeeping operation in Haiti has not been tied to
any particular level of economic performance. However, in connection
with last year's restoration of democracy, Haiti has received a truly
massive level of international assistance--to which the United States,
incidentally, has committed less than one-fourth the total of $1.2
billion which has been promised for 1995 and 1996. As a result of this
assistance and the reforms put in place by the Haitian Government,
inflation has been halved--down from over 40% last September, when the
U.S. troops arrived, to something under 20% today. Haitian currency has
remained stable against the dollar. Economic activity, which fell by 25%
in that country from 1992 to 1994, is now increasing at a rate of growth
of 4.5% per annum.
Needless to say, Haiti's economic renewal is at best tentative. Its
democracy remains fragile, and its new security structures are
inexperienced and untested.
Business interest in Haiti as a site for investment is relatively high,
but many investors are awaiting the results of the current electoral
cycle. Those elections, particularly the June 25 balloting, were far
from ideal. Brian Atwood, the leader of our Presidential Observer
Delegation, cited in his statement of June 26 many of the problems his
group encountered. I did the same in my testimony before the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee on July 12. At the time, I also indicated
that there were remedial steps which we believed needed to be taken. The
Haitian electoral authorities have taken such steps, and the make-up
balloting on August 13 and the second-round balloting last Sunday
corrected most of the problems observed on June 25. We are continuing to
urge further improvements in this regard, with a view to encouraging the
broadest possible participation in Haiti's forthcoming presidential
elections.
The human rights situation in Haiti has improved dramatically over the
past year. After three years of brutal repression, during which rape,
torture, and murder were the routine instruments of governance, many
expected the restoration of Haiti's legitimate government to be followed
by a wave of retribution. Thanks to the professionalism of American and
international forces--and thanks, particularly, to President Aristide's
unrelenting campaign of reconciliation--nothing of the sort has
occurred.
In the three years preceding last September's deployment of U.S. forces
to Haiti, international observers estimated that more than 3,000 men,
women, and children were murdered by or with the complicity of Haiti's
then-coup regime. In the year following the deployment of American
forces, international observers assess that retribution and other
political motivations may have been responsible, at the most, for one or
two dozen of such deaths. Needless to say, even one such incident is too
many. With our assistance, the Haitian Government is developing the
professional police, the investigative capabilities, and the judicial
structure necessary to enforce and maintain the rule of law.
In short, the economic, political, and security situation in Haiti has
dramatically improved since the deployment of U.S. and international
forces a year ago today. These improvements are continuing at a pace
which will permit the peacekeeping operation, begun a year ago today, to
conclude on schedule in February of next year.
(###)
ARTICLE 4:
Fact Sheet: U.S. Proposals To Improve the Landmines Protocol of the
Convention on Conventional Weapons
The United States is gravely concerned with the humanitarian tragedy of
suffering and casualties to the civilian population resulting from the
indiscriminate use of landmines. A key part of the U.S. strategy on
landmines is to encourage substantial improvements in the substance and
scope of the landmines Protocol of the Convention on Conventional
Weapons (CCW), the only international legal regime that specifically
regulates and restricts the use of landmines. A formal Review Conference
will be held from September 25 to October 13, 1995 in Vienna to consider
possible amendments.
In particular, the U.S. is pressing for the following changes:
-- The expansion of the scope of the Protocol, which is currently
limited to international armed conflicts, to apply in internal armed
conflicts, as well as during peacetime. It is in internal conflicts that
the greatest civilian casualties occur.
-- A requirement that all remotely delivered mines (those delivered by
aircraft, rocket, or artillery) be equipped with self-destruct devices
to ensure that they do not remain a danger to civilians long after the
conflict is over. These mines would also have a backup self-deactivating
feature (e.g., a battery that exhausts itself) to ensure that they do
not detonate should the self-destruct device fail.
-- A requirement that any anti-personnel landmines (APL) without self-
destruct devices and backup self-deactivation features be used only
within controlled, marked, and monitored minefields. These minefields
would be protected by fencing or other safeguards to ensure the
exclusion of civilians. Such minefields could not be abandoned (other
than through forcible loss of control to enemy military action) unless
they were cleared or turned over to another state that had committed to
maintain the same protections. APL self-destruct and self-deactivation
features would have a specified maximum lifetime of 30 days from
emplacement for self-destruct and 120 days for the self-deactivation
feature, as well as a minimum required reliability.
-- A requirement that all mines be detectable using commonly available
technology to simplify the burden and risks of demining.
-- A requirement that the party laying mines assume responsibility for
them, including a duty at the "cessation of active hostilities" to clear
them or maintain them in controlled fields to protect civilians. Where
the party laying the mines no longer controls the territory in which
they were laid, it would have a duty to provide assistance to ensure
their clearance, to the extent this is permitted by the state in control
of the territory in question.
-- The addition of an effective verification mechanism, including the
possibility of fact-finding inspections by a Verification Commission
where credible reports of violations have been made. If violations are
found to have occurred, there would be a possibility of reference to the
UN Security Council for action, as well as individual criminal liability
for persons who willfully or wantonly put the civilian population in
danger. There must also be provision for protection against abuse of
such a regime.
-- The addition of a mechanism for more frequent consideration of the
landmines protocol and for exchange of views on all aspects of the
landmine issue.
The U.S. looks to the Review Conference as an important opportunity to
begin to solve the landmine crisis and welcomes inquiries and further
opportunities to discuss these and other landmine-related initiatives
and issues.
(###)
[END OF DISPATCH VOL 6, NO 39]
(###)
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