US DEPARTMENT OF STATE DISPATCH VOLUME 4, NUMBER 42, OCTOBER 18, 1993 PUBLISHED BY THE BUREAU OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS ARTICLES IN THIS ISSUE: 1. U.S. Military Involvement In Somalia--President Clinton 2. Achieving a Political Settlement In Somalia--Secretary Christopher, Defense Secretary Aspin, Admiral Jeremiah 3. Reimposing Sanctions On Haiti--President Clinton 4. U.S. Response to Events In Haiti--Secretary Christopher 5. Remaking American Diplomacy In the Post-Cold War World--Secretary Christopher 6. Feature: Building Bridges to the Future at the National Foreign Affairs Training Center 7. U.S. Policy on Support for Reform In the New Independent States--Strobe Talbott 8. The New Centrality of Economics: The U.S. and the Asia-Pacific Region--Joan E. Spero 9. Audiovisual Services and Products Under GATT--President Clinton 10. U.S. Policy on Japan and the New Japanese Government--Winston Lord 11. Status of Bosnian Peace Negotiations--Stephen A. Oxman 12. The Vital Task of Lebanon's Reconstruction--Edward P. Djerejian 13. Treaty Actions ARTICLE 1 U.S. Military Involvement in Somalia President Clinton Address to the Nation, Washington, DC, October 7, 1993 Today I want to talk with you about our nation's military involvement in Somalia. A year ago, we all watched with horror as Somali children and their families lay dying by the tens of thousands--dying the slow, agonizing death of starvation, of starvation brought on not only by drought, but also by the anarchy that then prevailed in that country. This past weekend we all reacted with anger and horror as an armed Somali gang desecrated the bodies of our American soldiers and displayed a captured American pilot--all of them soldiers who were taking part in an international effort to end the starvation of the Somali people themselves. These tragic events raise hard questions about our effort in Somalia. Why are we still there? What are we trying to accomplish? How did a humanitarian mission turn violent? And when will our people come home? These questions deserve straight answers. Let's start by remembering why our troops went into Somalia in the first place. We went because only the United States could help stop one of the great human tragedies of this time. A third of a million people had died of starvation and disease. Twice that many more were at risk of dying. Meanwhile, tons of relief supplies piled up in the capital of Mogadishu because a small number of Somalis stopped food from reaching their own countrymen. Our consciences said, enough. In our nation's best tradition, we took action with bipartisan support. President Bush sent in 28,000 American troops as part of a United Nations humanitarian mission. Our troops created a secure environment so that food and medicine could get through. We saved close to 1 million lives. And throughout most of Somalia--everywhere but in Mogadishu--life began returning to normal. Crops are growing, markets are reopening; so are schools and hospitals. Nearly 1 million Somalis still depend completely on relief supplies, but at least the starvation is gone. And none of this would have happened without American leadership and America's troops. Until June, things went well, with little violence. The United States reduced our troop presence from 28,000 down to less than 5,000, with other nations picking up where we left off. But then in June, the people who caused much of the problem in the beginning started attacking American, Pakistani, and other troops who were there just to keep the peace. Rather than participate in building the peace with others, these people sought to fight and to disrupt, even if it meant returning Somalia to anarchy and mass famine. And make no mistake about it: If we were to leave Somalia tomorrow, other nations would leave too. Chaos would resume, the relief effort would stop, and starvation soon would return. That knowledge has led us to continue our mission. It is not our job to rebuild Somalia's society, or even to create a political process that can allow Somalia's clans to live and work in peace; the Somalis must do that for themselves. The United Nations and many African states are more than willing to help. But we--we in the United States--must decide whether we will give them enough time to have a reasonable chance to succeed. We started this mission for the right reasons, and we're going to finish it in the right way. In a sense, we came to Somalia to rescue innocent people in a burning house. We've nearly put the fire out, but some smoldering embers remain. If we leave them now, those embers will re-ignite into flames, and people will die again. If we stay a short while longer and do the right things, we've got a reasonable chance of cooling off the embers and getting other firefighters to take our place. We also have to recognize that we cannot leave now and still have all our troops present and accounted for. And I want you to know that I am determined to work for the security of those Americans missing or held captive. Anyone holding an American right now should understand, above all else, that we will hold them strictly responsible for our soldiers' well-being. We expect them to be well-treated, and we expect them to be released. So now we face a choice. Do we leave when the job gets tough, or when the job is well done? Do we invite a return of mass suffering, or do we leave in a way that gives the Somalis a decent chance to survive? Recently, General Colin Powell said this about our choices in Somalia: Because things get difficult, you don't cut and run; you work the problem and try to find a correct solution. I want to bring our troops home from Somalia. Before the events of this week, as I said, we had already reduced the number of our troops there from 28,000 to less than 5,000. We must complete that withdrawal soon, and I will. But we must also leave on our terms. We must do it right. And here is what I intend to do. This past week's events make it clear that even as we prepare to withdraw from Somalia, we need more strength there. We need more armor, more air power, to ensure that our people are safe and that we can do our job. Today, I have ordered 1,700 additional Army troops and 104 additional armored vehicles to Somalia to protect our troops and to complete our mission. I have also ordered an aircraft carrier and two amphibious groups with 3,600 combat Marines to be stationed offshore. These forces will be under American command. Their mission, what I am asking these young Americans to do, is the following: First, they are there to protect our troops and our bases. We did not go to Somalia with a military purpose. We never wanted to kill anyone. But those who attack our soldiers must know they will pay a very heavy price. Second, they are there to keep open and secure the roads, the port, and the lines of communication that are essential for the United Nations and the relief workers to keep the flow of food, supplies, and people moving freely throughout the country so that starvation and anarchy do not return. Third, they are there to keep the pressure on those who cut off relief supplies and attacked our people. Not to personalize the conflict, but to prevent a return to anarchy. Fourth, through their pressure and their presence, our troops will help to make it possible for the Somali people, working with others, to reach agreements among themselves so that they can solve their problems and survive when we leave. That is our mission. I am proposing this plan because it will let us finish leaving Somalia on our own terms and without destroying all that two administrations have accomplished there. For, if we were to leave today, we know what would happen. Within months, Somali children again would be dying in the streets. Our own credibility with friends and allies would be severely damaged. Our leadership in world affairs would be undermined at the very time when people are looking to America to help promote peace and freedom in the post-Cold War world. And all around the world, aggressors, thugs, and terrorists will conclude that the best way to get us to change our policies is to kill our people.It would be open season on Americans. That is why I am committed to getting this job done in Somalia, not only quickly, but also effectively. To do that, I am taking steps to ensure troops from other nations are ready to take the place of our own soldiers. We have already withdrawn some 20,000 troops, and more than that number have replaced them from over two dozen other nations. Now we will intensify efforts to have other countries deploy more troops to Somalia to assure that security will remain when we are gone. And we will complete the replacement of U.S. military logistics personnel with civilian contractors who can provide the same support to the United Nations. While we are taking military steps to protect our own people and to help the UN maintain a secure environment, we must pursue new diplomatic efforts to help the Somalis find a political solution to their problems. That is the only kind of outcome that can endure. Fundamentally, the solution to Somalia's problems is not a military one. It is political. Leaders of the neighboring African states, such as Ethiopia and Eritrea, have offered to take the lead in efforts to build a settlement among the Somali people that can preserve order and security. I have directed my representatives to pursue such efforts vigorously. I have asked Ambassador Bob Oakley, who served effectively in two administrations as our representative in Somalia, to travel again to the region immediately to advance this process. Obviously, even then there is no guarantee that Somalia will rid itself of violence and suffering. But at least we will have given Somalia a reasonable chance. This week some 15,000 Somalis took to the streets to express sympathy for our losses, to thank us for our effort. Most Somalis are not hostile to us, but grateful. They want to use this opportunity to rebuild their country. It is my judgment--and that of my military advisors--that we may need up to 6 months to complete these steps and to conduct an orderly withdrawal. We will do what we can to complete the mission before then. All American troops will be out of Somalia no later than March 31, except for a few hundred support personnel in noncombat roles. If we take these steps--if we take the time to do the job right--I am convinced we will have lived up to the responsibilities of American leadership in the world. And we will have proved that we are committed to addressing the new problems of a new era. When our troops in Somalia came under fire this last weekend, we witnessed a dramatic example of the heroic ethic of our American military. When the first Black Hawk helicopter was downed this weekend, the other American troops didn't retreat, although they could have. Some 90 of them formed a perimeter around the helicopter, and they held that ground under intensely heavy fire. They stayed with their comrades. That's the kind of soldiers they are. That's the kind of people we are. So let us finish the work we set out to do. Let us demonstrate to the world, as generations of Americans have done before us, that when Americans take on a challenge, they do the job right. Let me express my thanks and my gratitude and my profound sympathy to the families of the young Americans who were killed in Somalia. My message to you is, your country is grateful, and so is the rest of the world, and so are the vast majority of the Somali people. Our mission from this day forward is to increase our strength, do our job, bring our soldiers out, and bring them home. Thank you, and God bless America. (###) ARTICLE 2 Achieving a Political Settlement in Somalia Secretary Christopher, Defense Secretary Aspin, Admiral Jeremiah Remarks at White House press briefing, Washington, DC, October 7, 1993 Secretary Christopher. Good afternoon. You have just heard the President explain the reasons why American forces went to Somalia, what they have accomplished, and the reasons why the forces will remain there. From the standpoint of American foreign policy, the steadiness of purpose that the President showed is absolutely essential for the effective conduct of a foreign policy. Any less resolute a course would certainly have been damaging, and I am very pleased that this determined course has been set. In a few minutes, Secretary Aspin will describe the military aspects, and Admiral Jeremiah will speak to an aspect of that as well. But first, I would like to discuss our diplomatic strategy under the policy that the President laid down today. We have been pressing the United Nations to refocus the Somalia operation on the political process of national reconciliation. Secretary General Boutros-Ghali will travel to the region later this month, and he has indicated that the UN will pursue rapid progress on the political track. At the same time, we're sending messages to 30 countries that contribute various kinds of support to the UNOSOM effort, asking that they remain in the country until it is secure. The United States has carried the heaviest part of the load in Somalia. We are now asking certain other countries to increase the number of their troops there to finish the job. We have also asked Ambassador Oakley, who served as Special Envoy to Somalia from December through March, to meet with leaders in the region to obtain their support for the political strategy. He is leaving for the region tonight. We have sent a message to President Meles of Ethiopia, asking him to help bring about an early cease-fire. We will be working with President Meles to establish an independent international commission to investigate and resolve the issues stemming from the attacks on UNOSOM, and from the other acts of violence in Somalia. We are also sending messages to the leaders of Eritrea, Kenya, and Djibouti, asking for their help in achieving a political settlement in Somalia. We are asking the Organization of African Unity (OAU) to take an active role in bringing together the different factions in Somalia. We have solicited the support of Egyptian President Mubarak, who is this year President of the OAU. We'll be sending a similar message to the OAU Secretary General Salim Salim. The United States intends to work particularly closely with President Meles, the OAU, and the Somalis to try to arrange a Somali leadership conference as soon as possible. Almost a year ago the United States responded heroically to the question of mass starvation in Somalia; now, we, together with the United Nations, neighboring countries, and the OAU must work urgently to help the Somalis find a settlement to the problem and to mobilize the humanitarian rescue. We are looking to the African leaders to help us find an African solution to an African problem. We are going to be relying heavily on such leaders as President Meles, President Issaias, and others in the region to help fashion a solution to the problem, which goes along with the military track that Secretary Aspin and General Jeremiah will be talking about. As I look back, one of the things that happened over the last several months is that we focused very heavily on the military track, and we lost focus on the political track. We are now asking the UN to refocus on the political track and to try to seek a national reconciliation in Somalia so that that country can get on with its life and well-being. Secretary Aspin. Secretary Aspin. Thank you, Chris. Let me just do a brief statement, and then let me talk a little bit about the military deployments, and then turn it over to Admiral Jeremiah, who also has some information on the deployments. First, I want to say that the American men and women that we have sent to Somalia have performed their mission with unmatched distinction. They represent the very best this nation has to offer. There are no words to describe our pride in the bravery they demonstrated under fire, our agony over the loss of their precious lives, and the suffering of our wounded and detained. There are, however, words available to send a clear message to those who are illegally detaining an American serviceman. The message to Mr. Aideed is this: Do not underestimate American resolve. Do not think that any harm you do to our servicemen will be forgotten by me, the President, or by the American people. We intend to have our man back. And we hold you personally responsible for his safety. Besides that statement, let me just say a few words about the situation as far as the military deployments goes. First, the numbers. After this deployment has been completed, and including the people that are already in country, the total number of American servicemen in Somalia will be on the order of 7,100 people. In addition, there will be an offshore marine presence which will total 3,600. So these are the numbers that are relevant. There is an on-shore presence that will go from--roughly, what is it now, 4,500, 4,800--up to 7,100, and the number will be augmented by an offshore marine presence which may be added to the number in country of another 3,600. In addition to that, there will, of course, be a naval presence in the area, but none of them will be on shore in Somalia. In particular, of course, there is the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln coming into the area, and that adds about 6,000 people on board that ship alone. What this added capability will allow is three things: First, it will allow moving the QRF to its old mission. The QRF, as you remember, was essentially designed to be a quick-reaction force if somebody got in trouble somewhere in the fighting within all of Somalia. The QRF was a quick-reaction force to reinforce somebody, somewhere in Somalia. What happened, though, unfortunately, was the drawdown of the U.S. forces--the QRF got involved in day-to-day operations in Mogadishu. This added military presence will allow the QRF to go back to its originally designed mission as a quick-reaction force. Second, we will be adding almost a second QRF in the offshore marines. The marines will add another capability that can be inserted at a particular time with a particular mission, and that would add to the capability. So there's almost a second QRF available on the offshore. The final thing that it does is, it allows--this capability here includes some air power that we did not have before. In particular, there are going to be four AC-130 gunships, and there are going to be the aircraft off the carrier Abraham Lincoln, which are available for air strikes in the area. Those are the capabilities. It will allow the United States military to conduct the mission as described in the President's speech. It will allow a greater presence. It is thought that it will be a force multiplier, because with more American presence and more American activity, we believe the allies will also show more activity. So I think it will be a force multiplier. It will, I think, have an impact on the security situation in Mogadishu. And the hope which is behind all of this, is essentially to bring about the political agenda which we are laying out. The military mission here is in support of the political agenda. The military mission is in support of the political agenda. To carry out a military solution to this problem would require a number of people and an amount of time and an amount of commitment of money, which is beyond all reasonable expectations. We are putting our efforts into a political solution here, but we have military components which support that political process. Let me now call upon Dave Jeremiah and ask him--we will have some questions in a minute. Let me ask Dave Jeremiah for his statement. Admiral Jeremiah, Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Thank you, Mr. Secretary. I thought it would be useful to put some texture on some of these terms that we have thrown around--the logistic support group and the QRF. When the American forces went into Somalia last December, marines went ashore, were subsequently joined by soldiers from the 10th Mountain Division in Mogadishu, and fanned out across the depth and range of Somalia--southern Somalia--with the objective of restoring order and of permitting the transportation of food to famished people throughout this country. That was done. At the same time, we had allies who came in and supported that effort under UNITAF. Over time, we stabilized the situation in Somalia, and it came in time with the introduction of additional troops, and with a stable situation and a secure situation, and to move out and bring back American soldiers, the 20,000 that the President referred to earlier--20,000 soldiers and marines. They were replaced by soldiers from other countries. Those countries are listed up here in the boxes: Koreans, Nigerians, Kuwaitis, people from the UAE, Botswana, Norway--a host of nations. Many of those nations do not have the ability to handle the logistics to supply them in places like Jalalaqsi and Beled Weyne and Oddur. In order to do that, the United States came out as part of the continuing effort that the President referred to, to give the Somali people a chance. We agreed to provide the logistics network to support these folks. I have been in Oddur. It is a long way from nowhere. It is a pretty scary place if you are out there all by yourself and a bunch of folks come running up to you with a technical--a bunch of these teenage thugs come up and start to overrun a 20- or 30-man outpost. Thus, the quick-reaction force allowed us to fly helicopter-borne American troops quickly to the scene and reinforce a post or an outpost in the event that we had that kind of thuggery going on. We have not had the occasion to do it. Our allies who are in that area have been very successful in carrying it out. But the requirement remains in the logistic support force--the logistic command to support this whole United Nations effort: Those two elements were our contribution to the United Nations mission to continue the effort in Somalia to let this nation have a chance to survive as a nation. Now, let me turn to the other chart and simply show you the range of forces and how we draw forces into a particular situation around the globe. Every day that we have dealt with crises over the last 31/2 years that I have been the Vice Chairman, we have brought to bear the men and women of the armed forces of the United States: the 10th Mountain Division from New York, the 24th Mechanized Division from Georgia. We brought some forces in from the Mediterranean, where we had the marines deployed on navy amphibious ships. We brought in some air force AC-130s, and you can see the composition, the numbers of people, and the organizations that they represent. We brought the nuclear powered carrier Lincoln down from the Persian Gulf in order to provide the firepower that the Secretary mentioned. And we brought the amphibious forces--the marine amphibious forces embarked on amphibious ships just off Malaysia, they are en route as well. So we have drawn a total force of about 20,000 people together to carry out this mission in Somalia to support the political objectives that Secretary Christopher and Secretary Aspin mentioned, and that the President of the United States placed upon us as we discussed this current problem. Thank you. (###) ARTICLE 3 Reimposing Sanctions on Haiti President ClintonRemarks made in Washington, DC, upon departure for Chapel Hill, NC, October 12, 1993 First of all, the objective of the United States is to restore democracy and President Aristide to Haiti. The instrument of that was the sanctions. We never intended, and we have no intention now, of interfering in the internal affairs of the Haitians, except to say that we want democracy and the will of two-thirds of the Haitian people to be honored. Now, the Governors Island agreement, which all the parties signed, invited the international community to come to Haiti--French-speaking forces, advisers to come in and help to train the police; the Canadians and the Americans to come and help to train the army, particularly for civilian purposes. One of the reasons we have so many seabees going in, for example, is to help the military people change their mission so they can rebuild their own country. This is different from the other missions we have been discussing. This is not peace-keeping. This is not peace-making. This is an agreement that has been made that, if honored, would enable our people to come in and simply serve as trainers--600 of them. So I have no intention of sending our people there until the agreement is honored. What I intend to do now is to press to reimpose the sanctions. I will not have our forces deposited on Haiti when they cannot serve as advisers, when they cannot do what they were asked to do. So we are going to press for the reimposition of sanctions. Mr. Cedras is supposed to resign his post as soon as the parliament can pass a bill separating the military from the police. Mr. Francois is supposed to leave his post. And they are going to have to go through with this if they expect to have a normal existence; otherwise the United States is going to press to reimpose the sanctions. (###) ARTICLE 4: U.S. Response to Events in Haiti Statement by Secretary Christopher, released by the Office of the Spokesman, Washington, DC, October 11, 1993. President Clinton, from the outset of his Administration, has strongly supported efforts of the United Nations and the Organization of American States to bring about a return to constitutional government and President Aristide to his duly elected position in Haiti. On July 3 at Governors Island, President Aristide and General Cedras agreed to a transition process that would culminate in the return of President Aristide on October 30, 1993. Part of that agreement extended an invitation to the international community to deploy a contingent to assist with the professionalization of the military and police, and to encourage them to support the duly constituted government. Part of this international presence is to include U.S. and Canadian military engineers and their logistical support. They are going to Haiti to help professionalize the Haitian military by training in basic military skills and by civic action, such as assistance on construction projects. They are not going to perform a peace-keeping mission. By agreement of all the parties to the Governors Island accords, this international contingent was to be offered a peaceful environment with the full support of the local police and military organizations they would be training and assisting. Those promises have not been kept. Elaborate arrangements for the berthing of an American landing craft, the USS Harland County, were not in place when it arrived today off Port au Prince. The appropriate officials were not on hand to greet the LST, and there have been provocative demonstrations in the port area that were not restrained by the police or the military. We believe the current situation does not justify docking the ship at this time. There are signs throughout Haiti that those who wish to thwart the return of democracy are testing the government of Prime Minister Malval and, as important, the will of the international community. They are willing to put self-interest in the way of history and of changes that will benefit all the Haitian people. We believe the people of Haiti will find their behavior unacceptable. We insist that the Haitian military and police authorities create a permissive environment and permit the peaceful entry into Haiti of the military engineers, trainers, and support staff that are there to help the people of Haiti. In the view of the United States, failure to do so would violate the Governors Island accords to which they are parties. Moreover, in light of these disturbing developments in Haiti, the United States will move today in the United Nations Security Council, to ask the Secretary-General for an urgent report on the situation in Haiti, and for prompt consideration of appropriate consequences for a failure to comply with the Governors Island accords, including the possible reimposition of economic sanctions which would focus heavily on those most responsible. Our Ambassador to the United Nations, Madeleine Albright, will raise these points at a meeting of the Security Council this afternoon. The UN mission in Haiti, assisted by the U.S., is a mission of peace. That mission requires the support of Haitian authorities. If they do not meet their responsibilities to the international community and to the people of Haiti that will benefit from this work, then they will bear the burden of the consequences that will follow. (###) ARTICLE 5 Remaking American Diplomacy in the Post-Cold War World Secretary Christopher Address at the inauguration of the National Foreign Affairs Training Center, Arlington, Virginia, October 13, 1993 Secretary Rogers, Secretary Vance, Secretary Shultz, Secretary Eagleburger, Congressman Moran, Congressman Wolf, colleagues: This new center stands as a proud symbol of the bipartisan cooperation that has served America so well. The plans for these buildings were conceived more than a decade ago. Every subsequent Secretary of State has supported this project, and they have had the vital aid of people like Congressman Moran and Congressman Wolf. Support for this facility across the political spectrum reflects the broad consensus that sustains American leadership. This exceptional center will train 15,000 students annually, using 250 classrooms and 600 rooms in all. Students will come from 47 U.S. Government agencies, and they will study 300 courses, including 63 languages. As far I can tell, the center will have everything but a football team. This ceremony has been billed as a public event, but I cannot resist the feeling that it is more like a family reunion. We are a diverse group by any measure, yet we share a bond that is unique and powerful--lives dedicated in whole or in part to advancing America's foreign policy interests. But we share more than a common experience. We are bound by a common dedication to the basic goals of American foreign policy: to ensure the security of our nation, to enhance its economic prosperity, and to promote its democratic values. Advancing the ideals and the interests of the American people has always been at the heart of American diplomacy. It is easy to make light of professional diplomats. Cartoonists have been putting them in funny-looking striped pants for years. They dress us up--so they can dress us down. But when the nation gets in a tight spot, it turns to people like Chip Bohlen, Ellsworth Bunker, and Phil Habib. It turns to people like those whose names are listed on the walls of the "C" Street entrance to the State Department--people who gave their lives in the service of this country. And it turns to people like Bob Oakley, whom we have asked to invigorate our diplomatic efforts to end the bloodshed in Somalia. We are fortunate that the United States has had such distinguished foreign policy leadership. I salute the four Secretaries of State here today, who honor us by their presence. Bill Rogers was at the helm when we made historic changes in our relations with the Soviet Union. He promoted a cease-fire in the Middle East. And he began a restructuring of the State Department that we are still using and building on today. I had the honor of serving as Cy Vance's Deputy. Cy had a key role in securing the Panama Canal Treaty and normalizing relations with China. By playing a pivotal part in negotiating the Camp David Accords, he helped set the stage for the historic agreement between Israel and the PLO last month--indeed a month ago today. One look at the table of contents of George Shultz's memoirs--though I assure you, George, I've read far more than that--tells you about his era: the Middle East; the Soviet Union; Central America; the INF Treaty. What George Shultz brought to these issues was integrity and candor. George Shultz was also a great advocate for the men and women who work in foreign affairs--as demonstrated by this center, which grew from a seed he planted. Larry Eagleburger, an alumnus of the Foreign Service Institute, has been one of America's most gifted, experienced, and no-nonsense career diplomats. Larry clearly understood the priorities of the post-Cold War era. His "Bill of Rights" for business is helping the Department to promote American commerce overseas. He also knew how to draw the best from the Foreign Service and how to encourage and nurture excellence. The efforts of these four distinguished men--and those of the dedicated women and men who supported them--created the foundation on which we will build the foreign policy of the future. The Clinton Administration is the first to take office since the end of the Cold War. We have an opportunity-- indeed, a responsibility--to remake American diplomacy in a new world that is unburdened by superpower confrontation. This historic moment requires a new diplomacy that advances the priorities reflecting the possibilities and the perils of the post-Cold War era. That is why President Clinton has placed economic policy at the center of our foreign policy; why he has made non-proliferation the arms control agenda of the 1990s; why he has committed America to enlarge the sway of democratic values around the world; and why he has moved global issues into the mainstream of American foreign policy--issues such as protecting the environment and reducing population growth. These new priorities reflect a broader definition of our national security--and they will require an expanded role for American diplomacy--a role that can be cultivated in these wonderful new quarters. For more than two centuries, diplomacy has been a vital instrument of our national security. But security during the Cold War was largely based upon our military's ability to contain Soviet power and to deter war. Now is the time when diplomacy--supported by a credible military force--can assume a new potency on behalf of a strong and secure America. Here at this splendid new facility, I want to offer some plain talk about the value of diplomacy. Our nation does not spend much on diplomacy--not much when measured against the returns it generates and not much when compared to other expenditures. We dedicate only 1% of federal spending to international affairs, which includes not only the operations of the State Department, but also foreign aid and our contributions to the United Nations as well. Those of us who carry out America's foreign policy do not usually trumpet the value of what the nation gets for its money. We think about saving lives, and we are somewhat uncomfortable equating our diplomatic successes to dollars saved. Nevertheless, we have useful ways to express how cost-effective diplomacy can be. Consider for a moment several striking cost-benefit comparisons. First, compare a contribution to concrete improvements in Gaza and Jericho to the price of continued conflict in the Middle East. That vast difference is one reason the United States stands today as a full partner for peace--and why 2 weeks ago we hosted a successful donors' conference to support reconciliation and reconstruction in the Middle East region. While credit for the recent breakthrough clearly belongs to the Israelis and the PLO, that historic agreement also rewards two decades of sustained, bipartisan investment by the United States carried out by each of the former Secretaries behind me. Now we need to make that turning point irreversible, as we work with regional parties and the international community to make the benefits of peace in the Middle East absolutely irresistible. We seek to widen the circle of peace in the Middle East and around the world--and to isolate the forces of violence and hatred--whether they are trying to disrupt the search for peace in the Middle East, to destabilize their neighbors through aggression, or to destroy innocent lives through terrorism. A second comparison: Compare the costs of support for reform in Russia to the price we would pay if Russia were to revert to dictatorship. That is why President Clinton's strategic partnership with Russia and with President Yeltsin is the wisest--and, indeed, the least expensive--investment we can make in our security. Our savings in defense spending--and the increase in our exports as we gain access to the vast Russian market--can be quantified. But what we cannot place a number on is equally valuable: the security brought to us by the end of superpower confrontation and what that means to our people; and our new ability to work with Russia to address issues of importance to both nations. Next week, I will travel to Russia and to other states in the region to reinforce our support for continued democratic and market reform. In Russia, as elsewhere, promoting democracy is perhaps the best preventive diplomacy that there is. From the Baltics to Ukraine and Central Asia, the United States is prepared to use its good offices and its diplomacy to help reduce tensions and resolve disputes. We are also working with Russia and the other nuclear states to help dismantle strategic nuclear arsenals and to encourage non-proliferation. Take another cost-benefit comparison. Compare the expense of diplomatic action to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons with the potential for blackmail by rogue states. That is why the United States is determined to stop Iran from acquiring or developing nuclear weapons. In the same vein, we are working with the United Nations and the International Atomic Energy Agency to prevent Iraq from regaining weapons of mass destruction. We are also leading the effort to pressure North Korea to remain a party to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty--and to comply with nuclear safeguard obligations. And it is also why we imposed sanctions on China and Pakistan after the transfer of ballistic missile components. Take another quite different example. Compare the price of population and environmental programs with the miseries of unsustainable development--or with the scourge of starvation or the costs of refugees. If we ignore these issues, they will return--compounded, more costly, and sometimes deeply threatening to our security. That is why we are working to reduce population growth and why the United States is a leader--not a laggard--on global environmental issues. As part of that commitment, we have signed the biodiversity and global warming treaties. I deeply hope that my tenure as Secretary of State will be marked by an unmistakable emphasis on these pressing global issues. All of these cost-benefit comparisons demonstrate the value of preventive diplomacy. We certainly cannot foresee every crisis. But vigorous preventive diplomacy can anticipate and resolve problems--or defuse regional conflicts--before they ignite into crises. Successful preventive diplomacy can free us to dedicate more resources to the urgent challenges of domestic renewal. The requirements of preventive diplomacy place new demands on foreign affairs professionals. The men and women who come to the National Foreign Affairs Training Center will gain new skills; they will also focus on the new priorities for this new era. Our training and our policy initiatives will reflect a new focus on economic issues in particular. Diplomacy for global competitiveness will translate at the training center into courses and private sector partnerships that deepen our understanding of the global economy. The men and women trained on this campus will emerge as export advocates. They will learn to help promote not just our values, but our exports; to protect not only our physical security, but our intellectual property. Training at the center will be structured to reinforce the Clinton Administration's emphasis on cross-cutting global issues. The environment, population, refugees, as well as narcotics, international crime, and terrorism will all be an integral part of the curriculum. Confronting these global issues will test our capacity to work with diverse international institutions and cultures--and it will test our ability to work in disciplines not always associated with foreign affairs professionals. This center represents an important new investment in the people who carry out our diplomacy. For two centuries, Americans have chosen this form of public service because they have been deeply committed to the enduring purposes of our nation's foreign policy. We cannot assign an exact monetary value to their work. But we can say with great confidence that the commitment, the competence, the judgment, and the courage of American diplomats testify to--and add to--America's strength. Whether they are in Washington or in Warsaw, they serve a foreign policy that reinforces our interests and reflects our values. With the benefit of this marvelous new facility, we will ensure that America continues to have the finest diplomats in the world. I am very fortunate to be here today as new members of America's foreign affairs team take their oaths of office. This oath will be administered by Molly Raiser, the State Department's Chief of Protocol, to members of several foreign affairs agencies. These new employees are America's country teams of the future. It is quite significant that we have brought people from various agencies, not just from the State Department but from agencies all across the federal government. This is indeed a National Foreign Affairs Training Center. [Remarks following the swearings in.] I have the very distinct honor to present the American flag to the Director of this center, Larry Taylor. This flag has completed a 'round-the-world transit in the care of the State Department's Diplomatic Courier Service. That voyage symbolizes the link between this center and Americans working around the world, just as the center will serve as a link between the American people and their representatives abroad. So I present this flag to Larry with a great deal of honor and satisfaction that I am putting it in his hands as an indication of our confidence in the future of this center. (###) ARTICLE 6 Feature: Building Bridges To the Future at the National Foreign Affairs Training Center The National Foreign Affairs Training Center will be a key part of the foundation for advancing American diplomacy and strengthening American leadership in the post-Cold War era. As the Department of State reshapes U.S. foreign policy for this new era, the Foreign Service Institute--which is being recast as the National Foreign Affairs Training Center--has launched an "Agenda for Change" in the way that foreign policy professionals are trained to deal with post-Cold War realities. The development of this training strategy was timed to coincide with a move to a new facility in Arlington, Virginia, in October 1993. As Lawrence Taylor, Director of FSI, sums it up, "This is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to use the psychology of a physical move to make an associated qualitative move in curriculum and training toward excellence and greater relevance, particularly in global issues and in promoting American economic security." Innovative training addressing the Administration's global issues agenda--cleaning up the environment, addressing population issues, building democracy, and fighting narco-trafficking--is already underway. The center's new curriculum-wide focus on these issues provides students with a unique perspective on global problems--and the opportunities to resolve them. To make its curriculum more relevant to the expanding global marketplace, the center is focusing on training to strengthen America's international economic competitiveness. As Secretary Christopher has said, we must "harness our diplomacy to the needs and opportunities of American industries and workers." Instilling in students the tenets of "diplomacy for global competitiveness" means teaching them how to aggressively promote U.S. exporters, protect intellectual property rights, or dissuade foreign countries from imposing new trade barriers. It also involves increasing cooperation with the private sector to better understand and respond to the needs of U.S. businesses. The key, according to Director Taylor, is to develop "activists who will understand and act upon the reality that America's competitive excellence and American diplomacy will go far in determining the standards of living at home and our power abroad." Area studies courses already include in-depth studies of foreign business cultures far beyond just the "nuts and bolts" of doing business abroad. Through these and other courses, students become attuned to the subtleties of particular business cultures, enabling them to assess markets, to analyze and anticipate market trends, and to evaluate changes in attitudes in the society as a whole that can affect U.S. businesses. To perform these functions effectively, foreign affairs professionals will need to use foreign languages with greater effectiveness. Training everyone to general proficiency levels may no longer be affordable or meet the needs of the Department. According to Gary Crawford, Associate Dean of the School of Language Studies, "a 3/3 [speaking and reading level] is too much for everyone and not enough for some. Since we're asking Foreign Service officers to be more aggressively involved in day-to-day activities to promote U.S. interests, we must provide the necessary language training. At the same time, we know from feedback from posts that they want first-tour employees to have more task-oriented language skills--say for reviewing visa applications--but without taking longer to train them." To accomplish these seemingly conflicting goals, the language staff at FSI is developing a two-track program to demonstrate that diversified, tailored programs would better meet employees'--and the Department's--needs. Instructors will use focused, computer-assisted training for first-tour employees to free time and resources to provide broader, more extensive training to subsequent-tour employees slated for a wider range of job responsibilities. This training will enable foreign affairs professionals to work effectively to restore American competitiveness to the cutting edge. Technology is another crucial component of competition in today's world. NFATC is incorporating technology into its training programs--as a tool and as a subject--to ensure that foreign affairs professionals use technology effectively. Interactive software that helps students learn foreign languages is but one tool; FSI instructors envision using technology at NFATC to take training to remote work sites via computers and satellites, and to pioneer "just in time" training to deliver training and information to end users literally as needed. Technological and linguistic proficiency alone are not enough, however, to meet the new challenges facing foreign affairs professionals. In the end, it is leadership that determines the success of any venture. NFATC is reinforcing leadership in all training, to enable foreign affairs professionals to set priorities effectively and marshal resources productively. Most importantly, they will be able to build lasting partnerships with other agencies, non-governmental organizations, and the private sector to build a solid foundation to meet the challenges of new global realities, whether political, environmental, or economic. The entire FSI staff knows the importance of partnership-building: The development of the new training strategy at NFATC is an on-going success story. As John Sprott, Deputy Director of FSI describes it, "Developing the agenda for change was a team effort, and a team is putting it into effect and making it work." The curriculum changes, the spirit of cooperation, and the dedication of the staff and students to making it all work are what Director Taylor calls a "bridge to the future that will be a key part of the effort to ensure that NFATC continues to be the world's finest foreign affairs training institution and an agent of constructive change for the Department of State and the U.S. foreign affairs community." --Christina Macdonald, Dispatch Staff (###) ARTICLE 7 U.S. Policy on Support for Reform In the New Independent States Strobe Talbott, Ambassador-at-Large and Special Adviser to the Secretary on the New Independent States Statement before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Washington DC, October 6, 1993 Mr. Chairman, my last appearance before you and your colleagues, on September 21, ended in something of a flurry. You and I were both passed notes by our staffs informing us that President Yeltsin had just announced that he was suspending the Russian Parliament and calling elections in December. The 2 weeks that have passed since then have been the most suspenseful and significant in the drama of Russian politics since August 1991, when Boris Yeltsin himself was under siege in the "White House." Let me begin my testimony with the Administration's analysis of this latest episode and how it relates to our policy of support for reform. Before the current crisis, the Russian body politic was in a state of near paralysis. The executive and legislative branches were unable to resolve a crisis of governance and legitimacy. The Parliament had fallen into a pattern of passing laws and resolutions that seemed designed to thwart the ability of the Yeltsin government to govern, exacerbate the problems afflicting the Russian economy, and confirm the worst fears of Russia's neighbors. Moreover, there seemed to be little chance of President Yeltsin and the Parliament coming to terms on a new constitution to replace the one that dates from Leonid Brezhnev's time or on elections for a new legislature to replace the one that came into office 19 months before the end of the Soviet Union. During the course of my last appearance here, Mr. Chairman, several of your colleagues expressed deep concern over this state of affairs; they wondered whether reform--which is the object of American support--could go forward. President Yeltsin was clearly worried about the same thing, and that is essentially why he acted as he did to break the impasse with Parliament. Let me now address the question of why President Clinton reacted as he did with a strong statement of support for Mr. Yeltsin. That statement came quickly, within a few hours after the news broke in Moscow--but it did not come automatically or reflexively. President Clinton, Secretary Christopher, and other members of the Administration considered the matter carefully. Americans, after all, are not in the habit of applauding the suspension of parliaments or constitutions. The President and Secretary concluded that the circumstances in this case were exceptional: first, because of the origins and nature of the parliament and constitution in question (they are vestiges of the Soviet communist past); and, second, because President Yeltsin had once again, as he had last spring, found a way of taking the matter to the Russian people and letting them deter-mine their future. On September 21, we were asked to comment on whether President Yeltsin's move was "constitutional," "legal," and "legitimate." We had been asked the same thing on March 20, when he went over the heads of the Parliament through the April 25 referendum. In both cases, we answered that constitutionality, legality, and legitimacy are precisely what is at issue in Russia today; we believe that it is up to the Russian people themselves to decide those issues. For us, the relevant question--the answer to which would determine the degree of our support--was whether President Yeltsin was resorting to democratic means in his effort to resolve the crisis. The answer, once again in both cases--last March and 2 weeks ago yesterday--was yes. It seemed to us especially relevant that in the April 25 referendum a substantial majority of those voting expressed a desire for early parliamentary elections. President Yeltsin has put those on the calendar for December 11; he has also agreed to presidential elections about 6 months later. There was, in our minds, one more criterion to be fulfilled before this Administration could support President Yeltsin's move of September 21. We had to be sure that he would do everything in his power to keep the next stage of this drama peaceful and, to the greatest extent possible, avoid the use of force; we also wanted to be confident that the elections themselves would be open, free, and fair. It was largely to seek assurances on this score that President Clinton telephoned President Yeltsin the afternoon of September 21. Mr. Yeltsin provided those assurances, and he did so with obvious conviction and determination. It was against that backdrop that President Clinton released his own statement of support. During the 12 days between September 21 and this past Sunday, President Yeltsin was as good as his word. He and his government repeatedly demonstrated that they were looking for a peaceful resolution to the standoff. They entered into negotiations with the parliamentary leaders under the auspices of the Patriarch of Moscow and All Russia; they made clear that they would, if possible, rely not on force but on legal sanctions against those who remained in the Parliament building after the expiration of this past Monday's deadline. However, throughout this period, the Russian Government reiterated that it would be restrained in its threat or use of force only as long as there was no major provocation, causing bloodshed, from the other side. American official statements--both in public and in diplomatic channels--reflected that same condition. We hoped President Yeltsin could resolve the crisis peacefully, but we knew his ability to do so depended on the restraint--and a degree of civilized behavior--on the part of his opponents, many of whom we all knew to be well armed and in an increasingly ugly mood within the Parliament. Then, of course, came Bloody Sunday, October 3. The eruption of violence caught the world--and, to be sure, the Russian authorities--very much by surprise. That was in large measure because few realized how vicious and flagrant Messrs. Rutskoi and Khasbulatov were prepared to be in their worse-is-better strategy. For all of us, it was a day of sadness and anxiety. However, it became apparent in the late hours of Sunday that the Yeltsin government was determined to restore order and that he was, once again, also determined to minimize the use of force. He issued orders to his troops taking up positions around the Parliament and the TV station that they should fire only if fired upon. On Secretary Christopher's behalf, Ambassador Pickering and I were in touch with Russian officials during the early hours of Monday morning as the troops began to move in. We were told that President Yeltsin had two options: one, quick and dirty, to rush in like gangbusters with guns blazing; the other, a slow, phased, piecemeal retaking of the building, giving those inside maximum chance to surrender. Even though the loss of life was still substantial, we find it significant--and heartening--that President Yeltsin opted for No. 2. In a way, Mr. Chairman, this whole tragic episode underscores the great struggle that we have witnessed in Russia over the past few days. On the one side were the forces of the past, of the old Soviet Union and the old Soviet system, which relied on terror and on the threat and use of force. In exhorting the armed mobs to attack the Kremlin and the TV station, Mr. Rutskoi was showing his true colors and those of his more fanatical followers. On the other side were the forces of the new Russia, personified by President Yeltsin, committed to democracy, reform, respect for human life, and civic peace, which is a necessary condition for the building of a civil society and respect for civil and human rights. While these past several weeks have, despite the best efforts of the Yeltsin government, included a sustained moment of tragedy, we feel confident it will prove cathartic and, in the way it ended, help usher in a period of renewed commitment on the part of the Russian people to the process of democratization. They have been subjected to a stark reminder of what the Rutskoi-Khasbulatov forces really represented; and they have also seen a reassertion of their President's leadership. As President Clinton and Secretary Christopher both stressed in their public comments on Monday, we hope that the election period now underway will be part of a process of healing and national reconciliation. Main Themes of U.S. Policy Let me now, Mr. Chairman, expand on the overall basis for our policy. From the beginning of his presidency, Bill Clinton made clear that support for reform in the NIS would be the No. 1 foreign policy priority of his Administration. He understood that the collapse of the Soviet system and the Soviet empire constituted a historic transformation of our world, overwhelmingly for the better. But he also understood that in the new, post-Cold War era, there were sure to be new uncertainties, new troubles, and new challenges to American leadership. Only with international help, marshaled by the United States, could Russia, Ukraine, and the other former republics of the U.S.S.R. make the transition from totalitarianism to democracy and from a centralized command economy to the market. Initially, many Americans saw the stakes primarily in terms of what we do not want to happen: We don't want the economic distress and political turmoil to trigger a civil war that could rage across 11 time zones; we don't want a nuclear Yugoslavia in the heart of Eurasia; we don't want to see the rise of a new dictatorship that represses its own subjects, threatens its neighbors, and requires the United States and its allies to return to a Cold War footing. But there was, in President Clinton's mind, a more positive vision underlying our policy as well: In Russia, Ukraine, and several of the other new independent states, national rebirth has begun. Great nations and good people are finally trying to join the political and economic culture of the industrialized democracies. As I stressed when I appeared before you on September 21, while events in the former Soviet Union are confused and sometimes disturbing--including, as it turned out, on that very day--there is a pattern to them nonetheless. That pattern points in the right direction--toward the evolution of a community of modern states: at peace with themselves and with each other; productively and prosperously integrated into the international economy, a source of raw materials and manufactured products and a market for American goods and services; and a partner for American diplomacy in ensuring regional and, indeed, global peace. So, Mr. Chairman, the premise of our policy from the beginning has been that reform in the NIS is a long-term proposition, requiring a long view and steadiness on our part. I believe we have proved our ability to maintain such steadiness in the last few weeks. Beyond the occasional turmoil in Moscow itself, we can all see the many other difficulties that beset Russia, Ukraine, and the other new independent states. We know that tensions have erupted within and between them, and we are dealing with strains and disagreements that have arisen between them and us. Nonetheless, Mr. Chairman, it is the working conviction of the Clinton Administration that the overall trend in that vast part of the world remains favorable and, therefore, that the underpinnings of our policy remain sound. Indeed, many of today's grim or ominous headlines advertise what might be called the downside of one of history's great upturns. Age-old national and ethnic tensions and conflicts have flared precisely because the Soviet prison house of nations has collapsed. There are noisy squabbles between presidents and parliaments precisely because real politics, with open elections and secret ballots, has replaced autocracy and terror. Does anyone really long for the days of perfect harmony between the Kremlin and the Supreme Soviet, when the former was the seat of absolute power and the latter a rubber stamp? Knotty economic problems, such as how to control inflation and budget deficits, confront governments precisely because they have thrown off the straitjacket of the command economy. While the citizens of the former Soviet Union have a long way to go in their trial-and-error experiment with market economics, they have already come a vast distance by breaking with the old system, which impoverished nations, despoiled the environment, and fueled limitless military buildups. The ruble is still a long way from being a stable convertible currency, but it has also come a long way from the Soviet-era funny money, with a totally artificial value assigned by the state and of little use in empty stores. My point, Mr. Chairman, is that, if kept in perspective, events in the former Soviet Union should not discourage us and certainly should not tempt us to pull back or slow down; on the contrary, they should sustain our hope, our engagement, and our support. Russian Politics: A Critical Period Ahead Mr. Chairman, let me concentrate for a moment on Russia, the largest and most powerful of the new independent states. What happens there will have a major, perhaps decisive, effect on the future of reform in all the other former republics. If President Yeltsin succeeds in giving Russia both its first post-communist constitution and its first post-communist parliament, he will still face opposition, and Russia's increasingly assertive regions will probably continue to demand greatly increased autonomy from Moscow as the price of their backing for constitutional change. This saga will take time to play itself out. That is hardly surprising. It took our own Founding Fathers a decade to hammer out their vision of a more perfect union. As Russian politics continue to evolve, we must have open channels of communication at all levels across the political spectrum. Right up to the present crisis, Ambassador Pickering and our embassy in Moscow have maintained frequent contacts with key figures on both sides of the executive-legislative divide in Moscow, as have Members of Congress on their visits to Russia. Our special efforts to broaden and deepen contacts with Russia's regions are symbolized by the superb work being done by our consulates in St. Petersburg and Vladivostok and our initiative to open a new consulate in Ekaterinburg. We are determined to maintain lines of communication to all legitimate and responsible groups and factions. That said, Mr. Chairman, the developments of the past 2 weeks in no way diminish our strong support for President Yeltsin. Quite the contrary: That support is, if anything, all the more appropriate. He is Russia's only President. He is Russia's first elected leader in a thousand years. The Russian people reaffirmed their confidence in him at the polls in April. And he is pushing ahead with policies that will, if they take root, assure Russia's transformation into a strong, democratic, prosperous country, with a government that reflects the greatness of the Russian people chosen through a free and fair election. The Russian Economy: Good News As Well As Bad The economic picture in Russia has, especially in the past few months, been neither clear nor pretty. That is partly because of the stalemate between the government and the Parliament. President Yeltsin will not be able to push through his full economic reform program unless and until he has a legislature he can work with. In the meantime, the Russian economy suffers from the inevitable growing pains that accompany the transition from a command to market economy. Still, there was a period during the spring and early summer when the government was able to pull Russia back from the brink of hyperinflation and impose some basic discipline on the budget and on the emission of credits to inefficient state-run enterprises. In response, the International Monetary Fund was able to release the first half of a $3-billion facility aimed at helping Russia achieve macroeconomic stabilization. Since then, however, there was backsliding on both fiscal and monetary policy. Another blow came when the Central Bank announced it would confiscate pre-1993 rubles, a move that undercut confidence of both Russian consumers and the international financial institutions. These developments--a resurgence of inflation and the ruble debacle--got most of the attention, contributing to the misimpression of an economy in meltdown. That's not the whole picture, by any means. Just as important, in our view, was the government's success to date in weathering a parliamentary attack on its all-important privatization effort. We recognize, of course, that privatization alone is not enough; it must be accompanied by the right macroeconomic policies to work. Still, privatization goes to the heart of the de-communization of the old system. We believe that, along with democratization, privatization is one of the two most important manifestations of reform. Hence it is one of the two most important targets of our own assistance programs. In fact, we believe that privatization and democratization are mutually reinforcing. There is a synergy between the two: The more that people work in private enterprise, the more they are likely to participate in the democratic process--and vote for candidates who will support economic, as well as political, freedom. While the ruble has fluctuated wildly and fallen precipitously, privatization has remained steady. There will be between 16,000 and 20,000 private retail trade establishments created in Russia by the end of this year. Since December, over 2,300 medium-sized firms have been privatized through voucher auctions. More than 4 million workers are now employed in privatized enterprises in Russia. That is one in ten. Thus, the transfer of state-controlled property to individual shareholders is clearly on the rise and is becoming a way of life. There is other good news as well. The decline in industrial output has slowed significantly over the past 12 months. Subsidies on key foodstuffs and other agricultural products are being further reduced, and there is some evidence of an improvement in Russian living standards. America can encourage these positive developments in two interacting ways: first, through our bilateral reform support program; and, second, through the package of multilateral, macroeconomic measures which we have set up through the Group of Seven major industrialized democracies. President Clinton has emphasized that we will do all we can to help, but we will not do it alone. We will show our leadership by taking the initiative, but we will do so largely in order to leverage much greater amounts of money from the international financial institutions and from the other industrialized democracies. Meanwhile, we are working with our Russian partners to expand the flow of trade and investment between the two countries. That means lowering barriers on both sides, including ours: We must do much more to open Western markets to the NIS. A milestone in this essential effort came in August with the highly successful initial session of the U.S.-Russian Commission on Economic and Technological Cooperation, co-chaired by Vice President Gore and Prime Minister Chernomyrdin. We and the Russian Government see the Gore-Chernomyrdin commission as proof of our determination to give meaning and substance to the new watchword in U.S.-Russian relations: partnership. In this connection, it is significant, I think, that Energy Secretary O'Leary and NASA Administrator Goldin--who chair subgroups under the Gore-Chernomyrdin commission--have both led delegations to Moscow during the recent time of troubles. They were able to conduct important negotiations and to demonstrate the determination of our government to continue with business as usual. As Treasury Under Secretary Summers told you on September 21 when he and I appeared before you, Mr. Chairman, the Russians are making some headway in combating their macroeconomic problems, but more must be done. Although the Central Bank has stood on the side of President Yeltsin, there still remain questions about its desire and ability to control the expansion of the money supply. After several months of exchange rate stability, the present crisis has touched off a drop of about 20% in the value of the ruble against the dollar. Furthermore, President Yeltsin has raised salaries for a variety of government employees. Politically, this is no doubt justified, but it is unlikely to contribute to the important objective of reining in inflation. We continue to urge the Russians to get control over their burgeoning budget deficit. The second $1.5-billion tranche of the International Monetary Fund's Systemic Transformation Facility (STF) for Russia should, in principle, be disbursed in the near future. That is only possible, however, if Russia continues to make progress, including recovering lost ground, in restraining inflation and controlling subsidies and credits to otherwise bankrupt industries and otherwise acting forthrightly to resolve the macroeconomic crisis. But I am reassured that Russia will be making those efforts. Just before this present political crisis, President Yeltsin sent a clear signal of his own intentions when he asked former Prime Minister Yegor Gaydar, the architect of the reforms, to rejoin his government as Deputy Prime Minister with oversight over the economy. Ukraine: Broadening the Agenda Earlier this year, Mr. Chairman, the Administration recommended that the United States do more to help strengthen Ukraine's fragile democracy and stimulate its faltering economic reform effort. That is still our goal. Indeed, Secretary Christopher and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Zlenko had good discussions in New York on ways to broaden, intensify, and accelerate our political and economic cooperation with Ukraine. On the question of Soviet nuclear weapons still on the territory of Ukraine, the Kravchuk government has repeatedly assured us of its intention to seek ratification of START I and accession to the Non-Proliferation Treaty as a non-nuclear weapons state as a single package. As long as that vital question remains unresolved, it will be an obstacle not just to U.S.-Ukrainian relations but to Ukraine's relations with the international community as a whole. We recognize the political complexity of the nuclear question in Ukraine. Indeed, we recognize how serious the political crisis there is more generally. The stalemate between the executive and legislative branches has been blocking implementation of effective measures on economic reform as well as arms control. We can only hope that the stalemate may be broken now that the Parliament has voted to support early parliamentary and presidential elections next year. Helping Ukraine address its tough economic problems is important to American interests. We have an opportunity to influence positively the reform path Ukraine chooses by proceeding with our policy of broad engagement--particularly with the provision of targeted technical assistance in areas, such as privatization, that support reform. Kazakhstan: Increasing Cooperation The reform process in Kazakhstan is encouraging. For example, in January of this year Kazakhstan adopted a constitution that provides substantial guarantees of the civil rights of its citizens. More importantly, the Kazakhstani Government appears to be engaged in a sincere effort to implement this provision of its constitution. Economic reform in Kazakhstan offers opportunities for American companies. Chevron, Mobil, and Philip Morris are just a few of the American firms that have launched major ventures in Kazakhstan. More than 50 American companies have offices in Almaty, the capital of Kazakhstan. That number is growing at the rate of one per week. We are working hard to give American companies the support they need to do business in Kazakhstan. We are optimistic that if Kazakhstan continues on its path of political and economic reform--the parliamentary elections scheduled for late 1994 are an important step in that direction--Kazakhstan will be able to create a free, prosperous, and secure future for its multiethnic society. Non-Proliferation: A Global Objective Mr. Chairman, as you know, we believe it is essential to world peace that the disintegration of the Soviet Union should not result in any increase in the number of nuclear weapons states. We are convinced that proliferation of nuclear weapons in the former U.S.S.R. would increase the risks and potential costs of conflict among the new independent states. We should not lose sight of the fact--even in these dramatic and important days--that prevention of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and their delivery vehicles remains one of the most important foreign policy objectives of our time. It was, therefore, a welcome development when the Governments of Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan agreed in May 1992, at a meeting in Lisbon, to sign and ratify the START I Treaty and accede to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty as non-nuclear-weapon states. Belarus was the first of the three states to fulfill its Lisbon commitments. In July of this year Supreme Soviet Chairman Stanislav Shushkevich presented President Clinton with Belarus' instrument of accession to the NPT. Kazakhstan, which has already ratified START I, has assured us that it will accede to the NPT this fall; the Kazakhstani Foreign Minister repeated this to me in New York just last week. Ukraine has yet to take either of these steps, although its leadership has reiterated its commitment to do so. The status of nuclear weapons outside of Russia is a piece of old but essential business left over from the Cold War. It must be laid to rest, in accord with the Lisbon agreements, before we can devote ourselves fully to the new business of building broad and productive relationships with Kazakhstan and Ukraine. Our policy in this regard reflects the high priority that the Clinton Administration attaches to worldwide efforts to prevent proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles. Indeed, President Clinton has sought to give fresh impetus to our global non-proliferation policy by enlisting Russia and the other NIS in that cause. In this connection, President Clinton proposed last week at the United Nations General Assembly an international agreement that would permanently ban production of plutonium and highly enriched uranium for nuclear weapons purposes. Another high priority of our non-proliferation policy is the completion of a comprehensive test ban treaty (CTBT), a goal which the President announced this summer. I am happy to say that Russia's views on the framework of a CTBT are very similar to our own. Additionally, new steps to thwart the proliferation of ballistic missiles were finalized in an agreement signed several weeks ago by Vice President Gore and Prime Minister Chernomyrdin. This agreement broadens and bolsters the multinational Missile Technology Control Regime, which is very much in Russia's interests as well as our own. Regional Stability and Security The months since we last met, Mr. Chairman, have been a particularly difficult period in the Caucasus. In Georgia, civil war has threatened to thwart the efforts of a brave people to consolidate the gains of independence and to undermine the leadership of a great statesman, Eduard Shevardnadze. On October 2, Zviadist forces supporting the former President of Georgia, Zviad Gamsakhurdia, overran the port city of Poti on the Black Sea and perhaps the cities of Khoni and Vani as well. These attacks--following on the Abkhaz victories at Sukhumi, Ochamchira, and Gali--have caused massive dislocations of ethnic Georgians. The total number of refugees may exceed 100,000. To respond to this tragedy, the Clinton Administration has taken several immediate steps. Ambassador Brown declared the situation a disaster on September 30 and has been granted authority to immediately disburse the $25,000 available to him to respond to this crisis. These funds will be used locally to purchase food and blankets. In addition, food already provided by us to private voluntary organizations is being redirected to Georgia. We also have scheduled flights to Tbilisi to bring in medical supplies--exceeding $1 million, initially--and emergency food rations--25,000 meals immediately with another 195,000 on line. Finally, we have sent a six-person emergency assessment team to look at the situation on the ground and assess the needs firsthand. Azerbaijan, on the other hand, offers a particularly stark example of the four-way connection among democratization, political stability, economic development, and regional peace: Remove the last ingredient and the other three are all but impossible. In June, Azerbaijan's democratically elected President, Abulfez Elchibey, was forced from power as troops under a dissident military commander, Surat Huseynov, marched on Baku. In the political maneuvering touched off by Huseynov's rebellion, the former Communist Party First Secretary of Azerbaijan, Haydar Aliyev, returned to power as Chairman of the Supreme Soviet. Although a national referendum on August 29 produced an overwhelming vote of no confidence in President Elchibey, the voting took place under conditions that did not allow the people of Azerbaijan a free and fair choice. Preliminary results from the October 3 presidential elections indicate a big victory for Aliyev, who was the only serious candidate. Major opposition groups boycotted the election. Despite this clear setback, we hope democracy will ultimately prevail in Azerbaijan. We will continue to press Aliyev and other Azerbaijani leaders to restore freedom of speech and assembly, to release those who remain illegally detained, and to restore democracy through genuinely free and fair elections. Azerbaijan is a potentially rich country, with oil reserves of great interest to American companies. We would like our business community to participate in the development of these resources to the benefit of both countries. But the leadership in Baku must know that relations between our countries will remain severely burdened as long as democracy is denied in Azerbaijan. That is a point I stressed personally during a visit to Azerbaijan last month. But the point I want to stress here, Mr. Chairman, is that the process of democratization in the former Soviet Union will be severely impeded wherever peace is denied. President Elchibey's government lost the confidence of the Azerbaijani people in large measure because of its battlefield reverses at the hands of the Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians. Both Armenia and Azerbaijan are paying a terrible price for the ongoing dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh, the region of Azerbaijan populated overwhelmingly by ethnic Armenians. The United States has been in the forefront of efforts to resolve this conflict under the aegis of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe. For more than a year, Ambassador Jack Maresca has worked tirelessly and skillfully as our Special Representative to the CSCE Nagorno-Karabakh peace process. We are hopeful that a peaceful solution will emerge from these complex negotiations. However, the recent offensives of the Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians have dimmed that prospect. We have called for an end to this aggression. A settlement to the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute would alleviate human suffering throughout the region, and it would open the way for regional cooperation to rebuild the war-ravaged economies of both Azerbaijan and Armenia. In parallel with our diplomatic efforts, we are working to assist refugees of the recent fighting in Azerbaijan, in accordance with the restrictions in the FREEDOM Support Act. We are also helping Armenia, whose economy has been devastated by war and economic blockade, prepare for another difficult winter. The United States has a number of reasons for involvement in the international effort to foster peace and stability in the former Soviet Union. Our objective throughout the new independent states is to support reform in all its dimensions; and, as the Nagorno-Karabakh tragedy demonstrates, reform is one of the first victims of conflict. Indeed, Russian reform is vulnerable to the consequences of trouble around the periphery. The presence of ethnic Russians in neighboring states and the likelihood that, one way or another, they will be caught up in fighting there will divide and inflame political sentiment in Russia itself--and not to the advantage of the reformers. Moreover, if unchecked, conflicts in the new independent states could spread, drawing in other states beyond the borders of the old U.S.S.R. Let me be clear about the principles that govern our approach to this challenge. We begin from firm and unwavering support for the independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of all the new independent states, including the Russian Federation itself. We do not support secession through armed struggle or the breakup of any of these states, nor do we seek to pit any state in the region against any other. In accordance with the United Nations Charter and the CSCE Final Act, the United States can accept changes of borders only if they are achieved by peaceful means and mutual consent. Much has appeared in the public media recently about our view of Russia's role in conflicts in the former Soviet Union. Let me be precise on this point. We want to see a democratic Russia that is a great power and a global partner of the United States. We understand Russia's concerns for stability on her borders and for the well-being of millions of ethnic Russians in neighboring states. It is crucial, however, that Russia neither assert nor exercise any special role or prerogatives that would be inconsistent with the independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of any other state. We have made our position on this question clear in dialogue at all levels with Russia, as well as with the other new independent states. The United States does not presume to prescribe detailed blueprints for the settlement of conflicts in the former Soviet Union, many of which are fueled by ancient ethnic hatreds. Nor do we seek a formal role as mediator among the independent and sovereign states of the region. At the same time, the United States will continue to lead international efforts to assist the parties to these conflicts in finding peaceful solutions--if they want our help and are prepared to work for peace. America's role will often be as an active participant in multilateral efforts through international bodies-- such as the UN, CSCE, or the NATO coordinating council--in which all the new independent states are members. The United States will also continue to use bilateral contacts with each of the new independent states whenever our diplomacy can help resolve or prevent conflict. We will not act unilaterally, nor will we take sides. Our efforts will be undertaken openly and in close consultation with all the states of the region. To help us with this priority of our policy, Secretary Christopher has appointed James Collins, currently our deputy chief of mission in Moscow, to head a new office in the State Department as Coordinator of Regional Affairs for the New Independent States. Working closely with me, Mr. Collins' task will be to advise Secretary Christopher on how we can best use our diplomatic resources and good offices. He will also coordinate the efforts of other executive branch offices, agencies, and departments to this end. Mr. Collins' office is new, but his task is not. We have all along been actively involved in this work in a variety of forms and places. American Foreign Service officers have served as members of CSCE peace missions to Georgia, Moldova, Armenia, and Azerbaijan. A team of experts from the State Department recently visited Russia and Tajikistan to consult with those governments on the ways to move the conflict in that country toward a solution. Mr. Collins' appointment will enable us to bring greater focus and effectiveness to this vital task. Conclusion: An Investment In Our Future Mr. Chairman, let me summarize the rationale and strategy for our policy--and explain how that strategy will be served by the program we are asking you to fund. Our policy is based on four principles: 1. Firm support for political reform and the building of durable institutions to promote democracy, the rule of law, and the protection of human rights; 2. Readiness to work with all the new independent states to build market economies and to promote private enterprise, trade, and investment; 3. Commitment to full implementation of the Lisbon Protocol--ratification of START I and accession to the NPT--as the only acceptable approach to resolving the nuclear dilemmas created by the collapse of the U.S.S.R.; and 4. Willingness to participate in international efforts to resolve conflicts and build regional security on the foundation of the UN Charter and the Helsinki Final Act. Mr. Chairman, building democracy and market economies, working for non-proliferation, and helping to promote regional peace are our goals. If we can advance them across the new independent states, we will have considerably increased the chances that these same goals will prevail throughout the world. At the beginning of my statement, I argued that there is a pattern and direction of events in the former Soviet Union that should give us hope and keep us engaged. It was with that belief in mind that President Clinton proclaimed, on April 1, the goal of developing over time a "strategic alliance with post-communist reform." Strategic alliances are, by definition, intended to last. They are intended to withstand the buffeting of adverse and contradictory developments, and they require the investment of national resources. That is why President Clinton committed $1.6 billion to the support of reform during his first meeting with Mr. Yeltsin in Vancouver on April 3-4. The Vancouver initiative included pioneering concepts, such as a Russian-American Enterprise Fund, support for Russia's privatization efforts, and a program for resettlement of Russian officers returning from postings abroad. Reflecting President Clinton's firm commitment to rapid and effective implementation, over 90% of the funds included in the Vancouver package have already been obligated. After Vancouver, the President determined that more needed to be done. The second stage of President Clinton's plan to support reform in the new independent states was the $2.5-billion dollar assistance package for the NIS recently passed by Congress as part of the foreign operations appropriations bill. These programs will build on the foundation laid at Vancouver and reflect an emphasis on rapid support for private sector development, trade and investment, democracy building, humanitarian assistance, and energy and environment. Our assistance package for the NIS has been carefully constructed to ensure that our support for reform proceeds on a broad front and that it is not dependent on the success or failure of any particular policy on the part of Russia or any of the other NIS. Given the unpredictable twists and turns of the reform process, this flexible, broad-gauge, grass roots-oriented approach is essential. Moreover, the programs that we propose are designed to be mutually reinforcing and cumulative in their impact. For instance, private sector development depends importantly on development of trade and investment, so that privatized firms have markets for their products and services. Expanded exchanges, humanitarian assistance, and officer resettlement are investments in human resources that will stimulate the growth of the private sector and trade and investment. Programs for the non-Russian new independent states will enable us to promote democracy and markets among Russia's neighbors, making it less likely that instability in those countries will impede reform in Russia itself. Mr. Chairman, it has been hard for the President and his Administration to propose this package in an era of severe budgetary constraints. We realize that it is no easier for you and your colleagues to vote for it. The President is determined to see that each dollar we spend on support for reform has a clear and positive impact on the ground in the new independent states. Finally, I can assure you that aid of this magnitude--aid with these goals in mind--could come at no more critical time for the continued development of democracy and the free enterprise system in Russia and the other new independent states. (###) ARTICLE 8 The New Centrality of Economics: The U.S. and the Asia-Pacific Region Joan E. Spero, Under Secretary For Economic and Agricultural Affairs Address to the Council on Foreign Relations, New York City, October 5, 1993 Ladies and gentlemen, it is a great pleasure to be back with you tonight at the Council on Foreign Relations. With the end of the Cold War, the world has changed fundamentally. We see images of that change on TV: the crumbling of the Berlin Wall; people walking out of the killing fields to vote in free elections in Cambodia; Nelson Mandela released from prison after nearly 30 years and 3 years later calling for an end to economic sanctions against South Africa. Perhaps nothing better illustrates just how different things are than the improbable picture, just a few short weeks ago, of Prime Minister Rabin and PLO Chairman Arafat on the White House lawn with President Clinton, Secretary Christopher, and Russian Foreign Minister Kozyrev for the signing of the mideast peace agreement. To respond to this new era, President Clinton has charted a foreign policy course based on three goals: 1. Stimulating economic renewal in the U.S.; 2. Ensuring national security; and 3. Promoting democracy and human rights around the world. Ensuring national security and promoting democracy are familiar canons of U.S. foreign policy. Stimulating economic revival in the U.S. is not. But in looking at the world today, it is clear that domestic economic strength is the base upon which we build our international credibility and capabilities. At the same time, more than ever before, our prosperity depends on our engagement in the global economy. That is why President Clinton has placed so much emphasis on integrating foreign and domestic economic policy and on building sound economic relationships with our trading partners. That is why our economic interests are increasingly dominant in our international relations. Tonight, I would like to outline for you the implications of the new centrality of economics in U.S. foreign policy and what it means for our global interests--with particular reference to our interests in the Asia-Pacific region, the most economically dynamic region in the world. Domestic Economic Strength: Key to International Leadership Early in the Administration, there was concern both at home and abroad that the President's intention to "focus like a laser beam" on the economy would lead the Administration to be inward-looking. Those concerns were mis- placed. One of the central insights of the Clinton presidency is that there is a clear linkage between rebuilding the domestic economy and ensuring our strength in the world. And that is, that to be strong and self-confident in world affairs, we must first be strong and self-confident at home. The importance of domestic economic revival to international power and respect made a vivid impression on me first at the economic summit in Tokyo. For more than a decade, our principal economic partners have been asking when we would begin to get our own economic house in order. It was apparent to them, if not to all of us, that the massive federal budget deficit and the trade deficit could not continue and that the solutions we were advancing all those years were not adequate to the task. But in Tokyo, the change in atmosphere was palpable. The imminent passage of President Clinton's budget plan earned us a new credibility. By taking the tough steps to get our own house in order, we demonstrated that "America is back" as a responsible manager of its own economy and a dependable leader on behalf of global economic cooperation and growth. Agreement on the G-7 Uruguay Round market access package and aid for Russia--the most substantive summit outcome in recent memory--were the results. The G-7 economic summit in Tokyo marked the re-emergence of confidence in the U.S. as a global economic leader. Renewed U.S. influence on global economic issues comes not a moment too soon--not only for promoting our economic goals at home but also for advancing broad U.S. objectives of peace and democracy in the post-Cold War world. Not since the creation of Bretton Woods, the GATT, and the Marshall Plan has economics been more central to the success of our major foreign policy goals. This is evident in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, where the success of the democratic revolution depends on these nations' ability to build market economies. That is why the U.S. is contributing to a multilateral effort to support Russian reform. The Administration is committed to supporting President Yeltsin as the best hope for democratic reform in Russia. We have pledged, since the beginning of the year, close to $4.5 billion in various types of assistance guarantees, credit, and humanitarian aid to Russia and other new independent states (NIS). Late last week, Congress approved the Administration's request for another $2.5 billion in technical and humanitarian assistance to the NIS, as well as funds for increasing Eximbank and Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) support. The U.S. is leading the effort to establish a $3-billion Special Privatization and Restructuring Program (SPRP) for Russia to help state companies become private. Russia will enjoy generalized system of preferences privileges effective October 18, and last week we reached agreement to reschedule over $1 billion in bilateral debt. This will contribute to the current Paris Club rescheduling effort. As in the case of Russia, the historic agreement between the Israelis and the Palestinians is another clear example that the achievement of our political goals requires successful economic intervention. The ability to achieve economic prosperity and development for the Palestinian and Israeli people will be critical to achieving peace in the years ahead. And in the short term, there is a clear need to demonstrate that the agreement has produced tangible improvements in the security and daily lives of Palestinians and Israelis. Last Friday, less than 3 weeks after that historic handshake on the White House lawn and only 10 days after the conference was announced, delegations from 48 countries and organizations gathered at the State Department to pledge support for peace in the Middle East. The donors assembled in Washington pledged over $600 million in assistance for the first year alone, and we are confident that the world community will continue to meet fully the needs of the Palestinians over the next 5 years. Global Economic Engagement: Key to Domestic Economic Vitality If a strong economy is the key to our credibility and capability overseas, it is equally true that global economic engagement is key to our economic vitality at home. In today's global market, the best opportunities may be half a world away, in economies growing far faster than our own. Strong markets for U.S. exports are essential for job creation and economic renewal at home. Every $1 billion in U.S. exports creates about 20,000 good American jobs--jobs that pay about 17% more than the average wage. Between 1988 and 1992, almost 60% of real growth in the U.S. economy came from export expansion. In the next 3 months, the U.S. faces two crucial decisions that will help shape its future in the post-Cold War world--two decisions that will determine whether we look outward to a world of opportunity and economic growth or whether we turn inward and lay the seeds for economic decline. One decision is ours alone. The other is for Europe and the rest of the world. I am speaking, of course, of the Uruguay Round and NAFTA. Uruguay Round and NAFTA: Critical Turning Points For far too long, we have been trying to bring the GATT Uruguay Round to a successful conclusion. Time is running out. The negotiations today are in a crucial stage, with only 69 days left to find solutions. For us, the December 15 deadline is final. For our part, the Clinton Administration is committed to achieving a successful conclusion to the round this year. The United States is prepared to shoulder its responsibilities for the growth of world trade and the strengthening of the world trading system. Indeed, the U.S. took a leadership role in convincing our G-7 partners to come up with a significant market access package at the time of the Tokyo summit. But we cannot do it alone. Those in the European Community who expect the U.S. to renegotiate the Blair House Accords are mistaken. A deal is a deal. And right now a good deal for both the United States and the world is within reach. The time has come for the EC to move. Other countries which have been hanging back, such as Japan and Korea, must now step forward with real offers in goods, services, and agriculture. India, Pakistan, ASEAN, and Latin American countries must improve goods and services offers as well. None of the remaining trade-offs will be easy for any nation. But without a successful round, we will be robbing our own future. We must make the hard choices now to secure the certain benefits of more open trade tomorrow. Passage of the North American Free Trade Agreement is another vital element in the Administration's strategy to make the U.S. stronger at home and abroad. Our positive decision on NAFTA will confirm to the world that the U.S. is prepared to lead and compete in the changing global economy. NAFTA's economic benefits are clear: It gives our exporters access to what will be the world's largest free trade area, comprising about 370 million people. It will secure the advantages that have boosted U.S. exports to Mexico by more than 200% since 1986, creating 400,000 jobs. It will create even more high-wage, high-skill jobs and enhance our ability to compete globally. But the foreign policy implications of NAFTA make a compelling economic case even stronger: It is a symbol of a new relationship and a new structure of cooperation with our closest neighbors--a real turning point in our relations. In Mexico, NAFTA will reinforce unprecedented political and economic reform and increase Mexico's ability to cooperate on a wide range of important issues that spill across our 2,000-mile border--especially the environment, narcotics, and illegal immigration. NAFTA will demonstrate that economic reform and liberalization pays, encouraging democratic governments from Argentina to Venezuela that have opened their economies to trade and investment with the U.S. For more than half a century, every American President--Democrat and Republican--has stood for closer cooperation throughout the Western Hemisphere. We, too, understand the stakes. We know it will be a tough fight. But as the President has stressed, this is a fight we must win--and we intend to win it. Change and the U.S.Stake in the Pacific Our interests and responsibilities, as I touched on above, are global. But in the post-Cold War world, against the backdrop of the new importance of economics to our interests both at home and abroad, there is no region more important to the United States than the Pacific Rim. The U.S. has a major economic stake in Asia. In the past decade, Asia has seen the most dynamic economic growth in the world. Foreign investment is pouring into Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, and Malaysia. ASEAN economies are booming, growing six times faster than world output in 1992. China's southern and coastal areas are enjoying a market-oriented manufacturing boom and an explosion of Western joint ventures and are increasingly integrated with the economies of Hong Kong and Taiwan through informal trade and investment links. Korea, one of Asia's greatest success stories, has moved from subsistence to advanced manufacturing in a few short decades. Economic growth has given rise to an Asian middle class and a large, new consumer market. Growth and global revolutions in technology, transportation, and communication have fueled expectations of greater political empowerment in this new Asian middle class. Reflecting this dynamism, over half of our total world trade is with the Pacific region, half again as much as our trade with Europe and three times our trade with Latin America. More than 2.5 million U.S. jobs now depend on exports to the Asia-Pacific region. And those jobs pay a higher wage--almost $3,500 dollars more per year than the average American job. As the fastest-growing region in the world, the Pacific Rim holds terrific promise for even more job-creating exports of U.S. goods and services. The Pacific is also the region of our greatest economic challenges and many of our toughest competitors. Not only does Asia export a lot to us, it is a growing center of technological innovation and entrepreneurship. How do we meet this challenge? As President Clinton has stated, we are confronted with the choice of embracing change and creating the jobs of tomorrow or resisting change, hoping we can preserve the economic structures of yesterday. Closing markets and resisting change is not an option. Rather, we need to export more. We need to increase our presence in these markets to know what competitors are doing. The U.S. Response: The New Pacific Community We have enormous stakes in the Pacific--economic, political, and strategic. Nowhere else in the world is the interdependence and, sometimes, conflict of economic and security issues, traditionally separate in our thinking, more apparent. Nowhere is the centrality of economics to our interests clearer. How will the U.S. respond? As President Clinton said in Tokyo and Seoul this summer, he envisions "a new Pacific Community built on shared strength, shared prosperity, and a shared commitment to democratic values." These three pillars are inseparable and intertwined. Economic progress spurred by trade and investment liberalization is essential for stability in the Pacific Rim. Economic growth, rising standards of living, and integration with the world economic system are powerful forces for democratic change and respect for human rights. A continued, strong U.S. commitment to the region's security creates the environment for economic development, growing markets, and flourishing trade. Each of these three pillars is necessary for an effective U.S. foreign policy in Asia. Each reinforces the other. To realize this vision, we must work to create a true sense of community--shared interests, values, goals--among the highly diverse nations of the Asia-Pacific. The region is one of enormous economic and political diversity, large cultural and physical distances, and a legacy of conflict. At the same time, explosive economic growth is weaving the web of human and commercial relationships that form the foundation of a "community." Significant and historically new trends, especially the telecommunications revolution, are reducing distances and spurring regional "networking." There is a growing awareness that transnational issues, such as the environment, require regional cooperation. U.S. engagement--political, security, and economic--is required to promote and direct these trends, serving as a catalyst for the development of community. We must build the architecture and intensify the network of relationships that create "community." Foundations of Pacific Community We see great promise in our growing economic interaction with the nations of the Asia-Pacific region. We aim, therefore, to promote in the Pacific Rim continued rapid growth, sustainable development, and market-oriented economies open to international trade and investment. Our approach will include vigorous and essential efforts to convince trading partners to tear down barriers to trade and investment. But we also intend to seize the tremendous opportunities for mutual benefit that exist. Thus, we are actively exploring possibilities for enhanced economic cooperation. We are working to ensure that U.S. business enjoys the access it needs in dynamic Asian markets by encouraging the market-oriented regulatory reform now underway in many Asian economies. Deregulation must accompany market opening for U.S. business to thrive in these markets. Our framework for a new economic partnership with Japan, announced in July and reaffirmed by the President and Prime Minister Hosokawa at the UN General Assembly last week, is a good example of this new approach. The framework contains a commitment by Japan to strive for a "highly significant decrease" in its global current account surplus and outlines five areas in which both governments should work together to remove barriers that prevent U.S. firms from enjoying the success in Japan's markets they achieve elsewhere in the world. They are: 1. Government procurement; 2. Regulatory reform and competitiveness; 3. Other major sectors (including autos and auto parts); 4. Implementation of existing arrangements and measures; and 5. Economic harmonization. Some of the negotiations, such as those on government procurement and autos and parts, address market access issues. Others, such as deregulation, address more structural issues. In the negotiations on "economic harmonization," which I chair, we are looking at ways to achieve greater foreign direct investment in Japan, to allow U.S. firms to break into long-term Japanese buyer-supplier relationships, to enhance intellectual property protection, and to gain greater U.S. access to Japanese technology. Consistent with our interest in further expanding U.S.-Japan cooperation on issues of shared interest, the framework also contains a "common agenda for cooperation in global perspective." This effort includes programs for joint efforts on 15 issues, including the environment, technology cooperation, AIDS, and population growth. We intend to go beyond simple agreements under the framework; we are looking for results, and we will develop criteria to assess progress. This Administration attaches as high a priority to our trade and economic relations with Japan as we do to our political and security relations. Reflecting this, progress under the framework will be reviewed at twice- annual meetings between the President and the Prime Minister of Japan. Our new Dialogue for Economic Cooperation with South Korea is another good example of our approach. As South Korea pursues its ambitious economic reform and deregulation program, we will work with the Koreans to improve the business climate for American exporters and investors. We are addressing key regulatory problems faced by U.S. companies, such as onerous procedures in investment, taxation, standards and testing, and import clearance. At the same time, we will explore with South Korea ways in which we might work together to our mutual economic benefit. Regional economic cooperation--taking root in the promising evolution of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, or APEC--is another key to building community. APEC began in 1989 as an "informal dialogue" of only 12 member economies. Today, the 15 members of APEC are collectively the most powerful regional economy in the world, accounting for approximately half the world's gross product and about 35% of world trade. The 15 members of APEC have spelled out their common commitment to more open trade and increased economic collaboration. As APEC chair in 1993, the United States has worked to advance the theme of regional trade and investment liberalization. At this year's 1993 ministerial, to be chaired by Secretary Christopher in November in Seattle, we expect APEC ministers to approve a declaration that will begin an effort in APEC to expand regional trade and investment. Following the APEC ministerial, President Clinton has proposed an unprecedented meeting of Asia-Pacific leaders in Seattle. The meeting will be an historic opportunity for APEC's leaders to begin developing a long-term vision for the region's future and lay the foundation for a cooperative effort to address the major economic challenges facing the region. This meeting is a clear reaffirmation of our role as a Pacific nation and of our determination to remain actively engaged in the region. Conflicts Among Policy Goals In the Post-Cold War Period As we work to advance our political and economic interests in Asia and elsewhere, we recognize that there are and will continue to be conflicts in our pursuit of those goals. These conflicts become more acute as our economic and commercial interests in the world increase and the interdependence between our economic, political, and security interests deepens. In this new environment, we cannot avoid trade-offs. China is a key example--one of the world's most dynamic economies but governed by a regime which is too often repressive. We have strong trade, human rights, and non-proliferation concerns with China. We also have strong economic interests there. We must continue to engage China in order to advance our goals in all of these areas. For that reason, we will be joining with the Chinese in a number of high-level exchanges to discuss these matters. In dealing with these competing goals, the May 28 executive order which extended China's MFN status also recognized the existence of trade and non-proliferation issues while acknowledging our concern over China's human rights practices. Given the growing importance of engagement in the world economy for our domestic economic strength, we now must carefully evaluate the costs and benefits in each case. The President has begun to take that much- needed hard look at the economic and commercial costs of other policies and to seek a better balance between them. Just last week, the Administration's Trade Promotion Coordinating Committee, comprising 19 agencies, announced the first step in a new national export strategy, the streamlining of U.S. non-proliferation export controls. These and other changes contained in the TPCC report are aimed at clearing away unnecessary obstacles to U.S. exports, complementing the President's commitment to reform COCOM to reflect new realities in national security and technology. We also cannot ignore that greater economic engagement abroad, while bringing tremendous benefits to our domestic economy, also will impose sometimes painful adjustments. A key element of our ability to pursue greater economic interaction abroad will be our ability to manage related adjustments at home. Conclusion In conclusion, let me return to the theme with which I opened: the centrality of economics to our foreign policy and the clear linkage between our foreign policy and our own domestic economic strength. For the first time in decades, the major world powers are not at war or locked in hostile, confrontational relations. This enormous, epochal change gives us a unique opportunity--and a responsibility--to provide new leadership in a changed world. Our renewed influence as a world leader, based on economic revitalization at home, will give us the means. The challenge of building a foreign policy adapted to the post-Cold War era is daunting. It requires a new vision based on what we stand for as opposed to what we stand against. It requires explaining to the American people as well as to the Council on Foreign Relations how that vision relates to our domestic interests. And it requires changing the way we in Washington and in embassies around the world make and execute our international strategies. Central to this effort will be the role of foreign economic policy. I believe we have made important progress in defining our economic aims and in linking them to our domestic interests. In order to translate our vision and our strategy into reality, we must now turn our foreign policy machinery in the right direction. That means giving new priority to economic issues within the State Department, among Washington agencies, and in Congress. It also means reshaping our Cold War institutions and relationships to the new era and the new priorities. I believe we have made a good start, but I also know that we have a long road ahead. Let me assure you that you have a team in Washington--at the White House, the State Department, and throughout the government--that is committed to taking us successfully down that road. (###) ARTICLE 9 Audiovisual Services And Products Under GATT Statement by President Clinton, released by the White House, Office of the Press Secretary, Washington, DC, October 14, 1993. Audiovisual services must be included in any GATT accord. The United States does not want any special favors for American audiovisual creative works, but we also cannot accept that audiovisual products be singled out for unacceptable restrictions. The United States is ready to sign a GATT accord that is fair and just for all. But let me make it clear that fairness and justice must apply to audiovisual works as well as other elements in a final GATT deal. This is a vital jobs issue as well as a fairness issue for America. Finally, let me say once again that the Uruguay Round is very important to the restoration of global growth, and that is why it is essential that we finish this agreement by December 15. That deadline is firm, and our trading partners must be prepared to settle with us on the many outstanding issues if we are to succeed. (###) ARTICLE 10 U.S. Policy on Japan and the New Japanese Government Winston Lord, Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Statement before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Washington, DC, October 5, 1993 Mr. Chairman, members of the committee: I am pleased to have this opportunity to share views with you on U.S. policy on Japan and the new Japanese Government. The elections in Japan on July 18 showed a strong desire for change following a long series of political scandals. The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), in power in Japan for 38 years, lost its majority in the Lower House of the Diet. On August 9, Morihiro Hosokawa became the first non-LDP Prime Minister in Japan since the 1950s. The new Prime Minister heads a "reform coalition" made up of seven parties, representing a wide range of political views but in seeming agreement on the need for reform of Japan's political system. The mood of the country is running strongly in favor of "change" and "reform"--political reform, especially, but also reform of the economic and social structure. Prime Minister Hosokawa so far personifies the effort to bring about change in Japanese society. In his first weeks in office, he has garnered a 70% support rating, an astonishing reversal in the Japanese public's opinion of its political leadership. If he is able to take advantage of the mood for change, the result could be a significant shift in Japanese political and economic practices. Our first meetings with top officials of the Hosokawa administration have been excellent. President Clinton met with the new Prime Minister in New York on September 27 and had a very useful and cordial exchange of views with him. Secretary Christopher has had two meetings with Foreign Minister Hata, and Secretary Aspin has met with Defense Agency Director General Nakanishi. Secretary Espy will be in Tokyo next week for meetings with top Japanese officials. Congressional delegations have had productive meetings with Japan's new leadership in the past several weeks. The selection of former Vice President Mondale as ambassador to Tokyo was very well received by the Japanese, just as it was here at home. As we have stated consistently, there are three pillars to our relationship. The economic pillar is under stress and needs steadying so as not to affect our overall relationship. Therefore, the President and the Secretary have made clear that the economic aspects of our ties with Japan need urgent attention. The Japanese global current account surplus, combined with Japan's stagnant domestic economy, presents the most serious potential problem in our bilateral relationship. Japan and the United States maintain one of the most important economic relationships in the world. We must work to right the economic imbalances that are the source of the contentiousness that has entered our relations. Our economic ties must be balanced and mutually beneficial and firmly rooted in the shared interest and responsibility of the U.S. and Japan to promote global growth, open markets, and a vital world trading system. It is essential that the Japanese recognize that just as we are making necessary and long-delayed adjustments in the U.S. economy--bringing the budget deficit under control, improving our competitiveness, and implementing comprehensive health care reforms--Japan must also implement changes in its economy, boosting domestic demand and adjusting its regulatory and business practices to allow full access to Japanese markets. Additionally, it is crucial that Japan play an active role in bringing the GATT Uruguay Round to a successful conclusion. We, therefore, look to Japan to undertake forward-looking initiatives on the Uruguay Round talks, which must be completed by December 15. Our U.S.-Japan Framework for Economic Partnership, announced in Tokyo in July, is intended to address the economic imbalances in our relationship. Under the framework, Japan has committed to pursue policies to bring about a "highly significant decrease" in its current account surplus, both by taking macroeconomic steps to promote domestic demand-led growth and by increasing market access for foreign goods. The market access issues will be addressed through five different "baskets," including government procurement; autos/auto parts; regulatory reform; economic harmonization, including issues of increasing foreign business presence in Japan, foreign access to Japanese technology and buyer-supplier networks, and increased intellectual property protection; and implementation of existing agreements. The framework agreement also contains a "Common Agenda for Cooperation in Global Perspective," which contains 15 programs for joint efforts on such issues as the environment, AIDS, and population growth. The "kick-off" meetings for most framework issues were held in Hawaii on September 16-23. Treasury began talks on the fifth basket, deregulation, in Washington last week. A "kick-off" meeting of the common agenda for cooperation portion of the economic framework was held on September 9. The talks have been organizational in nature and have laid out the basic elements of our proposals in these areas. At the next round of meetings, scheduled for mid-October, we hope to propose draft agreements in several sectors. We will press for early progress--particularly in the high-priority areas of autos/auto parts, government procurement, and insurance for which the framework calls for bilateral agreements by early 1994. Prime Minister Hosokawa and President Clinton are expected to meet to review framework progress in January or February. Deputy USTR Ambassador Barshefsky will also want to share her firsthand observations on this process. We have a timetable in place. We anticipate and expect market-opening results because it is in both of our interests to have them. All members of the Administration have made it clear that we look for concrete steps, and we will monitor negotiations closely to ensure that progress is being made. It is early to determine whether the momentum of Japan's domestic reform outlined above will work to stimulate tangible progress on our long-standing economic differences. If so, that will be to the benefit of the Japanese consumer as well as the U.S. exporter. Both the President and Secretary Christopher have personally urged Prime Minister Hosokawa to undertake forward-looking economic and trade initiatives in coming months to defuse trade tensions. Prime Minister Hosokawa has promised President Clinton that he will "redouble" his efforts to make progress under the economic framework agreement announced in July. Consistent with this pledge, in his maiden policy speech to the Diet on August 23, Hosokawa promised to try to cut Japan's current account surplus significantly through expansion of domestic demand, improved market access for imports, and deregulation. We certainly want to work positively with a government pledging a number of constructive economic steps. The President and the Secretary have also underscored the great value we attach to the security, political, and global dimensions of our partnership with Japan. These aspects of our relationship are in sound condition. The Japanese have consistently been among our most important partners and strongest supporters in the international arena. The change in government in Japan has not altered that. We are in fundamental agreement with the Hosokawa government on foreign and security policy issues. The new government is adhering closely to Japan's long-standing basic foreign policy principles, especially Japan's commitment to its security alliance with the United States. Our alliance with Japan is a mainstay of our international security posture. Japan is our most important ally in the world's most dynamic economic region, serving as the host nation for key U.S. military installations and providing billions of dollars each year to support the roughly 47,000 American troops based there. Prime Minister Hosokawa has made it clear that this alliance will continue to be the cornerstone of Japan's foreign policy. We consult closely with Japan and value Japan's support on a wide range of political and security issues, including Russia, the Korean Peninsula, Cambodia, Vietnam, China, and the Middle East. Japan is a key partner in our efforts to develop a regional security dialogue in East Asia, both through the ASEAN Post-Ministerial Conference process and also in Northeast Asia. Japan has played an important role in developing APEC--the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum--and will assume the APEC chairmanship in late 1994. The Hosokawa government has announced that it will support an indefinite extension of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Last week, Japan pledged $200 million in financial support for the peace process in the West Bank and Gaza. We are increasingly looking to the Japanese to demonstrate leadership on the world stage commensurate with Japan's status as an economic superpower. Prime Minister Hosokawa and key members of his cabinet have stated their recognition of Japan's international responsibilities and their intention to have Japan play a prominent role in addressing the problems facing the international community. Whether the Hosokawa government can meet growing expectations at home and abroad, by turning its initiatives into real policies, remains to be seen. But, as I stated in my confirmation hearings--and I believe this now more than ever--our fortunes in Asia and, indeed, the world will hinge on developing comprehensive, durable ties with Japan. This bilateral relationship remains my highest priority. Mr. Chairman, this Administration is determined to forge a more equitable, positive partnership with Japan as we head toward the next century. To this end, we offer our Japanese friends both reassurance about our intentions and a sense of urgency about festering frictions. We will maintain a substantial military presence in Asia, cooperate intimately with Japan on regional and global issues, and support its access to a permanent seat in the United Nations Security Council. In return, equity and reality require more vigorous Japanese performance on economic issues and international responsibilities. What is good for our bilateral relations is good for the Japanese citizen. What is called for on the world stage serves Japan's national interest. America will listen more, lecture less. In turn, Japan should step forward, not in response to American entreaties or pressure but in a spirit of enlightened self-interest and mutual benefit. As we strive to strengthen our relations with our most important partner, we will work closely with the Congress. Today's hearing is an important step in that process. (###) ARTICLE 11 Status of Bosnian Peace Negotiations Stephen A. Oxman, Assistant Secretary for European and Canadian Affairs Statement before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Washington, DC, October 5, 1993 It is a pleasure to be back before you and your colleagues, and I would like to make a few opening remarks and respond to some of the points that you and Senator Lugar have made. I am here with Ambassador Vic Jackovich to bring you up to date on developments in the former Yugoslavia and to hear your views on American policy in the region. I will begin by briefly describing the negotiations that led to the tentative agreement among the parties, our role with respect to those negotiations, and the Bosnian parliament's decision concerning the agreement. I will then discuss the direction of American policy after this decision. The proposed agreement emerged from the Geneva negotiations held under the joint auspices of the United Nations and the European Community. In August, the parties reached a constitutional agreement and a military agreement. This, however, did not produce an end to the fighting, as the parties still had not agreed upon the territorial settlement that would be acceptable to all sides. Also in August, NATO decided at our initiative that it was prepared to use air power if the Bosnian Serbs continued strangling Sarajevo and other areas. This demonstration of resolve, I'm happy to say, helped to relieve the humanitarian situation in Sarajevo and encouraged the parties to persist with negotiations on territory. Even then, the parties were unable, at first, to reach a final agreement. After the negotiations were suspended on September 1, we urged the Bosnian Serbs and the Bosnian Croats to show more flexibility in working on the territorial adjustments sought by the Bosnian Government in its efforts to achieve a more equitable settlement. On September 20, the parties met on the HMS Invincible in the Adriatic and, building upon the constitutional agreement, which envisioned a con-federal state of Bosnia, containing three autonomous republics, the parties made progress toward a territorial settlement. The Bosnian Serb republic was allotted about 52% of the territory, the Bosnian Croat republic about 17%, and the Bosnian Government about 31%. These figures represented a significant rollback of the territory held by the Bosnian Serbs but would still have left them in control of territory they had taken through force and so-called ethnic cleansing. As previously agreed among the parties, the areas around Sarajevo and Mostar would be under an international protectorate for 2 years, during which negotiations as to their further status would take place. To encourage further territorial concessions, the agreement also stated that referenda could be held within 2 years to determine whether any of the republics wished to secede from the Bosnian union, provided that further mutually acceptable territorial adjustments had been reached. In this final round of negotiations, the Bosnian Serbs agreed to give up some additional territory around the eastern enclave of Gorazde. The Croatians and Bosnian Croats agreed that the Bosnian Government could have internationa