U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE DISPATCH VOLUME 5, NUMBER 11, MARCH 14, 1994 PUBLISHED BY THE BUREAU OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS ARTICLES IN THIS ISSUE 1. Signing of a Framework Agreement for Peace in Bosnia -- President Clinton, Secretary Christopher, Bosnian Prime Minister Silajdzic, Croatian Foreign Minister Granic, Bosnian-Croat Representative Zubak 2. A Foreign Affairs Budget That Promotes U.S. Interests -- Secretary Christopher 3. U.S. Perspective on Building Peace And Prosperity In Central and Eastern Europe -- Stephen A. Oxman 4. Export Controls and Non-proliferation Regimes in the Post-Cold War World -- Lynn E. Davis 5. Resumption of U.S.-North Korea Negotiations On Nuclear and Other Issues 6. U.S.-Latin America Relations in the 1990s: Toward a Mature Partnership -- Alexander F. Watson 7. Substantive Symmetry in Hemispheric Relations -- Richard E. Feinberg ARTICLE 1 Signing of a Framework Agreement for Peace in Bosnia President Clinton, Secretary Christopher, Bosnian Prime Minister Silajdzic, Croatian Foreign Minister Granic, Bosnian-Croat Representative Zubak Statement by President Clinton, released by the White House, Office of the Press Secretary, Washington, DC, March 1, 1994. I warmly welcome the signing today in Washington of a framework agreement establishing a federation in the areas of the Republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina with majority Bosnian and Croat populations. This framework agreement also provides the outline of a preliminary agreement for a confederation with the Republic of Croatia. This is a major step in the search for peace in Bosnia. I am especially pleased with the tireless efforts of my Special Envoy, Charles Redman, and those of Croatian Foreign Minister Granic, Bosnian Prime Minister Silajdzic, and Mr. Kresimir Zubak, representing the Bosnian-Croats. I spoke this evening with President Alija Izetbegovic of the Republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina. I congratulated him for his leadership and the critical role he has played in this achievement. All of us are heartened by the courage that he and the Bosnian people have shown in their struggle for peace. I also spoke with President Franjo Tudjman of Croatia to convey my admiration for the statesmanship he has shown in forging this agreement. I underscored the support of the United States for the sovereignty and integrity of his country. A great deal of work remains to be done to bring a full peace to Bosnia. The United States will continue to work closely with the parties throughout this process. I urge the parties to continue to demonstrate the flexibility and statesmanship that has brought them to this point. I urge them to persevere over the coming weeks to help ensure that today's accomplishments lead to the peace so long overdue. Remarks at the Signing Remarks by Secretary Christopher, Prime Minister Silajdzic, Foreign Minister Granic, and Representative Zubak at the signing of the federation framework agreement and the preliminary confederation agreement, Washington, DC, March 1, 1994. Secretary Christopher. I am extremely pleased to be present at this hopeful and significant moment in the history of the people of Bosnia and Herzegovina. There are many people to welcome here today. I see the Secretary of Defense and Ambassador Harriman, and I see General Shalikashvili. I'm sure I'm leaving out a number of other important American officials. I would like to welcome our many colleagues from the European Union, who have been our partners in this from the beginning and who were good enough to make their way through the snow and ice to be here tonight. I am also happy to welcome representatives from the Russian Federation, from the several nations contributing forces to UNPROFOR, and from the nations bordering the former Yugoslavia--all of whom have played an important role in the process which is culminating here today. After four days of intensive discussions, the Bosnian Government has reached agreement with the Croatian Government and representatives of the Bosnian-Croat community on a framework agreement for a bicommunal federation in Bosnia. This new agreement sets out the structure for a new federation of the Bosnian and Bosnian-Croat communities in the country of Bosnia. The agreement provides for a strong central government and substantial local self- government. Importantly, it defines the responsibilities of each level of government within the federation. It provides mechanisms to guarantee the human rights of all Bosnian citizens. The agreement also creates a high-level transitional committee composed of representatives of the two parties. This committee will take immediate, concrete steps to establish the new federation. It will begin its work this Friday and plans to complete by the 15th of March a new constitution and an agreement on confederation between Croatia and the new federation described here. The agreement shows how much can be accomplished, even after bitter years of violence, when the two sides sit down together and work as hard as these two sides have to reach an understanding. It shows that peace is possible--but only if disputes, once inflamed by the arguments of force, are resolved by the force of argument. I want to extend my personal congratulations to Prime Minister Silajdzic of Bosnia; Foreign Minister Granic of Croatia; and Mr. Zubak, representing the Bosnian-Croats, for the statesmanship that they've displayed over the last four days. I want to also thank President Izetbegovic and President Tudjman for their support and cooperation all through this endeavor. The telephone lines have been very active between Washington and Sarajevo and Zagreb to get the involvement and full agreement of the two leaders of the countries. President Clinton has just telephoned both President Izetbegovic and President Tudjman to extend his personal congratulations on the agreement that was reached here. The people of both of these countries, Bosnia and Croatia, should be proud of the efforts of the last four days here. We hope that these agreements will set Bosnia firmly on the road to reconciliation and encourage Croatia in its efforts to integrate itself into the Western community of nations. We also hope that this agreement will provide the basis for a larger political settlement with the Bosnian Serbs. If agreement can be reached, if an overall settlement can be reached, the United States stands ready to join its NATO partners in the implementation of such an agreement and also stands ready to assist in the reconstruction of these sadly war-torn lands. Much now will depend on the parties' determination to sustain the momentum achieved over these last four days. If they act to implement this agreement with the same good faith they demonstrated in negotiating it, this new federation can certainly succeed. The United States stands ready to do its part to help achieve a larger settlement that will ensure a viable Bosnian state, a secure Croatia, and a lasting peace. I will now ask Prime Minister Silajdzic, Foreign Minister Granic, and Mr. Zubak to step forward to sign this framework agreement. [Three sides sign agreements.] Now I'd like to invite each of the gentlemen to make remarks if they wish. Prime Minister Silajdzic. Thank you, Mr. Secretary. We hope and pray this is the first step toward peace. We made a big step today, and this would not have been possible without the American leadership actively seeking a negotiated settlement in Bosnia. We deeply appreciate the involvement of the American leaders at the highest level. A lot of people have been involved in this. We would like to, of course, thank President Clinton for his direct involvement, Vice President Gore, and also those who have been with us here. My thanks go to Secretary Christopher for his patience and his determination to bring peace to our country. My thanks go to Ambassador Redman and all those who have been with us in the last three or four days, hoping with us to do what we just did. We also hope that the American involvement will continue in order to try and keep our countries within the family of democratic nations. We also hope for--and will welcome--the commitment of the United States of America and the other allies to help reconstruct Bosnia-Herzegovina and, most importantly, to implement the final peace agreement once hopefully reached, because this agreement does not exclude anyone. We hope that this will be an encouragement to reach very soon the final peace agreement. Thank you. Foreign Minister Granic. Mr. Secretary, ladies and gentlemen, we have worked very hard for this. We had very difficult and serious negotiations, but we finished the job. There is nothing like the great moral leadership of the United States. The Republic of Croatia is deeply grateful to the President of the United States, Bill Clinton; Vice President Al Gore; Secretary Warren Christopher; Assistant Secretary Oxman; and Ambassadors Charles Redman and Peter Galbraith for their deep personal involvement in making this historic first step possible. Croatia is also extremely thankful to those European countries that have actively supported and promoted this process. Croatia hopes that this process will continue in the same way in a friendly and constructive atmosphere. We expect in the future very strong support for the peaceful integration of the [inaudible] in Croatia, the occupied territory in Croatia, from the international community, especially from the United States. We will continue to work hard, and I hope we will finish on the 15th of March the final agreement. Thank you very much. Representative Zubak. Ladies and gentlemen, today the authorized representatives of the Croat people and the Bosnian Muslim people signed a preliminary agreement about the establishment of a confederation between the Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina and the Republic of Croatia and also a framework agreement about the establishment of a federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina. Today, I am convinced that we took the first step toward the establishment of peace in Bosnia-Herzegovina and also for the protection of the lives of the people of Bosnia- Herzegovina. The Croat people in Bosnia-Herzegovina always opted for a peaceful solution to the crisis in Bosnia-Herzegovina and supported all peaceful initiatives searching for peace in Bosnia- Herzegovina. We are determined that the initiative that is being undertaken by the United States of America will be implemented fully on our part. I take the opportunity to thank the United States of America; its highest officials; and especially you, Mr. Secretary of State; and your coworkers, Ambassadors Redman, Oxman, Galbraith, and Jakovich, who mediated in the search for and reaching of today's agreement. I said--and I do not mean empty words--that the political leadership of the Croat people in Bosnia-Herzegovina will further undertake for the implementation of this agreement. And once again, thank you. Secretary Christopher. I have noticed in the audience, from the place where I was standing there, Congressman Ben Gilman, the ranking Minority Member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee. No Secretary of State would want to miss recognizing Congressman Gilman. We are very pleased, Ben, that you have been able to join us. Thank you gentlemen very much for your remarks. We hope that the process that you have started here today will bring peace and reconciliation to the entire territory of the former Yugoslavia. If we are to bring an end to the tragedy in Bosnia, we will all have to work together and work as hard as these gentlemen have in the last four days. In the days and weeks to come, the United States, working in concert with the European Union and with the help of the Russian Federation and the nations participating in UNPROFOR, will do all it can to contribute to the noble goal of achieving peace in the former Yugoslavia; and I think we should all dedicate ourselves to that noble aim. I want to thank you all again for turning out on such short notice. This has been a rolling deadline all day, hasn't it? I'm delighted we were able, before the end of the day, to crown this achievement by this ceremony tonight. Thank you again for coming. Thank you, and good night. (###) ARTICLE 2 A Foreign Affairs Budget That Promotes U.S. Interests Secretary Christopher Statement before the Subcommittee on Foreign Operations of the Senate Appropriations Committee, Washington, DC, March 2, 1994 Mr. Chairman, members of the Committee: I am pleased to be back before the Senate Foreign Operations Subcommittee. The President and I benefit greatly from your expertise and your counsel, and I look forward to a productive discussion. I am here to outline the fiscal 1995 International Affairs budget and to highlight the priorities and the other objectives it advances. I also will take this opportunity to discuss the Administration's views on the situation in Russia and on the recent tragic developments in the Middle East. For more than 40 years, our foreign policy proceeded from the necessary premise that our overriding national security objective was the global containment of Soviet power. Now we have an opportunity and a responsibility to remake American diplomacy and to reinforce American security in a world unburdened by superpower confrontation. Last month, as you know, the President submitted to the Congress the Peace, Prosperity, and Democracy Act, which defines the overall foreign policy objectives of the United States in this new world. Its passage is a top legislative priority for this Administration. The President's FY 1995 budget is consistent with the objectives outlined in the act. This is the first true post-Cold War foreign affairs budget. It is not just about foreign aid; it supports our core responsibility of maintaining our national defense and promoting peace. At the same time, it broadens the concept of national security by placing greater emphasis on America's economic interests and by renewing America's leadership on global issues such as the environment and population growth. Our International Affairs budget meets the great challenges of our era by supporting the six strategic priorities I have outlined as central to this Administration's foreign policy. Let me describe briefly the significant progress we have made over the last several months in advancing each of these priorities. Our first strategic priority is strengthening America's economic security. Last fall, I pointed out that with NAFTA, APEC, and the GATT Uruguay Round, there was an extraordinary convergence of opportunity for the United States. I am pleased we pulled off that triple play for America's economic future. The Administration has attached a high strategic priority to support for political and economic reform in Russia and the other New Independent States. We do so not out of a sense of charity but because that support is in the overriding interest of the United States. Despite recent setbacks, helping economic and political reform move forward in Russia remains a wise investment in America's security. This Administration has strengthened America's enduring political, economic, and military links to Europe. We have reinforced the transatlantic partnership, not only by successfully completing the Uruguay Round but by renewing the NATO alliance. We have expanded NATO's cooperation with the East through President Clinton's Partnership for Peace initiative. NATO has shown renewed firmness and solidarity in forcing Serbian guns from the hills of Sarajevo. And we are hoping to build on NATO's resolve by vigorously and directly pursuing a negotiated solution to this tragic conflict. We have also deepened our engagement with Asia and are working to bring a better balance to our bilateral relationships with Japan and China. Next week, I will make my fourth trip to Asia as Secretary of State. On this trip, I will emphasize that our economic relations with Japan must be on as sound a basis as our political and security ties. I also will stress that China must make significant overall progress on human rights if the Administration is to recommend renewal of most-favored-nation status to the Congress. Achieving a just and comprehensive Arab-Israeli peace through direct negotiations has been a key priority in the Middle East for me and this Administration since our first day in office. As the President has said, we must not let the horrible violence last week "drag Arabs and Israelis back into the darkness of unending conflict and bloodshed." We are committed to seeing the enemies of peace fail. And as you know, the President has invited the parties to come to Washington to meet continually to achieve agreement on implementing the September 13 Israeli-PLO accords. The President and I will to play as active a role as necessary to ensure that the peace process moves forward. Finally, a hallmark of this Administration is to put non-proliferation and other global issues into the mainstream of the American foreign policy agenda. These challenges include supporting democracy and defending human rights, promoting sustainable development, stemming the upsurge in refugees and migration, and combatting terrorism and illegal narcotics. The International Affairs budget supports our strategic priorities and our other foreign policy objectives. Let me now describe the budget categories that support our priorities and objectives, highlighting how each serves the interests of the American people and constitutes a wise investment for our nation. Promoting U.S. Prosperity President Clinton is pursuing the most ambitious international economic policy agenda of any President in almost half a century. When Congress approved NAFTA, we created opportunities for high-paying export jobs at home, and we built a bridge of greater economic and political cooperation to Latin America, beginning with Mexico. When the President hosted a successful meeting of the APEC forum in Seattle, we reached out to a dynamic region that attracts an increasing volume of U.S. exports and supports high-wage American jobs. With the Uruguay Round, we concluded the most far-reaching trade agreement in history, an agreement to cut tariffs, lower barriers, spur growth, create American jobs, and add $5 trillion to the world's output over the next decade. Ensuring our nation's economic security is the central objective of this Administration. America's prosperity is directly tied to the growth and integration of the global economy. Exports are the fastest-growing source of high- paying jobs in our economy. We are working aggressively to open markets to American goods and services, and to help U.S. companies penetrate those markets. To cite one powerful example, the $6 billion airframe contract Saudi Arabia awarded last month to Boeing and McDonnell Douglas will support thousands of American jobs. Of course, the main reason for the sale was the superiority of the American product. But the State Department, our embassy in Riyadh, and I myself worked hard from the outset of this Administration, in conjunction with Secretary Brown and Secretary Pena, to help make this order possible. I have instructed our embassies around the world to attach the highest priority to advancing the interests of American workers, exporters, and investors. I believe that these efforts make a difference for American businesses every day. The Administration is requesting more than $1 billion for trade and investment programs administered by the Export-Import Bank, the Agriculture Department, the Trade and Development Agency, and the Overseas Private Investment Corporation. These programs are complemented by the export promotion efforts of the Department of Commerce, the State Department, and our embassies. The sums we are seeking will generate far more program activity than indicated by the budget numbers alone. For example, Eximbank's $796 million will result in $17.5 billion in loans, guarantees and insurance. OPIC's $20 million will generate $376 million in loans and guarantees. The multiplier effect of these investments can be measured in the thousands of American jobs they create or sustain. Building Democracy Promoting democracy reflects our ideals and reinforces our interests. As President Clinton noted in his State of the Union address, ". . . the best strategy to ensure our security and to build a durable peace is to support the advance of democracy elsewhere." Support for democratic and economic reform in Russia and the other New Independent States is a strategic priority for our foreign policy and the focus of a substantial part of our International Affairs budget. I want to place special attention on Russia in my testimony today in light of recent events, including the espionage revelations of last week. We have made clear to the Russian Government that the Ames case is a very serious matter. We have had no illusions about this aspect of Russian behavior. As our arrest of the Ames couple makes clear, we will remain vigilant in protecting our national security interests. We will make sure that America's intelligence and counter-intelligence capabilities remain the best in the world. This winter has brought renewed fears about Russia's future. While parliamentary elections were a step forward in building democracy, they gave a boost to opponents of reform. Powerful forces are arrayed against reform, not only in the intelligence services but in economic and foreign policy. Many would undermine the progress that Russia has made. They would countenance the hyper-inflation that corrodes living standards and hampers investment and trade. And they would violate the independence of Russia's neighbors. Let me emphasize, Mr. Chairman, that our policy is guided by a firm sense of our interests and a clear-eyed understanding of the facts on the ground. We have always recognized the difficulties facing reform in Russia. We know that Russia cannot overcome the Soviet legacy overnight. We expected setbacks; we expect more in the future. We must be realistic in our expectations, steady in our support for reform, and unequivocal in our opposition to the enemies of reform. It is inevitable that as we continue to develop our relations with Russia, we will have differences. To name one example, President Yeltsin insisted last week, as he has several times since last summer, that any expansion of NATO must include Russia. However, as President Clinton has made clear all along, NATO, and NATO alone, will make decisions on its future--including expanded membership, and who gets in when. NATO was not ready for expansion at this time. Virtually no one supported the admission of any country now. When we have differences with Russia, on this subject and on others, we will address them directly and manage them in a way that serves U.S. national interests. Mr. Chairman, despite the current difficulties in Russia, we should not forget that the transformation in Russia is allowing us to achieve goals that eluded us for decades: a reduced danger of nuclear war; lower levels of defense spending; and the ending of regional conflicts, most notably but not exclusively in the Middle East. We must also keep firmly in sight the gains that we have already made. We and the international community are safer as a result of our cooperation with Russia and the New Independent States. We have reached an agreement with Russia to retarget nuclear missiles that were aimed at the United States for four full decades. With our assistance, thousands of those weapons in the former Soviet Union will be safely dismantled. We have signed an accord with Ukraine and Russia that opens the way for the elimination of nuclear weapons from Ukraine's territory. We are pursuing the full withdrawal of Russian troops from the Baltic states by the end of this year. And in recent days, cooperation from Russia helped secure the withdrawal of Serbian guns from the hills of Sarajevo, and now it may lead to the opening of the Tuzla airport. Russia also has made significant strides. For the first time in its history, it has an elected president, an elected parliament and a legitimate constitution. A market economy is beginning to emerge. More than 40% of the Russian workforce is now employed in the private sector. Some two-thirds of small shops have been privatized. Nevertheless, some say that because of recent setbacks, we should suspend or curtail our assistance to Russia. I agree we must constantly assess these events and their implications for our policies. But I firmly believe we must not relegate ourselves to the sidelines. Instead, we must remain on the front lines. It is not in our interest to be mere spectators toward the historic events unfolding in the former Soviet Union. American assistance is designed to reinforce reform. As President Clinton has said, assistance to Russia is not an act of faith or charity. It is an investment in our security and prosperity. We have requested $900 million to support reform in the former Soviet states. Let us be clear about what our assistance does and where it goes. Roughly half this amount would promote privatization, market reform and democracy in Russia, and the rest would go to similar goals in Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and the other New Independent States. Most of these funds would be spent at the regional or local level. Less than one-quarter would be managed through central governments, and most of that goes for privatization. Our dollars provide capital to Russian entrepreneurs and loan guarantees to American exporters and investors. Our dollars extend technical expertise to democratic reformers, from local councils to government ministries. Our dollars are targeted to areas of reform where success is most likely and where delivery faces the fewest obstacles. In short, we are supporting those who are building a market economy in Russia and those who have a stake in sustaining stable democratic institutions. If we disengage now, we would not be hurting the enemies of reform; we would be hurting its friends. We would not be helping American interests; we would be helping the forces opposed to our interests. That would be the wrong course for Russia. Most important, that would be the wrong course for America. For the last four decades, the United States acted with steadiness of purpose to counter Soviet communism. We need that same combination of patience and determination today to support Russian reform, and we need it for the same reason: it is in our overriding national interest. This budget also includes $380 million for the new democracies in Central and Eastern Europe. In addition to efforts to widen market access, we are promoting Western investment and helping these countries strengthen democratic institutions and absorb the heavy costs of reform. Let me also report that each of these countries has indicated an interest in participating in the Partnership for Peace with NATO. This is an important step toward enhancing the security of Europe and laying the ground for the eventual expansion of NATO. The nations of Central Europe are emerging as stable democracies in the heart of Europe. In the "northern tier" countries--Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia--economic reform already has produced significant results. Last year, in fact, Poland had the highest rate of economic growth in Europe. We have begun to focus our efforts on the "southern tier"--Romania, Bulgaria and Albania- -where the need for assistance is greatest. The fiscal 1995 budget request contains $143 million for a new account to assist countries making the transition to democracy. The majority of this assistance will go to Africa, Latin America and Asia. Some $10 million of these funds, and $17 million in sustainable development funds, would go to Cambodia. The elections last year in Cambodia, which followed a successful peacekeeping effort, opened the door to democracy and stability. The 370,000 refugees once camped along the Thai-Cambodian border have now returned. This modest investment in democracy is designed to consolidate the substantial gains the Cambodian people have made and to ensure that they will be able to rebuild their nation. It will ultimately reduce the need for humanitarian and refugee assistance. When I am in Tokyo next week, Mr. Chairman, I will be attending a conference on reconstruction in Cambodia. In the Western Hemisphere, building democracy advances the full range of our global interests. Stronger democracies can better combat narcotics production and trafficking. Our $78 million request for the Hemisphere focuses on Central America, where we are working to reintegrate former combatants into society and to build military respect for civilian rule. Many African countries are also making the transition to democracy. We are requesting $20 million for electoral assistance and $4 million for the training of military officers and their civilian counterparts. These programs help encourage and solidify the region's movement to democracy and improve the prospects for sustainable development. One African country of key concern is South Africa. We must help ensure that all that nation's citizens can participate in a peaceful, democratic election in April. We are developing an assistance package to help South Africans overcome the legacy of apartheid and secure the benefits of citizenship in a democratic, non-racial state. The success of South Africa's democratic transition will have dramatic implications for the stability and development of the region. In all these areas we will be combatting a scourge with which you are very familiar, Mr. Chairman: the debilitating effects of anti- personnel mines. We have doubled our request for demining efforts to $5 million. Ridding countries such as Nicaragua and Cambodia of land mines prevents the tragedy of further civilian casualties in places long ravaged by war. Removal also helps clear the way for the repatriation of refugees and for economic development. We will continue to encourage others to join us in a moratorium on exports of anti-personnel mines. I am grateful for your leadership on this issue, Mr. Chairman, and I will continue to work closely with you. A key component of our democracy programs is funding for the National Endowment for Democracy, which strengthens institutions that foster pluralism, democratic governance, civic education, human rights, and respect for the rule of law. We are also requesting $1.43 billion for the United States Information Agency. To amplify our support for democracy, we must harness contemporary communications technology. USIA is restructuring its capabilities to play this role. Promoting Sustainable Development We have paid too little attention to the interlocking threats of unsupportable population growth, endemic poverty and environmental degradation. If we fail to do so, the result will be widespread suffering abroad and the loss of export opportunities for American companies, workers and farmers. We are requesting almost $5 billion for sustainable development activities. These funds include about $1.5 billion in bilateral programs to stimulate broad-based economic growth. We are supporting child survival, poverty lending, and micro-enterprise programs to help the poorest of the poor acquire sufficient food, shelter, and capital to become productive and healthy members of society and to provide for their children. Micro- enterprise programs and poverty-lending institutions involve participants in making loans and help them start businesses. They create community-based institutions that not only are the basis for economic growth but are building-blocks of democracy. Since many beneficiaries are poor women, these programs also empower an often neglected segment of society in developing nations. These programs are effective. Infant mortality rates for U.S.-assisted countries in Africa have dropped dramatically in the last decade. In the same countries, vaccine coverage rose from 20% of the population to 60% from 1982 to 1991. Our request for 1995 for Population and the Environment is up 20% from 1994 levels, reflecting the high priority we attach to these issues. By increasing funding for population and environmental programs, we promote sustainable development and invest in America's future. Population is especially critical because it affects every other aspect of development. We are requesting $585 million for bilateral programs and those of the United Nations Fund for Population Activities (UNFPA). Our programs have helped nations such as Indonesia and Thailand reduce their rates of population growth, bringing them in line with available resources and enabling those nations to better promote economic growth and protect the environment. At the Cairo population conference this fall, we will have an unprecedented opportunity to use the money we are providing to leverage assistance from others and to make substantial progress. Protecting and repairing the global environment is another important goal that furthers the interests of each and every American. Pollution knows no national boundaries. Greenhouse gases emitted in Brazil are as dangerous to the future health of Americans as gases emitted in the United States. Yet the costs of further cutting emissions here can be as much as four times higher than making comparable reductions in Brazil. Our budget contains $350 million to help address these issues through bilateral and UN programs. Roughly 70% of our aid returns to the United States in the form of contracts for U.S. suppliers of goods and services. In addition, our bilateral economic assistance programs build markets overseas for U.S. companies. By the year 2000, four out of five consumers in the world will live in a developing country. Economic growth in the developing world leads to increased demand for American products and services. In the case of South Korea, for example, American firms earn export sales each year that are triple the amount of assistance we provided to South Korea over a decade. South Korea now has its own program to aid other nations. Fortunately, the United States is not alone in addressing these issues. The multilateral development banks and the International Monetary Fund are essential to advancing market reforms, attacking poverty, reducing population growth, and protecting the environment. These institutions made more than $45 billion in loans in 1993. They are the largest contributors to global sustainable development. Our contributions to these organizations multiply the effectiveness of our efforts. Finally, this section of the budget funds the Peace Corps, a program that projects American idealism and expertise and that generates immeasurable goodwill. The $226 million requested for the Peace Corps in fiscal 1995 is comparable to the amount provided in previous years and will help ensure its continued contribution to achieving sustainable development. Promoting Peace The largest share of the budget request, $6.4 billion, is for promoting peace. More than 80% of this money is for maintaining and advancing peace in the Middle East, a strategic priority for our foreign policy. The priority we attach to peace in the Middle East is reflected in our fiscal 1995 request of $5.2 billion for the Middle East peace process, of which $5.1 billion, the same as last year, is for Egypt and Israel. Our support for the peace process sustains more than two decades of bipartisan diplomatic engagement and financial investment in the region. It also builds upon the historic breakthrough for peace that we witnessed last year at the signing ceremony here in Washington. Mr. Chairman, we must not let the horrendous incident in Hebron lead to the triumph of violence and extremism. The President condemned this terrible act and instructed me to assure the parties that the peace process would continue. Prime Minister Rabin and Chairman Arafat accepted the President's invitation to move the Israel-PLO talks to Washington as soon as possible. As the President said, "Our purpose is to accelerate the negotiations on the Declaration of Principles and to try to bring them to a successful conclusion in the shortest possible time." We understand that negotiations are affected by the environment. Palestinians must feel secure. The steps the Israeli Government announced to contain extremists created important precedents, and they should lead to increased security for Palestinians if they are implemented. But the Palestinians need more. They also need to see that they can achieve a different future. They need to see that realities are changing on the ground. And that requires the implementation of the Israeli-PLO Declaration of Principles. Delaying or deferring implementation will maintain a vacuum that will be filled by extremists on both sides. We must not let extremists succeed in undoing this historic opportunity. Palestinians must see that the process of withdrawal by the Israeli Defense Forces is beginning and that Palestinians are assuming responsibilities of self-government. Israelis must see that Palestinians are fulfilling their commitments and that Israeli security is not jeopardized. Our role in facilitating this outcome and in providing material assistance is absolutely critical if this process is to go forward. We will work actively with the parties here in Washington to help reach a negotiated outcome and then to begin implementation. We will do all we can to mobilize the international community to help ensure that as Palestinians assume responsibilities, they will have the means to succeed. As for our bilateral assistance, we are working to ensure that U.S. economic aid to Gaza and the West Bank, proceeding from last October's Conference to Support Middle East Peace, leads to projects that improve the lives of the Palestinians. USAID and OPIC will implement $500 million in projects over the next five years. We are also assisting private sector efforts such as the "Builders for Peace" project of Arab-American and Jewish-American business leaders. We are also working to break down region-wide barriers to Arab-Israeli contact. We are pushing hard to end the Arab boycott. We have made some progress in lifting parts of the secondary and tertiary boycott, and we are determined to end the discrimination against American firms that these practices inflict. We will not stop there. We will continue our efforts until the boycott is lifted entirely. The United States is exercising strong leadership to promote peace and security in Europe as well. At the NATO summit in January, the Allies approved President Clinton's Partnership for Peace initiative to deepen NATO's engagement with the East and to begin an evolutionary process of NATO expansion. Already, 10 nations have begun the formal process to join the Partnership. We expect that more will follow soon. In addition, through our cooperation on the Uruguay Round, Bosnia, and other issues, we have put our political relationship with the EU and individual states of Europe on an even stronger footing. Our budget request includes military assistance for Greece and Turkey in support of our long- standing security relations with two of our NATO partners. Also included is economic assistance to Turkey, a nation that plays a vital role in stabilizing this volatile region. A signal aspect of this Administration foreign policy is a new emphasis on advancing our interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Backed by our military presence and treaty alliances in the Pacific, we are participating in regional security dialogues, including the ASEAN Regional Forum, to ease tension and to stem arms races. We have also requested funds for UN peacekeeping. This budget funds expected peacekeeping requirements in FY 1995 of $297 million, as well as $288 million of the $1 billion in arrears expected by the end of FY 1994. Of this, $75 million is for voluntary peace-keeping activities. As you know, Mr. Chairman, we have completed a comprehensive review of our peacekeeping policy, and the Administration is unanimous in support of its conclusions. Our aim is not to expand our peacekeeping commitments but, instead, to establish a process for making sound judgments about when we participate in peacekeeping operations and to improve the way the UN conducts peacekeeping operations. We will always reserve the right--and maintain the capability--to act unilaterally to protect American interests. But when a collective, multinational approach such as a peacekeeping operation best serves our interests, we want to ensure that it works effectively. If we believe that carefully defined UN peacekeeping operations are an effective way to defuse tensions and to deter violence, and that the costs of such efforts should be shared with others, we must live up to our obligations to the UN. By the end of the fiscal year, we expect to be $1 billion in arrears to the UN for peacekeeping. If we do not find a way to pay these arrears, the UN may have to end some of its existing operations. We expect to begin consultations shortly with the Congress on how we can work together to address an increasingly urgent funding problem for peacekeeping. We believe that the Departments of State and Defense should share responsibility for managing and paying for peacekeeping operations. We intend to ask tough questions before we vote to approve each new peacekeeping mission. What U.S. and international interests are at stake? Is the mission clearly defined, and is there an identifiable end point? Are resources available? We also will continue Ambassador Albright's efforts to reduce our peacekeeping assessments and to establish an independent inspector general at the UN. I also want to address a critical part of our policy: command and control of U.S. forces in peacekeeping operations. Let me state clearly that the President will never relinquish his ultimate command over U.S. forces. And under no circumstances will the men and women in our armed forces be sent into situations in which hostilities are likely, unless proper command and control is present. As a practical matter, when large-scale or high-risk combat operations are contemplated and American involvement is necessary, we will be unlikely to accept UN operational control over our forces. Rather, we will rely on our resources or those of a regional alliance, such as NATO, or on an appropriate coalition, such as the one assembled during Operation Desert Storm. Finally, Mr. Chairman, we want to improve cooperation and consultation between the Administration and Congress on peacekeeping operations. We have a number of proposals that we think will address your concerns, and we look forward to working with you. Also included in this section is $111 million for non-proliferation and disarmament. Of particular concern today is North Korea's failure to meet its obligations under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. This poses a challenge to security on the peninsula and to the global nuclear non-proliferation regime. The United States is working closely with South Korea, Japan and others in the region to ensure a non-nuclear Korean Peninsula and a strong international non-proliferation regime. We must also confront international criminal activities, including narcotics trafficking and terrorism. We have budgeted $252 million for these efforts. Drugs and violence rob us of our security, endanger democracy, undermine economic development, and threaten the global environment. We have shifted our international drug control strategy from interdiction to a more effective focus on source countries. We will concentrate our efforts on strengthening democratic institutions, creating economic alternatives to the drug trade, stepping up eradication, and dismantling drug cartels. I know you have had concerns about our Andean drug control strategy in the past, Mr. Chairman. The President and I feel strongly that these programs are important to the security of this country. Counselor Wirth will be working with you and other interested members on our new strategy. I hope we will have your support. Our effort to fight international criminal activity is cost-effective. Surely the price of our anti-terrorist effort pales in comparison to a single terrorist act such as the World Trade Center bombing. And the cost of seizing drugs in Bolivia is one-tenth that of a similar seizure in the United States. Providing Humanitarian Assistance Humanitarian assistance programs will always be part of our foreign policy because they project the values of the American people. They also reinforce our interest in sustainable development. Our fiscal 1995 budget provides $1.6 billion for refugees, food assistance and disaster relief programs. Most of the world's humanitarian crises are man-made and therefore preventable. By promoting peace, fostering economic growth, and building democracy, we hope, over time, to reduce future needs for such assistance. Our funding for refugee programs is only slightly less than last year's levels. This reflects a lower expected level of admission into the United States, primarily of Vietnamese refugees. We remain fully committed to our refugee assistance effort and to working with the private groups that help manage this important program. We are requesting $170 million for international disaster assistance. This includes $20 million for a crisis and transition initiative to help countries that are recovering from civil conflicts and natural disasters, and that face problems not addressed by short-term disaster relief or long-term development aid. This program will begin in fiscal 1994 using disaster assistance and development assistance money. Our humanitarian relief efforts include the delivery of disaster relief supplies, including P.L. 480-Title II feeding programs, medical assistance, emergency shelter, and the restoration of communications and basic social services. Advancing Diplomacy This budget request includes funds to support the operations of the Department of State, the Agency for International Development and our assessed contributions to international organizations. Effective diplomacy, through early reporting, crisis prevention and the effective use of member- ship in the UN and other international organizations, is critical to achieving America's broad national security goals. We are investing in the skills of the people who manage and execute our foreign policy and international programs. We are training them in the diplomatic disciplines of the future, including commercial promotion, economic issues, and global environmental concerns. The State Department and the other foreign affairs agencies are undertaking major reforms, working closely with Vice President Gore and the National Performance Review. The Department has instituted broad-based reorganization and reform of its operations to keep pace with change here and abroad. In addition, the fiscal 1995 request strongly supports the President's plan for reducing administrative overhead and employment by assuming substantial savings in these areas. Similarly, USAID, under the able leadership of Brian Atwood, has made admirable progress restructuring itself to meet the challenges of the post-Cold War world. USAID has put in place a new structure to simplify lines of responsibility. It has conducted an agency- wide examination of the functions of every employee to eliminate waste and ensure efficiency. The agency is reforming its procurement and contracting procedures, simplifying its paperwork requirements, and streamlining the way it designs projects. Most important, USAID is evaluating its projects by measuring their results, rather than the resources it puts into them. All these steps will make the agency more effective. The fiscal 1995 budget is consistent with the President's deficit reduction plan. Funding for the 15 agencies in the Function 150 account represents barely 1% of the federal budget. It is an austere request, reduced in real terms from the already stringent 1994 budget. It will continue the cost-cutting efforts of the last several years, during which we closed more than 20 overseas State Department posts, and have begun closing 21 USAID missions. Mr. Chairman, we have presented the proposed Peace, Prosperity, and Democracy Act and the fiscal 1995 International Affairs budget to realign our priorities, reorient our budget and restructure our institutions in ways that will promote our broader concept of national security. All the parts of this budget are linked by a single, unifying theme: investing in the security and prosperity of the United States. (###) ARTICLE 3 U.S. Perspective on Building Peace and Prosperity in Central and Eastern Europe Stephen A. Oxman, Assistant Secretary for European and Canadian Affairs Address at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, February 17, 1994 Distinguished faculty members, ladies and gentlemen: Good evening. It is a special pleasure to be here at the Kennedy School. I'd like to speak to you tonight about United States policy toward Central and Eastern Europe. Let me begin, though, with a caveat. Some of you may recall Adlai Stevenson's famous words, delivered at the outset of a policy speech. "Your job," said Stevenson, addressing his audience, "is to listen. My job is to talk. Let us each hope that we finish our respective tasks at approximately the same time." Given the uncertain evolution of reform in the former Soviet Union and the ongoing tragedy in Bosnia, some would treat with benign neglect those countries moving with less apparent trouble toward democracy and market economies. Such an "out of sight, out of mind" approach toward Central and Eastern Europe could not be more wrong. The road to stable democracy and functioning free market economies in these countries is long, and it is winding. We all know of Russia's Zhirinovskiy and the fundamental anti-reform, anti-democratic, anti- Western reaction he represents. What is less well-known is that in many countries of Central and Eastern Europe, little Zhirinovskiys and other reactionary forces are emerging that seek to appeal to societies tired from the tension of transformation. The point is that reform's ultimate success cannot be taken for granted. While we've knocked down most of the walls of the past, much remains to be done to build a free and prosperous future. I propose to sketch for you the problems and promise of Central and Eastern Europe. Then I'll explain why we, as Americans, should care about this part of the world. Finally, I'll tell you what it is we are doing to secure the success of reform. As I will explain, the bottom line is that this Administration--as President Clinton demonstrated so forcefully in Prague last month--is committed to an activist policy in the region, a policy designed to help consolidate democracy in two ways: first, by promoting prosperity and, second, by enhancing security. Our own interests demand nothing less. Before commenting on the problems and promise of the region, let me first define what I mean by Central and Eastern Europe. I'm referring to 15 countries: -- The four countries of the "Visegrad Group"- -Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia; -- The three Baltic Republics--Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania; -- The three countries of what some call the southern tier--Romania, Bulgaria, and Albania; and -- The five countries that were elements of the former Yugoslavia-- Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, and Serbia-Montenegro. The largest of these countries is Poland--about half the size of Texas. The smallest is Slovenia--about the size of New Jersey. Overall, the 15 countries cover an area roughly twice the size of Texas. The population is large--about 135 million people, or about 2.5% of the world's total. Yet they produce only about 2% of the world's gross product. The United States, by contrast, has about 5% of the world's people and produces almost 25% of the world's gross product. In short, the economic upside potential of Central and Eastern Europe is very large indeed. I. The Problems and the Promise It's been said that a pessimist is nothing more than a well-informed optimist. Recently, many of my East European friends and colleagues have complained that they've become too well- informed. Certainly, the euphoria of 1989, when the people of Central and Eastern Europe made an inspirational commitment to democracy and free markets, has faded. The aftereffects of 45 years in the Soviet straitjacket make that commitment difficult to maintain. The core problems are economic. Transition to a market economy involves, at a first stage, the decontrol of prices; freely tradeable currencies; and the reduction, or even elimination, of state support for industry--all of which ensure efficient resource allocation and competitiveness. The short-term economic results in Central and Eastern Europe have been unsettling: surging inflation, plummeting production, and mounting unemployment. We are confident that these hardships will fade as economic reform begins to bear fruit. And, indeed, some countries are coming out of the trough--for example, GNP increased last year in Poland, Albania, and the Czech Republic. But most of the economies in the region remain far from robust. The result is the kind of pain, confusion, and frustration that are godsends to demagogues of the left and the right. At the same time as they face these economic challenges, East Europeans are striving to create democratic political institutions almost from scratch. Acquiring the habits of democracy cannot happen overnight. We should find cheer in the fact that free and fair elections have been held throughout the region- -after nearly half a century of sham elections- -and independent media and political parties are sprouting on what seems to be a daily basis. Yet we cannot escape the irony that it is through these institutions of democracy that the discontent brought about by economic hardship finds its expression. Public opinion polls show a marked resurgence in support for the old apparatchiks, who have relabeled themselves socialists or social democrats. One price we pay for freedom is that we cannot select its beneficiaries. East Europeans also have legitimate concerns about their own security. The potential for conflict exists not only in the former Yugoslavia but in many parts of the region, as old nationalistic tensions frozen for almost five decades by war, occupation, and totalitarian rule are unleashed. In addition, worries about the ultimate outcome of reform in the former Soviet Union make people "sleepless in Slovakia" and elsewhere. Yet, for all the gloom and doom, the region's potential is real, and it is tremendous: 135 million well-educated, determined people now have the freedom to speak their minds, to create, to build, to prosper. This dynamic human resource--which even in the darkest days of communism gave the world a Milan Kundera, an Andrej Wajda, a Vaclav Havel--has been unshackled. Of course, we cannot rest on the laurels of promise. As my State Department colleague Charles Gati puts it, we must close the gap between big words and small deeds. But we mustn't lose sight of that promise as we confront the difficult realities of political and economic transition. I am convinced that, ultimately, the relevant questions for peace and prosperity in the region are not "whether" but "when," not "if" but "how." II. Why We Should Care The last presidential election showed that Americans of all political persuasions understood that a strong and effective foreign policy begins with a sound economic foundation. But it also is true that such a foreign policy is an essential ingredient to economic well- being at home. Put another way, a strong and effective foreign policy and domestic prosperity are mutually reinforcing concepts, not a zero-sum game. Nowhere is that lesson more clear than in Central and Eastern Europe. For one thing, the events of the 20th century have demonstrated that brush fires in Europe-- and especially in Central and Eastern Europe-- may well flare up into all-consuming conflagrations that burn us badly, both in material and human terms. Nothing will better assure stability and prevent dangerous conflicts than vibrant democracy and free market economies. As Secretary of State Christopher has put it, states that operate on democratic principles tend to be the world's most peaceful and stable, and -- ". . . A world of democracies would be a safer world. Such a world would dedicate more to human development and less to human destruction. It would promote what all people have in common rather than what tears them apart." Perhaps nowhere else can the Administration's goal of enlarging the community of free market democracies be so readily advanced as in Central and Eastern Europe. Nor can we afford to be indifferent to those 135 million consumers in this region--not to mention another 285 million in the former Soviet Union. Our future well-being calls for reaching out to new trading partners as well as expanding existing markets. Actively promoting the recovery and growth of the Central and East European economies will go a long way toward assuring our own prosperity by open-ing huge new markets for Western goods and services. So much for self-interest. We must also help the Central and Eastern Europeans because it is right. The United States challenged them to cast away the shackles of communism. Now that they have done so, we have an obligation to work with them to ensure that they receive the rewards of freedom. III. What the U.S. Is Doing To Help That President Clinton traveled to Prague on his first official trip to Europe was no accident. The President underscored the importance we attach to Central and Eastern Europe and described what we are doing to help consolidate democracy there. Two distinct yet connected concepts constitute the foundation of our policy: promoting prosperity and enhancing security. I'd like to elaborate on each one. Promoting prosperity. If the economies of Central and Eastern Europe are to prosper, they ultimately must be integrated into the global economy. For this to happen, we must overcome two hurdles. First, as my friends and colleagues from the region argue eloquently--and correctly--we need to continue improving access to our markets. After all, we can hardly beckon these nations to join the fraternity of democracies with one hand while keeping them out of some of our markets with the other. Beyond this matter of fairness, though, lies a strategic imperative. For reform to endure, the nations of Central and Eastern Europe must be able to deliver tangible benefits to their people. The industrialized democracies can reward sacrifice through our trade policies. Ultimately, one important measure of our commitment to the new democracies of the East will be the degree of market access we provide in the West. Second, for increased market access to be meaningful, the countries of Central and Eastern Europe must manufacture goods that are both needed and competitive. Yes, they already produce some such goods--for example, steel and agricultural products. But only the full transition to vibrant market economies can ensure these countries a thriving future as traders. This full transition will require hundreds of billions of dollars. I am hardly revealing a state secret when I tell you that the bulk of these monies must come from the private sector, given the budgetary constraints on official creditors and donors in the West. This is as it should be. After all, the goal is to create self-sufficient, free market economies, not dependencies. Ultimately, trade must replace aid. In making this point, I would not want to minimize the importance of our official aid. Since 1989, the U.S. has given Central and Eastern Europe about $8 billion in financial and technical support and debt relief. Our assistance has been used for a staggering array of projects. To cite just a few, we've helped the Czech Republic draft a modern bankruptcy code, trained private commercial bankers in Slovakia, supplied propaganda-free school books in Albania, and provided equipment and training throughout the region to help establish modern and independent media. This is money well spent. Down the road, it will pay large dividends in security and prosperity for both the United States and Central and Eastern Europe. The return on our Marshall Plan aid to Western Europe almost 50 years ago makes the point: Adjusted for inflation, we provided Europe with about $95 billion over four years in Marshall funds; today, Europeans buy from us nearly $120 billion in goods and services every year. And these figures do not take into account billions of dollars in defense spending that surely would have been necessary had we been forced to contend with instability, or even communism, in Western Europe. But as important as government transfer payments can be, it is private capital that must feed economic growth in the East. Since the collapse of communism, private investment has been modest--about $11 billion. This is far short of its potential and a fraction of what is needed. Private capital flows are a trickle, not a flood, in no small part because of barriers to investment. So, as we seek to provide greater market access in the West, we must also take steps to improve the investment climate in the East. I see several basic barriers to increased investment, including: (i) Investor uncertainty about the ultimate success of political and economic reform; (ii) Lack of a clear, complete, and consistent legal, tax, and regulatory infrastructure, which is crucial to winning the confidence of investors; (iii) Insufficient physical infrastructure, especially state-of-the-art communications capability; and (iv) Inadequate domestic capital markets. The United States Government has tried to help address these problems. Beyond the direct assistance and debt relief I alluded to earlier, we have led economic missions, negotiated bilateral investment treaties, and established privately managed investment funds. We also strongly support early membership for the CEE countries in the OECD, which provides advice and tough peer pressure reviews to ensure open investment and trade policies in all member countries. But for all these past and ongoing efforts, President Clinton is convinced that the time is right for a series of integrated initiatives to improve the investment climate in Central and Eastern Europe. Many of the countries in the region have now undertaken some of the reforms necessary to build credibility with investors and creditors. Other countries are progressing in the right direction. That is why the President announced last month in Prague several important measures to demonstrate concretely our support for free market reforms. As a first step, we plan to hold a major conference this year on trade and investment in Central and Eastern Europe. This conference, which we are actively planning, has one central objective: to engage the Central and Eastern Europeans in constructive efforts to reduce obstacles to private investment. The United States Government hopes to serve as the catalyst for an ongoing dialogue between Central and East European officials and private sector leaders in the West who control capital investment decisions. I must emphasize the word "ongoing": The conference will give way to a series of follow-up measures that will help transform good ideas into reality. In tandem with the trade and investment conference, we will increase our efforts to help CEE governments deal with the social and human dimension of change by providing assistance targeted to social safety net programs. We will promote regional infrastructure improvements, particularly through projects in which our own companies can enjoy commercial opportunities. We will expand the Overseas Private Investment Corporation's activities in the region through additional privately managed investment funds and a four- fold increase in per-project lending limits. And we are contemplating new initiatives with the international financial institutions and a post-privatization effort that would direct assistance to formerly state-owned enterprises and communities needing transitional help. Enhancing security. All these efforts to help the countries of Central and Eastern Europe thrive economically are likely to be in vain if they are not coupled with steps to increase the region's security. Instability is, after all, a strong disincentive to investment. More broadly, it can derail reform. That is why I am convinced that the recent NATO summit was a signal moment for the emerging democracies in the East. There were two historic decisions at the summit. NATO made clear that it welcomes and expects expansion of the alliance as part of an evolutionary process. In addition, it beckoned its former Warsaw Pact adversaries and others to immediately join the Partnership for Peace, so as to begin the practical process of enhancing security in Europe. Those of you familiar with the opinion pages of The New York Times, The Washington Post, and the Boston Globe, not to mention the Harvard Crimson, no doubt took note of the criticism directed by some at our summit initiatives. Pundits argued that we should have offered immediate NATO membership to the countries of Central and Eastern Europe instead of a supposed "halfway" measure like the Partnership for Peace. It is true that NATO membership now sounds like an easy solution to the security problems facing Central and Eastern Europe. But, as H.L. Mencken once said, "For every complex problem there is a solution which is neat, plausible, and wrong." Let me tell you why the Partnership for Peace is the right answer. It will give partner nations a chance to engage in very real, very practical military and defense cooperation with NATO and with each other and to develop the capacity to assume the responsibilities of full NATO membership. It also will help create a truly integrated Europe, without now drawing new lines which exclude some countries. And it will do this without diluting NATO's capabilities or impairing its current mission. Some Partnership critics invoke the emotionally powerful specter of Munich in 1938. They argue from this German analogy that it is "appeasement" not to admit the countries of Central and Eastern Europe into NATO and build a new Iron Curtain to protect the rest of Europe from Russia. I submit that this is the wrong German analogy. Rather, I would ask you to look at how we treated Germany after each of the two World Wars in this century--and at the results of each policy. At Versailles, the victorious Allies left Germany isolated and burdened by punitive political and economic measures. This approach created conditions that facilitated the rise of Hitler. In it were planted some of the most fertile seeds of the century's greatest dislocations. After World War II, on the other hand, we worked to support Germany economically and politically and to integrate it into Western Europe. As a result, we have enjoyed half a century of unprecedented peace and stability in Western Europe. No analogy is perfect, and we must not seek to write the future by reading exclusively from the past. Still, this history suggests that our policy toward Eastern Europe and Russia today should find inspiration from what we did in 1945 rather than 1918. And that is precisely the approach we have followed with the Partnership for Peace. We want to see a fully integrated Europe of democratic, free market states, committed to each others' security in the same way that the NATO countries are today. That goal can best be achieved if we reach out and invite Russia to be part of this process rather than leaving it outside the door of the new Europe. Of course, should reform experience a reversal of fortune in Russia, we can re-evaluate NATO's needs and those of the Central and Eastern Europeans. At the same time, active participation in the Partnership will go a long way toward enhancing their military preparedness and allow partners to consult with NATO in the event of a threat. In the months ahead, we will seek to make the Partnership for Peace operational, both politically and militarily. As a Polish leader said to me last year, with the Partnership, "the angel is in the details." Through the details, we will be able to craft the Partnership into an effective instrument to advance our goal of security throughout an integrated Europe. Virtually all of the nations of the former Warsaw Pact have announced their intention to join the Partnership for Peace. As prospective partners formally sign up, they will submit proposals outlining the military assets they will make available to the Partnership. They will describe the steps they plan to take to ensure civilian control of the military and to make their defense budgets open to public scrutiny. The partners will send representatives to NATO Headquarters who will work with each other and with NATO to plan joint exercises and operations. We expect the Partnership to hold joint peace-keeping field exercises later this year in which NATO troops will actually work side by side with their former adversaries. This is what we mean when we say that the Partnership for Peace will help the emerging democracies develop, at a pace they can each determine, the habits of cooperation and the routines of consultation that are the lifeblood of the NATO alliance itself. Although participation in the Partnership is not a guarantee of NATO membership, it is the best path to NATO. And it will help ensure that when NATO does expand, its new members are both fully committed to the political principles that underlie NATO and prepared to meet the obligations of NATO membership. The Partnership for Peace is the right answer to a complex problem. It allows us to work toward the best possible outcome for Europe while keeping us prepared--just in case--for the worst. The Partnership is but the most visible--and the most important--of several concrete measures we are taking to demonstrate our concern for the region's security. For example, we are actively reviewing the entire range of export controls--and notably COCOM--to bring them in line with the post-Cold War world. And we will intensify the efforts of our bilateral working groups and military liaison teams as a means of reinforcing the Partnership for Peace. The initiatives I've described that bolster democracy through trade and security cooperation are being augmented in a critically important way. We are working hard to promote grass-roots democratic reform. In Prague, the President announced the "Democracy Network"--a $30-million fund to support the work of non- governmental organizations in Central and Eastern Europe in such areas as social policy and the rule of law. While modest in funding, this kind of effort can have a multiplier effect disproportionate to its size. Through it and similar endeavors, we can hope to deepen the roots of civil society in Central and Eastern Europe. I would also like to note that we intend to play a watchdog role to ensure that freedom of expression is not merely proclaimed but practiced in all the fledgling democracies. As a great Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court, the late Benjamin Cardozo, once said: "Freedom of expression is the matrix, the indispensable condition, of nearly every other form of freedom." Progress has been made in Central and Eastern Europe in securing freedom for the print media, despite persistent restrictions on the distribution and availability of newsprint. An even greater obstacle to building open societies is the lack of progress in broadcast freedom. Television is democracy's "biggest megaphone." It must not become the captive of any one party. IV. Building Democracy The fall of the Berlin Wall was a unique moment of historical catharsis that we in the West shared with the Eastern Europeans. For 45 years, we worked together to free them from the yoke of communism. While we were determined in our efforts, I suspect that many did not quite believe we would ever actually succeed--at least not in our lifetimes. That the end came so suddenly made the moment all the more intense. As a result, the "post-euphoria" stress that we are now experiencing--which is exacerbated by a recession in the West--is deep and at times even demoralizing. But we must not lose sight of all that has been accomplished in such a very short time. After all, just five years ago, the countries of Central and Eastern Europe were still captive. At the same time, we must admit that consolidating democracies takes time. Democracy cannot simply be declared. It must be created and nurtured. The Clinton Administration believes that the United States has a fundamental stake in seeing Central and Eastern Europe flourish. By doing what we can to improve the region's economy and security and to support grass-roots reform efforts, we are helping lay a strong foundation for democracy. This will be a lengthy, difficult process, requiring the kinds of new partnerships between East and West that emerged from Prague. But it will also be an exhilarating, mutually beneficial adventure. In that sense, I know that our engagement with Central and Eastern Europe has only just begun. (###) ARTICLE 4 Export Controls and Non-proliferation Regimes in the Post-Cold War World Lynn E. Davis, Under Secretary for International Security Affairs Statement before the Subcommittee on International Finance and Monetary Policy of the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee, Washington, DC, February 24, 1994 The international security environment has undergone tremendous change over the past few years. The United States is faced today with an entirely new set of threats and opportunities. As a result, the need to revamp our export control system has taken on a new sense of urgency. I would like to take this opportunity to address the question of why the United States will continue export controls in the post-Cold War world and introduce how our draft Export Administration Act contributes both to the economic security of Americans and our non- proliferation goals. In the past, we and our allies had a clear understanding of the need for export controls. The Warsaw Pact countries, as well as other communist countries, posed a serious and clearly defined threat to the United States and to the West generally. We undertook to deny them access to weapons, dual-use items, and technologies. We and our allies agreed upon procedures for controlling exports to these destinations, including allowing for any nation to veto a specific export. Now we face a very different threat. There are still serious dangers, but there are more uncertainties. The spread of weapons of mass destruction and sophisticated conventional arms is perhaps the single most important security threat. The demand for such weapons remains high, as in Iran and Libya. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, the New Independent States in Central and Eastern Europe have new commercial incentives to expand trade in arms and sensitive dual-use items. In many cases, they also inherit weak control systems. Our export control system for the post-Cold War world needs to respond to these new security threats. The overall Clinton Administration approach is to: -- Reduce the demand for dangerous weapons and technologies through support for international non-proliferation norms and through strategies to reduce regional instability; -- Pursue a multilateral export control approach to achieving our non-proliferation goals through the MTCR, the Australia Group (AG), and the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG); -- Design a new multilateral arrangement to replace COCOM, involving transparency and restraint in arms and sensitive items; -- Liberalize export controls and redesign export control procedures and processes in light of the dramatic changes in the world, and keep controls focused only on weapons of mass destruction, missiles, dangerous conventional arms, and other threatening military capabilities; and -- Reserve the right to impose unilateral controls in those limited and extreme circumstances that may require them. Let me describe each of these briefly, focusing specifically on how the Administration's proposed new Export Administration Act contributes to each of these goals. Clinton Administration Non-proliferation Strategy President Clinton unveiled the overall U.S. non-proliferation policy in his speech to the UN General Assembly last September. In that speech, he pointedly elevated the importance of preventing the spread of weapons of mass destruction and sophisticated conventional weaponry on the international security agenda. In addition, the policy sets out broad strategic aims and goals for the United States. We will reinforce international norms against proliferation by strengthening existing international agreements and proposing new ones to meet the challenges of the new international security environment. This will include, among other steps, seeking the indefinite extension of the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 1995 and negotiating a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. We will try to reduce demand for dangerous weapons, through regional diplomacy--as in North Korea, the Middle East, and South Asia-- to respond to the underlying sources of insecurity and instability. Multilateral Non-proliferation Regimes Our policy recognizes that unilateral steps to control exports will not stop the supply of dangerous items to proliferators. Technology has diffused to many countries. We need to persuade other suppliers to support multilateral approaches to constrain the supply of sensitive equipment, material, and technology. We are seeking to ensure that NPT parties with full-scope safeguards who continue to maintain clandestine nuclear weapons ambitions, such as Iran, cannot receive items of concern from the members of the Nuclear Suppliers Group. We are encouraging the MTCR partners to focus on missile-related exports from non-partner countries like North Korea. We are engaging in dialogue with key suppliers like Russia and China that are not members of all the key regimes to ensure their export policies do not undercut the international consensus. Multilateral Regime To Replace COCOM COCOM's future came to the fore when we undertook to respond to the new security challenges and design a multilateral approach to our non-proliferation goals along with multilateral approaches to export controls. President Yeltsin raised COCOM--along with other Cold War era restrictions--at the Vancouver summit and expressed concern that it was harming reform and standing in the way of building a new strategic partnership with the West. The end of the Cold War, the disintegration of the Soviet Union, deep cuts in the strategic arsenals of both sides, and the goal of assisting economic and political reform in Russia and the other New Independent States-- rather than retarding their economic development--all led us and our allies to the view that the COCOM arrangement had outlived its strategic rationale and could not be sustained. That said, rather than sweeping away the COCOM arrangement, we decided there were good reasons for an orderly transition in which the arrangement would be closed down with care and a new regime established to respond to the new security threats. Though COCOM's mandate was restricted to East-West transfers, it had served over the years as a useful body for Western countries to expand cooperation among themselves in various ways--e.g., elaboration of control lists, licensing standards, etc.-- patterns of Western cooperation we wished to preserve and which we considered very valuable in addressing new dangers to international peace and security through coordinated action with friends and allies. High on our list of concerns was the need to ensure stability in the Middle East and South Asia--to deter destabilizing buildups of conventional weapons and other sensitive technologies and prevent the acquisition of such items by dangerous states, such as Iran. These factors led us to approach our allies in mid-1993 with a proposal to create a new, more broadly based mechanism with a security rationale tailored for the post-Cold War world. We outlined multiple objectives in our proposal: -- To deal firmly and creatively with dangerous states--e.g., Iraq, Iran, North Korea, and Libya--that are contributing to tensions in regions such as the Middle East; -- To further the process of engaging Russia and other New Independent States in establishing effective export control systems and combating the global proliferation of weapons and sensitive dual-use technology; -- To close gaps in the non-proliferation regimes and improve our ability to enhance regional stability by controlling conventional arms and sensitive dual-use sales on a multilateral basis for the first time; and -- To remove disadvantages placed on U.S. exporters by the lack of adequate multilateral coordination on sensitive transfers to terrorist states and on other threats. A series of international expert meetings, convened to consider the U.S. proposal, led to a high-level meeting of the 17 COCOM governments last November 16 in The Hague. At that meeting, our Western partners agreed on a set of political principles that endorsed the broad outlines of our proposal and also agreed on a work program for phasing out COCOM and inaugurating a new arrangement. The timetable is to achieve both by March 31, 1994. Moreover, discussions among the 17 COCOM governments have recently been broadened to include the European neutrals and New Zealand. Russia has expressed interest, at the highest levels, in participating in the new arrangement and being among the founding members. At the Moscow summit, Secretary Christopher and Foreign Minister Kozyrev issued a joint statement in which they welcomed the decision to establish a new multilateral regime for enhancing responsibility and transparency in the transfer of armaments and sensitive dual- use technologies and also agreed to consultative arrangements. Despite the very substantial progress, there are a number of outstanding issues. For one, how far will our European allies and Russia go in joining with us to keep dangerous technologies away from dangerous states? Second, will the new regime have real teeth-- particularly when it comes to conventional weapons? We have proposed a regime which involves a serious information exchange and the scope for consultation and concerted action where the risks are acute. There is also the further issue of Russia's acceptance of the obligations entailed by membership in the new arrangement--in particular, its commitment to a responsible export control policy--a question we are continuing to discuss carefully and in detail with Russian authorities. With regard to these outstanding issues, we will continue to press vigorously for a credible regime that will advance our mutual security interests as well as the interests of regional peace and security. With the phasing out of COCOM, we will be putting in place guidance for American exporters concerning areas in which there will be liberalized treatment and other areas which, because of their military sensitivity, will continue to be subject to careful national control. As part of the phasing out of COCOM, we also are negotiating common understandings with our partners about those areas which should continue to be treated with extreme vigilance. Liberalization of Controls and the New Export Administration Act The Clinton Administration is committed to providing economic security for all Americans-- a goal that requires us to support expanded trade and opening markets, as well as revisions in export controls. In light of the dramatic changes that have taken place in the world, we will focus our export controls on those items which lead to the development of weapons of mass destruction, missiles, and dangerous conventional arms. By raising the control threshold for the export of computers and super-computers, the Administration has decontrolled several billion dollars' worth of exports. This will enhance our competitiveness and expand American trade. We have revised the control lists for multilateral regimes to focus on those items and technologies that actually pose a serious threat. In parallel, we have developed the Administration's proposed Export Administration Act to streamline the export control licensing process, enhance its responsiveness to U.S. exporters, and discipline our use of all export controls--unilateral as well as multilateral. Let me set our efforts to streamline the system in context. Today's dual-use export control system is quite different from the system as it functioned only a few short years ago. In the mid-1980s, during the height of the Cold War, the United States Government reviewed about 120,000 dual-use licenses per year. Last year, only 27,000 licenses required review, and this year, due to liberalized controls on computers and telecommunication equipment, only about 16,000 dual-use licenses will be reviewed. The relative impact of U.S. export controls on both government and industry has diminished considerably, but licensed exports still remain important to some of our technologically advanced industries competing globally. As for the U.S. export control process, it must be understood that the vast majority of dual- use license cases--approximately 97%--are processed within statutory timelines. Further, of the 27,000 dual-use licenses that were reviewed last year, only 145 cases required interagency review at the Assistant Secretary (ACEP) level. Fifty-six of these were computer cases which would no longer be captured under the new control policies. Although there are difficult licenses that take extensive time to process, overall the system does, in fact, work. Our bill will streamline the export control system by reducing substantially the time allotted for license processing and by speeding the process of interagency review, thus forcing decisions to be made in a more timely manner. Further, to provide increased guidance to exporters and the public about our policy and goals, a high-level policy committee will be created. Comprehensive annual reports on how the system works will provide guidance to licensing officials as well as exporters. We also propose to harmonize the various sanctions laws that exist for missiles and chemical and biological weapons. By so doing, we hope to make our sanctions laws more coherent, more predictable, and, hence, more effective. This approach also endorses the proposals sponsored by Senator Glenn which deal with nuclear-related sanctions. I should also mention that we are working with other agencies to eliminate unintended overlap between the U.S. Munitions List (USML) and the Commerce Control List (CCL). Following on the Trade Promotion Coordinating Committee (TPCC) report, we have also introduced a number of changes in the Department's munitions licensing process--more than 100 companies are submitting licenses electronically. At the State Department, we have consolidated most of our export control functions into one bureau, which also has responsibility for non-proliferation. This will ensure a more coordinated approach to export control policy. Disciplines on Unilateral Controls The Administration's bill will enhance our ability to achieve important nonproliferation and foreign policy goals by placing an emphasis on multilateralism, while maintaining the prerogative to use unilateral controls when absolutely necessary. We will do so in a disciplined way to deal with objectionable behavior--such as support for terrorist activities or violations of human rights. By implementing all the above-stated reforms, we believe that we will create an export control process that addresses all our national security, non-proliferation, and foreign policy concerns--including our economic interests-- while imposing the minimum burden necessary on U.S. exporters. We are engaged in a process to create the framework for an export control policy for a new era. We strongly believe that we must not and cannot fall back from our responsibility to carry out an effective non- proliferation policy and support our foreign policy interests. We do believe that unilateral controls are not the controls of choice and that they should be used sparingly. On the other hand, we also believe that the President must have the authority to control exports to countries engaged in terrorist acts or egregious human rights abuses, for example. Iran is a case in point, and the lessons we all learned from the Iraq experience compel us to hold firm to these principles. The bill provides for greater discipline in our use of export controls by subjecting all controls--unilateral as well as multilateral-- to tougher criteria and greater transparency. Prior to the imposition, extension, or expansion of any control, the President must determine that the control is, in fact, essential to the advancement of our national security, non-proliferation, or foreign policy objectives. For unilateral controls, we have not only maintained the current tough criteria, but also we have provided for the identification of all unilateral controls by regulation. As recommended by the Trade Promotion Coordinating Committee report of September 30, we also are working with other agencies to eliminate unilateral controls where this can be done without undermining our foreign policy goals or jeopardizing the viability of the non- proliferation regimes. To ensure that the system responds to the problems that exporters encounter, our bill expands the grounds on which exporters can seek relief from export controls as well as the scope of items subject to such relief provisions. In addition to a foreign- availability provision, the bill provides exporters an opportunity to seek relief on two other grounds: when our own domestic controls are believed to be ineffective, or when a U.S. company believes itself to be at a competitive disadvantage vis-a-vis its foreign competitors. Conclusion Mr. Chairman, I must be honest with you and say that none of these efforts are easy. These are tough issues that deserve high-priority attention. We are committed to doing that. We look forward to working with your committee to redesign our export control system in the months ahead. We need to work together to build a system that has the flexibility needed to deal with the new, serious non-proliferation and foreign policy threats we face, while supporting legitimate exports. (###) ARTICLE 5 Resumption of U.S.-North Korea Negotiations on Nuclear and Other Issues Statement by Department Spokesman Michael McCurry, released by the Office of the Spokesman, Washington, DC, March 3, 1994, including the text of the U.S.-North Korea agreed conclusions. The United States Government has been informed that a team of inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has arrived in Pyongyang to begin work at North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear research facility. The IAEA team will carry out activities aimed at verifying that nuclear material at these facilities has not been diverted since earlier IAEA inspections and facilitating future verification. The team expects to complete these inspections, necessary to ensure continuity of safeguards in North Korea, in about two weeks. We have also been informed that representatives of the Republic of Korea (R.O.K.) and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (D.P.R.K.) resumed discussions earlier today, in the Joint Security Area at Panmunjom, on the exchange of special envoys who will address intra-Korean issues, including the nuclear issue. In light of these steps, the United States has agreed with the D.P.R.K. to meet in Geneva, Switzerland, on March 21 to begin a third round of negotiations. The talks will aim at a thorough and broad resolution of the nuclear and other issues that separate the D.P.R.K. from the U.S. and the rest of the international community. Assistant Secretary of State Robert L. Gallucci will head the U.S. delegation to the third round of talks. Also, the Government of the Republic of Korea has announced that it and the U.S. Government have decided to suspend the combined military exercise, Team Spirit, in 1994. The U.S. agrees with that decision. The long-standing security relationship between the R.O.K. and the U.S. remains strong, and the suspension of Team Spirit '94 will not weaken our joint defensive capabilities. The undertakings of the U.S. regarding Team Spirit '94 and a third round of U.S.-D.P.R.K. talks are based on the premise that the IAEA inspections will be fully implemented and the South-North nuclear dialogue will continue through the exchange of special envoys. Agreed Conclusions The United States of America (USA) and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) have held a series of talks in New York, with the purpose of making continued joint efforts to resolve the nuclear issue through dialogue according to the principles of the U.S./DPRK Joint Statement of June 11, 1993. Pursuant to the consultations, both sides have agreed to take four simultaneous steps on March 1, 1994 as follows: 1. The USA announces its decision to agree with the Republic of Korea's suspension of the Team Spirit '94 joint military exercise. 2. The inspections necessary for the continuity of safeguards as agreed between the IAEA and the DPRK on February 15, 1994 begin and will be completed within the period agreed by the IAEA and the DPRK. 3. The working level contacts resume in Panmunjom for the exchange of North-South Special Envoys. 4. The USA and DPRK announce that the third round of U.S./DPRK talks will begin on March 21, 1994 in Geneva. Each of these simultaneous steps is required for the implementation of these agreed conclusions. (###) ARTICLE 6 U.S.-Latin America Relations in the 1990s: Toward a Mature Partnership Alexander F. Watson, Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Affairs Address before the Institute of the Americas, La Jolla, California, March 2, 1994 I am very pleased to have been asked to open the Institute of the Americas 1994 Hemispheric Policy Forum. Your topic, "Reform and Integration--The Challenge for a New Generation," is right on the mark. I think the most useful contribution I can make to your deliberations over the next couple of days is to lay out for you the views of the Clinton Administration on our relations with the hemisphere. The ratification of the North American Free Trade Agreement, following a dramatic national debate, signaled clearly the intention of the United States to engage the major challenges that confront our new post-Cold War world. Resisting a natural tendency to withdraw after victory in an epic struggle, the United States under President Clinton is committed to active international leadership. NAFTA, along with the successful completion of the GATT negotiations in the Uruguay Round, represent decisive steps toward the more open and competitive world economy that the United States has sought for the last half-century. The NAFTA victory is also the first tangible evidence of a new, mature partnership this Administration is prepared to forge with our closest neighbors. What I wish to speak about with you today is the exciting vision we in the Clinton Administration share of a new U.S.- Latin America relationship--one based on mutual respect, support for democracy and human rights, economic growth, expanding free trade, improving the welfare of our people, reducing international tensions and threats to stability, and cooperation in addressing transnational issues that affect us all: the environment, narcotics trafficking, migration, labor rights, population, and proliferation of weapons. Convergence in the Western Hemisphere You have heard similar pronouncements of other Administrations about a new era in U.S.-Latin American relations. From the Good Neighbor policy to the Alliance for Progress, the United States has often stated its noble intentions for the hemisphere, only to see them undermined. Why should you not be incredulous this time? Predicting the future is hazardous business, but I believe that changes in the United States, in the region, and in the world are bringing about an extraordinary convergence of values, interests, and objectives throughout the hemisphere. This convergence permits us to pursue more energetically and consistently the core values of U.S. policy in our relations with Latin America and the Caribbean. This, in turn, will increase domestic support for those policies. Indeed, our relations in this hemisphere promise to be a paradigm for our overall foreign policy in the post-Cold War era. Let me discuss this phenomenon of convergence for a moment or two. First, security: In the past, the lofty goals we announced for our relations with the hemisphere were often subverted by events in the region and especially beyond the region that drew us to emphasize the security dimension of our policies. Our efforts in the Americas frequently became characterized by a concern with stability above all else and, therefore, often by support for regimes that contradicted the fundamental values of our democratic society. The Clinton Administration is properly concerned with protecting the security of the United States, but the end of the Cold War permits a profound redefinition of our security interests in the hemisphere. For the first time since the Monroe Doctrine, the United States and the region face no external threats- -whether from former colonial powers or totalitarian regimes--that distort and pervert our relations. Thus, we can fashion our relations on their own terms. Our security interests are now most affected by the character of governments in the region and their ability to deal effectively with the political, economic, and social problems they face. Fortunately for us, civilian, elected leaders predominate in the hemisphere, and the vast majority are committed to deepening democratic processes and promoting the vibrant civil societies that are the best guarantors of democracy. There is a general consensus in favor of democratic political institutions and processes which are responsive and flexible in addressing the demands of a citizenry increasingly accustomed to shaping its own destiny. Democracy is understood to be the form of government most reflective of the will and rights of the people, most able to maximize the creative talents of the population, and least likely to promote war and violence as a means to achieve national objectives. It is, in the 1990s, the legitimate form of government for our hemisphere. The obvious exception to this consensus is Cuba. Its leadership not only rejects democratic values but disparages the diversity of a civil society and multiparty articulation of interests that are essential to democracy's functioning. We see our policy toward Cuba, based on the Cuban Democracy Act, as consistent with our commitment to support and defend democratic values in the hemisphere. Absent profound and, so far, undetected political and economic change in Cuba, we will continue to maintain the pressure of an economic embargo as one means to encourage change on the island. But we are also using the Cuban Democracy Act, as its authors intended, to reach out to the Cuban people with improved communication and dramatically increased humanitarian assistance. Second, in addition to their adherence to democratic pluralism, almost all governments in the hemisphere are now committed to market economics and to achieving financial balance through tax reform, monetary and fiscal discipline, and privatization. They are gaining real international competitiveness as they open up their economies to international trade and free up internal markets. Capital inflows are at record levels. For 1992 and 1993, preliminary estimates indicate that new investment is almost three times the average level of the 1980s. Inflation is receding in most countries and is below or near single-digit levels in a number of countries which not so long ago were struggling with three-digit rates--for example, Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, and Mexico. Latin America is experiencing its third year of solid growth. The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) anticipated that growth in 1993 would be around 3.6%. This combination of market reform and renewed growth is clearly positive for the U.S. economy. The Western Hemisphere has become one of our largest and most dynamic markets. U.S. exports to Latin America and the Caribbean have more than doubled in six years, to about $76 billion in 1992; that is considerably more than we sell to Japan and about what we sell to all the developing countries of East Asia. In fact, adding Canada into our trading relationship with the Western Hemisphere--as we now should, thanks to NAFTA--makes the Western Hemisphere our most important trading partner, with 1992 U.S. exports of about $166 billion. By comparison, U.S. exports to Western, Eastern, and Central Europe plus Russia, combined totaled about $112 billion; and to all of East and South Asia, including Japan, about $141 billion. Here at the University of California at San Diego, with a window on the Pacific, you recognize the importance of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, which the first Latin American nations are now joining. But for all the attractiveness of the Asian markets, it is not a region that shares the commitment to democratic values evidenced in this hemisphere. A third element of convergence in our hemisphere is the recognition of the importance of transnational issues and the awareness that they must be addressed multilaterally. We simply cannot cope with them alone. We must focus more actively on the long-term implications for the hemisphere of massive, international migrations, the flow of drugs, weapons proliferation, human rights violations, the continued deterioration of the environment, threats to constitutional order and to effective democratic governance, and the increasing integration of the United States demographically and economically with Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean. We address these transnational issues bilaterally and multilaterally. I am not saying that all the leaders and peoples of the hemisphere agree on everything; there is no end of ideology or history in this hemisphere. No one will ever accuse U.S.-Latin American relations of being boring. Many of the reforms that have taken place are still fragile. But this convergence of values is of historic proportions and offers us the opportunity to forge patterns of behavior and fashion institutional settings that will promote, if not guarantee, peaceful and cooperative resolution of disputes and facilitate common approaches to issues that concern us all. Clinton Administration Policies The Clinton Administration not only recognizes this convergence, this changed reality, in our hemisphere. Our policies flow from it. 1. Multilateral and bilateral instruments to support democracy and economic reform. A starting point of our policy is a fundamental commitment to strengthening multilateral and bilateral instruments to achieve our foreign policy objectives in the region. Therefore, this Administration is taking an active interest in how we can strengthen bilateral and multilateral institutions which already exist and build new ones to address the new issues which arise as technology changes, new priorities emerge, and citizens' needs change. This Administration believes that it is in the interest of all democracies to defend others. The OAS and the UN are now more effectively fulfilling specific roles in resolving conflicts in the region. The UN's global capacities have helped bring peace to Central America and are essential in El Salvador and Guatemala, while the OAS is helping to protect human rights in the Nicaraguan countryside. Central America's conflicts are largely over, but this international presence continues to contribute enormously to the ability of this region--which has been the object of so much U.S. attention--to make the transition to a new political and economic order. The OAS, unlike the United Nations or other similar regional organizations, is explicitly committed to defending democracy and is contributing to the democratization of the hemisphere. Examples of OAS activities that receive our strong support include the new Democracy Unit, which coordinates such efforts as election observation in countries as diverse as El Salvador, Peru, and Antigua-Barbuda. We worked closely with both the United Nations and the OAS in fashioning our response to the coup d'etat in Haiti and in support of sanctions aiming to bring about a political settlement and restore democracy in that country. Learning from events in Haiti and Peru, the Administration worked closely with the OAS to reverse the threat to democracy in Guatemala represented by the auto-coup of former President Serrano. We have taken an active role in the process of selecting a new Secretary General of the OAS later this month. We believe that this is a critical moment for the OAS, when the selection of a dynamic leader could do much to improve prospects for multilateral cooperation in the region. If we miss this historic moment, the OAS, which should play a central role in our newly convergent hemisphere, could be relegated to a sideshow. That is why we have encouraged the members of the OAS to look for candidates who have the highest possible qualifications and experience. The decision of Colombian President Cesar Gaviria to seek election to the office is a positive sign of the seriousness with which the OAS is now seen by the hemisphere, and we support his candidacy. There are also examples from the economic arena of this new commitment to cooperative approaches. USAID Administrator Brian Atwood led a high-level delegation last month to the recent Special General Assembly of the OAS in Mexico that discussed ways of addressing poverty and development. We were pleased also to contribute to the restructuring of the OAS Trade Committee, whose new charter replaces the old pattern of confrontation with a new emphasis on dialogue aimed at encouraging trade liberalization throughout the hemisphere. The international financial institutions, and particularly the Inter- American Development Bank, are playing a greater role in assistance to the region. This trend will strengthen as levels of bilateral U.S. aid continue to decline. That is why, in the negotiations that we hope will conclude successfully next month in Guadalajara, we have strongly supported a large capital increase, resulting in almost a doubling of the bank's capital. This would guarantee current or increased levels of lending for many years. The region is also developing new multilateral mechanisms to address specific problems. You are familiar, I am sure, with the U.S. role in the peace process in El Salvador, where we were an important actor but an adjunct to the "Four Friends" formula devised by the United Nations to support the peace process. You may not be aware, however, that Guatemalan peace talks begin tomorrow in Mexico with direct UN mediation. In this peace process, the United States participates directly in a new set of Friends, giving testimony to our credibility as an "honest broker." I could mention as well the numerous regional meetings to discuss security and confidence-building measures and the extraordinary efforts to control weapons proliferation in Brazil, Argentina, and Chile. We had particularly good news last week on this issue. On February 25, Brazil ratified the Quadripartite Safeguards Agreement for comprehensive safeguards on nuclear activities in Brazil. This, together with Argentina's earlier ratification of the same full-scope nuclear safeguards agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), will bring their landmark nuclear non-proliferation agreement into full effect. At a time when we are so concerned about nuclear proliferation around the world, it is particularly gratifying that Argentina and Brazil have clearly demonstrated their commitment to arresting the global spread of nuclear weapons. Their example will serve as inspiration to others. Similarly, with our support Argentina became the first developing country to join the exclusive Missile Technology Control Regime, and Brazil has indicated it will adhere to MTCR guidelines prior to formal membership. These unparalleled developments will facilitate greatly scientific and technological cooperation between the United States and those countries. Moreover, Argentina and Chile recently deposited their instruments of ratification of the Treaty of Tlatelolco, and Brazil is expected to follow suit soon. In addition to our participation in and strong support for multilateral approaches to issues in our hemisphere, another critical part of our policy is vigorous, more comprehensive bilateral arrangements. Here, our relationship with Mexico can serve as something of a model for what we should be working toward with our other neighbors. What we are seeking--and have to a significant extent already achieved with Mexico through the Binational Commission--are mechanisms for addressing the many problems which inevitably arise between neighbors. Frequent meetings provide clear understandings of our mutual interests and available resources and venues for dealing with misunderstandings or unanticipated issues. Such mechanisms, if we get the rules and the structures for consultation right, enhance understanding, predictability, and flexibility. Obviously, our geographic proximity and the intensity of our interrelationship make Mexico something of a special case. But the issues between us are certainly not unique. I have spoken so far only of inter-governmental relationships. But increasingly, as our societies and economies mature and as technology shrinks the distances between us, most of the threads in the fabric of relations among nations will be made up of private relationships among citizens and non- governmental groups of different nations. The participation of non-governmental organizations in the political process is growing everywhere in Latin America, the Caribbean, and the United States. Citizens expressing their views--through political parties and the ballot box and groups which represent more specific interests and concerns- -help keep governments responsible, able to identify and articulate new issues, and responsive to new needs and changed circumstances. A regional network of private relationships in the hemisphere is now beginning to develop. Labor has a long history of transnational organization. Business also has transnational associations. But many other groupings across the spectrum--indigenous peoples; women; professional groups like journalists and scientists and lawyers and health specialists; citizens interested in environmental protection, children's welfare, protection of historical sites, safeguarding of human rights- -are forming. The development of a network of articulate and well-organized citizen groups within and among countries is one of the strongest guarantors of democracy and responsive government. An indicator of our own faith in this process is the series of agreements we have signed with seven countries which will use savings from debt reduction to provide some $20 million this year to help fund the environmental and child development activities of NGOs. In addition, our USAID programs foster the development of NGOs throughout the hemisphere. 2. The key role of NAFTA in advancing economic reform. As I mentioned at the outset of my remarks, NAFTA was the signal event in U.S. policy toward our neighbors last year and a foundation on which future policies will rest. The NAFTA debate in the media and in Congress made clear that NAFTA is far more than a trade pact. First, the NAFTA debate was a defining moment for this Administration's commitment to free trade. Protectionism, jingoism, and Ross Perot lost; free trade, equitable treatment for our neighbors, and Bill Clinton won. Second, NAFTA and its side agreements represent the consolidation in international law of the commitment which the Mexican Government first undertook almost a decade ago to market-based policies. By opening markets, stimulating growth, creating jobs, and supporting reforms, NAFTA and its supplementary agreements should promote democracy and good government in Mexico. NAFTA offers the promise of a more predictable and stable relationship between our two countries and Canada. Third, NAFTA also promotes a pattern of cooperation between the United States, Mexico, and Canada that will be essential to dealing effectively with increasingly important transnational issues such as labor standards, environmental degradation, narcotics trafficking, law enforcement, migration, and health. Finally, NAFTA advances a vision for the U.S.- Latin America relationship as a community of nations committed to democracy, bound together by open markets and rising standards of living, and dedicated to the peaceful resolution of disputes. This vision has been a powerful stimulus to reformist Latin American leaders to intensify their efforts to restructure their economies and societies. Latin American leaders have been telling the United States for a decade that trade, not aid, is the key to mutually advantageous relationships and real economic progress. NAFTA and succeeding agreements will open demands for investment as well as trade, thus attracting resources from private sectors of our economies that far surpass what can be provided by public funds from either domestic or international sources. Our leadership in the Uruguay Round and NAFTA signals that the U.S. will continue to lead the world toward a more open trading system as we have for half a century and that we, as a nation, have the long-range vision and confidence to compete effectively in the world economy. As a direct result of meetings between President Clinton and leaders from the Caribbean and Central America, we will announce momentarily measures that will address the concerns of CBI countries about the impact of NAFTA on their trade with the U.S. We are also very close to producing--as required by legislation--a list by May 1 of those countries which are most likely to be eligible for the next free-trade negotiations. The U.S. will take another step to stimulate regional cooperation through the hemispheric summit of all the democratically elected heads of states that was announced by Vice President Gore on his trip to Mexico. We are actively engaged in preparing for the summit, both substantively and logistically. We envision the summit as a confirmation of hemispheric convergence and a generator of new initiatives to strengthen the Americas. I should note also that later this month, Vice President Gore will visit Bolivia, Argentina, and Brazil. 3. Sub-regional economic integration. I have talked about multilateral institutions and bilateral arrangements as tools for consolidating the new, cooperative relationship between the U.S. and Latin America. Another important aspect of that relationship in the future will be the sub-regional integration which is underway in Latin America and the Caribbean. Latin America, of course, has a long history of inward-looking and protectionist integration; today, the old groupings are being completely revamped to be outward-looking and export oriented. All the integration groupings are committed to implement common external tariffs which are generally no higher than 20%. As barriers drop, both within these groups and with the outside world, trade among Latin American countries is booming, with the corollary benefit of increased opportunities for U.S. exporters as well. The list includes arrangements such as those between Chile and several other countries; between Venezuela, Colombia, and Ecuador; as well as the Central American Common Market; the Andean Pact; MERCOSUR; and CARICOM. Contrary to some opinions, the U.S. welcomes these trends. We want to see a region of countries which are open to each other and to the world, with increased trade, investment, and other exchanges throughout the hemisphere and the globe. And we see the growth of sub- regional trade, economic liberalization, and integration as a sound base for further progress toward hemispheric free trade. Next, I would like to turn briefly to two major problems which seriously threaten the still fragile political and economic evolution of our hemisphere. 4. The challenge of poverty. The poverty which exists in Latin America and the Caribbean is a challenge which we must address if we hope to maintain support for both democracy and market economics. That challenge is enormous. By UN estimates, about 45% of Latin America's people live in poverty. Per capita income in 1992 for the region was still 7% below that for 1981. Regretfully, income inequality is greater in Latin America than in any other region of the world. Moreover, the disparities between wealth and poverty are increasingly apparent--and politically volatile--with increasing urbanization and improved means of communication. Major efforts are underway to increase the economic and political participation of marginal groups. But the keys to a sustained expansion of the middle class and diminution of poverty are continued rapid economic reform and the institutionalization of responsive, democratic government. Economic reform is not incompatible with efforts to address poverty in a structural way, as some assert. Indeed, it is essential to it; for instance: -- The progressive lowering of inflation in the hemisphere may be the single biggest benefit for the poor and the middle class, whose incomes tend to be fixed and quickly eroded by inflation. -- Eliminating artificial protection or subsidies for inefficient industries lowers the cost of living, which is of greatest benefit to the middle class and the poor. Growth fostered by market-based policies also provides increased resources for social programs. More effective democratic institutions, including free labor unions, build the political basis for addressing problems of poverty. It is a measure of the deepening democracy and social responsibility in the region that many countries are beginning to refocus their spending away from programs that benefit elites toward basic education and primary health care and safety nets for the most vulnerable. U.S. assistance programs and the Inter-American Development Bank, under Enrique Iglesias's able leadership and with our strong support, are focused increasingly on reducing poverty and addressing other serious social issues. 5. Effective democratic governance. As democracy and economic reform flourish, we face another major challenge: improving the functioning of government, its efficiency, and its honesty, throughout the hemisphere. Failure to meet this challenge will threaten not only specific governments but political systems themselves. The commitment to effective governance is growing--and not just in Latin America. In the United States, the effort to reinvent government led by Vice President Gore is a major attempt to improve governance here--to make our government more efficient and responsive. In Latin America, there is a growing, new perception of government's role that is more limited and more realistic, which focuses on those functions which only government can do and which government must do. Government is becoming leaner and more efficient throughout the region. It is also becoming cleaner. In the past year, presidents in several countries were forced from office for malfeasance and replaced through constitutional means. The OAS has formally recognized the need to improve legal and administrative structures so as to prevent corruption and improve effectiveness. And the Inter-American Development Bank is adopting "modernization of the state" as one of the guiding principles of its Eighth Capital Replenishment. Only through such modernization can democratic governments effectively meet the needs of their increasingly insistent peoples. Market-based economic reform is a major part of the recipe for improving governance and controlling corruption. With privatization of state enterprises and the elimination or liberalization of controls on prices, foreign exchange, and trade, economic decisions are shaped by impersonal market forces rather than bureaucracies which can become subject to improper influence. Progress toward honesty and efficiency in Latin America's governments will also substantially benefit exporters and investors--including those in the U.S.; that means benefits for U.S. workers and communities. At present, foreign competitors not subject to U.S. ethical and legal constraints can sometimes outmatch even the most efficient U.S. businesses. Our embassies in the region will strongly support American commercial interests with their host governments as necessary to restore a competitive balance. The Clinton Administration strongly encourages effective democratic governance, which is so crucial to the great experiment unfolding in our hemisphere. Many of our diplomatic and assistance efforts are devoted to this end. 6. The future of U.S. assistance. Finally, let me end on an issue which has dominated our relations with the Americas in the past but promises to change dramatically in the future: foreign assistance. This Administration is committed to a fundamental overhaul of the foreign assistance legislation, rooted in the Cold War, which has guided our aid relations for the last 40 years. That reform of foreign assistance will, I hope, help to make a better case to the American people and the Congress about the reasons for and the costs of our involvement in the world. As I also have noted, our relations with Latin America and the Caribbean will be more trade- based and less aid-based in the future. This is desirable from the perspective of our foreign policy as well as from our necessary focus on domestic priorities. Also, with continued strong support from the international community, the multilateral development banks will compensate to a great extent for reduced U.S. bilateral assistance. Nevertheless, there is still a very great need for sharply targeted U.S. aid. We must assist the countries of Central America in completing their extraordinary transition from civil war to peace. We must help the valiant governments in the Andes battle the powerful international narcotics cartels, and we must help our neighbors eradicate poverty and strengthen democratic governance and respect for human rights. But recently, under the pressure of budget deficit reduction and essential aid for Russia and the Middle East, assistance levels for our hemisphere have plummeted. We will even be hard pressed to fulfill the international commitments we made in cooperation with a number of other donors to provide essential balance-of-payments support for such important countries as Peru, Nicaragua, and El Salvador. As I have indicated, I believe that we have an opportunity for unparalleled peace and progress in the Western Hemisphere. Modest investments in the region will pay big dividends. We must find the necessary resources for Latin America and the Caribbean and channel them in ways that will protect recent gains and ensure the future. Conclusion I have suggested to you in my remarks today that we have an extraordinary opportunity to shape our relations with Latin America and the Caribbean in a dramatically new historical context. The rebirth of democracy and the remarkable economic changes taking place in the region remind us that the historical differences dividing us are now exceeded by extraordinary affinities that make the nations of Latin America and the Caribbean logical partners of the United States in a world of increased regional strife and divisiveness. We in the Clinton Administration are determined not to waste this opportunity. I appreciate this opportunity to speak with you today, and I look forward to working closely with all of you on the important and challenging issues facing us in Latin America and the Caribbean. (###) ARTICLE 7 Substantive Symmetry in Hemispheric Relations Richard E. Feinberg, Special Assistant to the President for Inter-American Affairs, National Security Council Address to the Latin American Studies Association, Atlanta, Georgia, March 10, 199l4 It is a great pleasure to be back with so many friends today. Working now in government, I recognize more than ever the vital importance of the world of ideas. The Clinton Administration frequently calls upon the scholarly community for informed advice, and numerous scholars have even been brought into government service. Newly confirmed ambassadors are now regularly briefed by academics. We launched our review of hemispheric policy with a conference of leading U.S. Latin Americanists. And we are looking to you to help us prepare for this year's Summit of the Americas. SUBSTANTIVE SYMMETRY Hemispheric relations are entering a new era in which all countries--north and south--face a similar agenda rooted in their common participation in the one-world economy. This is the era of substantive symmetry. Compare key themes of the Clinton Administration with its hemispheric counterparts. -- At home, we are rebuilding a sense of community and social inclusion. Many Latin American nations are pursuing political reconciliation and democratic deepening. -- We are making our economy more competitive and promoting exports. Latin America is inserting itself more and more into the global economy. -- We are reforming our health, welfare, and educational systems. Latin America is turning to its own social agenda. This substantive symmetry makes possible the new promise in hemispheric relations. Let me address these themes in turn: promoting democracy, advancing economic growth, and addressing the social agenda. PROMOTING DEMOCRACY Promoting democracy and protecting human rights are among President Clinton's key strategic foreign policy objectives. This ranking flows naturally from his domestic vision of an America that is revitalizing democracy and rebuilding communities. Today, the United States enjoys a historic opportunity to promote democ-racy in the hemisphere unshackled by the fears of external threats. We are freer to pursue a foreign policy that better aligns our ideals and our interests. As the President's Assistant for National Security Affairs, Anthony Lake, has said, the successor to a doctrine of containment must be a strategy of enlargement of the world's free community of market democracies-- . . . we have arrived at neither the end of history nor a clash of civilizations but a moment of immense democratic and entrepreneurial opportunity. We must not waste it. In this hemisphere, the President has called for the construction of a community of democracies linked by growing economic ties and convergent political beliefs. Only the illegitimate military leadership in Haiti and the dictatorship in Cuba lie outside these promising trends. I reject the pessimistic notion that the current democratic wave in Latin America is only a passing phase, only a pendulum swing away from a return to authoritarian rule. There are dangerous counter-currents and there will be setbacks, but the moment is propitious for democracy to take root definitively. As Americans--whether policy-makers or