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US DEPARTMENT OF STATE DAILY PRESS BRIEFING Wednesday, September 22, 1993 BRIEFER: Michael McCurry Subject Page ANNOUNCEMENT Secretary To Testify before Senate Judiciary Committee's Subcommittee on Immigration and Refugee Affairs September 23 .................1 -- No Daily Press Briefing September 23 .......1 MIDDLE EAST PEACE PROCESS US To Host Donors Conference on October 1 ......1-9,16 -- Invitation List ............................1-3,6-9 -- Pledge by US/Others/Source of Funds ........3,5-8,16 Secretary's Meetings with Counterparts .........2,5 UN Secretary's Meetings at General Assembly .......2,5 US Review of Role in Int'l Peacekeeping ........15 RUSSIA Yeltsin Dissolves Parliament/Calls Elections ...9-13,16-17 -- Secretary's Activities/Contacts/Other Official Contacts ........................9-10,16-17 -- Support by US/Other Countries ..............9-10 US Aid .........................................11-13 SOMALIA Arrest of Aideed Aide/Disposition of Case ......14-15 Departure of UNOSOM/US Forces ..................15 SOUTH AFRICA Status of Sanctions ............................16 (###) DEPARTMENT OF STATE DAILY PRESS BRIEFING DPC #132 WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 22, 1993, 1:08 P.M. (ON THE RECORD UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) MR. McCURRY: Good afternoon everybody. I have one very short announcement. This is a reminder that Secretary Christopher will be testifying before the Subcommittee on Immigration and Refugee Affairs of the Senate Judiciary Committee tomorrow afternoon. That will be at 2:30 in Room 226 of the Dirksen Senate Office Building. The subject will be the FY-1994 Refugee Assistance Programs and Admissions Programs. Because of that appearance, we will not be having a regular briefing here tomorrow. With that announcement, I'll take any questions that you might have. Q How is planning going for the Donor's Conference? MR. McCURRY: There's a significant amount of planning underway. Why don't I tell you a little bit about where we are? Some of you may have heard Assistant Secretary Djerejian speaking at noon today; but I believe that he intended to announce that we have sent invitations from Secretary Christopher and from Secretary Bentsen to a variety of countries that we've asked to participate in the Conference to Support Middle East Peace. The conference will take place here at the Department on October 1, next Friday. The conference will be held under the aegis of the Steering Group for the multilateral peace negotiations. Members of the Steering Group for the multilaterals, I think as many of you know, are the United States and Russia, who will serve as co-sponsors; the European Community; Japan; Canada; Israel; the Palestinians; Jordan; Egypt; Saudi Arabia, which I believe represents the GCC states; and Tunisia, which represents the Maghreb states. The World Bank will also be participating in the conference. The United Nations and Norway have also been invited to send representatives. Other countries have also been invited on the basis that they'll be willing and able to make a substantial material contribution beyond current programs that they now fund in the region. We are just in the process of delivering those invitations today, so I don't have any information yet on acceptances, but we will give that to you as we learn more. There will be a preparatory meeting of senior advisors from the principal contributing countries here on Monday. I think a lot of the details of the conference itself will begin to come together next week while we're up in New York. It will obviously be the Secretary's intent to return from New York, where he'll be attending the U.N. General Assembly Meetings, probably Thursday evening so he can participate in the sessions here on Friday. So I would describe the planning underway for this session as being quite extensive, involving clearly our partners over at the Treasury Department who are playing a very key role in fashioning the agenda and some of the various aspects of the discussions that will occur. We look forward to what we hope will be a productive and successful meeting. Q How many invitations have gone out? MR. McCURRY: I don't have a total count. As I say, we are being somewhat flexible. Our desire here is to be inclusive and bring people together who have an interest in participating who can make a genuine contribution to the proceedings itself. And, again, that will be evaluated as we continue to spread word of the conference itself to others in the world community. Q Are you trying to get Syria and Lebanon to change their mind about participating to that group? MR. McCURRY: The Secretary will be stressing the importance of this conference and the follow-up work that's being done on the Declaration of Principles when he meets with his counterpart Foreign Ministers next week and I believe early the following week. I know he plans to have some contact with Foreign Minister Shara; I believe if not next week during the U.N. sessions perhaps early next week. In working out the details of that meeting, there may be an opportunity to discuss the importance of the conference itself. Q When you say early next week, does the Secretary now have plans to go back up to New York after this? MR. McCURRY: No. I think Foreign Minister Shara -- my understanding is if we meet with him the following week, that would be here in Washington, probably early in the week. I think the most likely date is Tuesday, I believe. Q Will this meeting on the first be the actual pledging session, or will people just get a general idea of the dimension of the problem? MR. McCURRY: I think it will be a combination of both. Obviously, there will be assessments of the overall need. Many of the countries, who will be participating, we hope, who will send representatives, have already indicated their willingness to render material assistance as has the United States. So I suspect there will be a combination of both pledges from countries that are participating and then also a thorough assessment of what the likely needs are as you look ahead five and ten years. Q Does the Secretary have any cumulative total in mind for what he would like to see? MR. McCURRY: On Monday last, he referred, in his speech, to the World Bank's assessment that a $3 billion need over ten years has been assessed. I think one thing that will be discussed during the course of this conference is other estimates that have been made. I think that's the one that is the best estimate we have at this point and it's one that points to a need that needs to be addressed over a 10-year period. Mary. Q Mike, do you anticipate that there will be any discussions at this conference about oversight over all these funds that are suddenly going to go pouring into the territories? MR. McCURRY: I think that will not only be a significant part of this discussion, but has been a very significant part of the discussions leading up to this conference because we are talking about a substantial sum of money one way or another; and making sure that the institutions and the structures are available to spend this money effectively so that the money is well invested is a keen concern of the United States and certainly of others in the world community who will likely participate in this conference. That's something that we have, as you know, stressed to the parties themselves; that the importance of establishing those institutions, doing the work required in the Declaration, is fundamentally important to seeing that the resources available can be effective in delivering immediate changes on the ground in the region. Q Will the U.S. be seeking a pledge from Israel? MR. McCURRY: We have had discussions with them. I don't know the answer to whether or not we will seek a pledge from them. They certainly have made clear to us that they are more than interested in working in partnership, as required in the Declaration, to see to it that the transformation called for in the Declaration is a successful one. Ralph. Q At what level will this conference be held? And is it a one-day affair or a one-morning affair or an afternoon affair? Do you expect it to go on over the weekend? MR. McCURRY: I believe it will be a one-day affair. I think it will probably conclude by mid-afternoon on that Friday. We will hear more from the countries who have been invited on the level of their representation. Certainly, Secretary Christopher will be participating in at least part of the sessions as they're held here. Q Traditionally, there was never any meeting on a Friday either during the bilateral or multilateral conference in the peace process. Are you sure that the Muslim countries can participate to such a conference on a Friday? MR. McCURRY: I believe that there had been some discussions about that prior to the invitations being sent and October 1 being set as the date. Part of the concern here is that everyone is under a very rigorous scheduling during that week because of the meetings that are being held in New York. This did seem to be a date that would meet the need to move quickly to establish the importance of this work. Q Mike, as a way to build on the momentum you expect to generate out of this conference, would you expect the Secretary to go to the region afterwards? MR. McCURRY: I don't have anything new on any plans. We don't have anything firm on any travel plans by the Secretary. The importance of these meetings, the follow-up bilateral meetings with the Foreign Ministers, that's where we're concentrating our attention right now. If we have any information on travel, we'll make that available at a later date. Q Mike, at the conference -- the donor conference -- is it your anticipation that other issues will be discussed? Is this going to be another multilateral session which includes a pledging conference, or is this essentially limited to this one issue? MR. McCURRY: The agenda itself will very much concentrate on the issues related to providing the economic resources to empower this agreement to see that it goes forward successfully. Now, with that many people present, the likelihood that they will touch on other issues related to the peace process and, given that this is being held under the aegis of the multilateral Steering Group, the opportunity for some side discussions of other multilateral issues is something I would not rule out. But the principal work of this conference is aimed very much at the issue of economic empowerment. Q You said that the Secretary is planning to meet with Foreign Minister Shara of Syria. Is there any plan to meet with Faris Buwayz from Lebanon? MR. McCURRY: Yes. He also has plans -- sometime within the context, either during or just after the U.N. session -- to meet with Foreign Minister Buwayz. He will also obviously be meeting with Foreign Minister Peres and I expect with Foreign Minister Majali of Jordan, too. Q On a somewhat slightly related logistical thing -- in light of the change in the Secretary's plans for dealing with the U.N., will he go any earlier on Sunday? Will there be any substantive activities on Sunday? MR. McCURRY: Ralph, I'm not aware of any other plans involving going up early. There are some things under consideration for Sunday that might affect the time that the Secretary would go up to New York on Sunday. We're obviously having to do some changing in the schedule and moving things around. We're going to try to get some folks who will come down and give you a good briefing on where we are at the moment on our planning for the schedule next week so you can begin making your plans accordingly. If we can get that done today, we will get it done today. But, certainly, by tomorrow we'll at least give you a sketch of what we think is developing as the schedule for the week so you'll have a better opportunity to plan. Q Just to follow that and perhaps shift the subject a little bit -- is the message that the President is going to deliver Monday at the U.N. being changed in any way as a result of what happened yesterday in Moscow? MR. McCURRY: I don't know. I haven't seen the latest or current draft. I don't know what the thinking on the speech is. I think there are certainly a number of events going on in the world that the President might likely account for in the speech, but I'd really leave it up to the White House to tell you more about how their planning is coming together for his speech Monday. Q Mike, you mentioned the World Bank figure is $3 billion over ten years. How much is the United States shooting for for the first year? MR. McCURRY: What we have said already is the commitment the Secretary indicated the other day -- the $250 million two-year package that he announced on Monday. Q That's the American contribution -- but the overall figure for the first year? MR. McCURRY: Of how we assess the need? I've seen it referred to in various ways. One document has described it at roughly $300 million a year, but I think that's just dividing the overall assessment. There was an earlier World Bank assessment, or a World Bank paper that indicated, I believe, that the need over a 5-year period was somewhere in the neighborhood of $1.8 billion, which broke down, I believe, to $300 million in operating costs -- which I would see as perhaps the start-up costs to put in some of the institutions and structures they're talking about -- and then an additional $1.3 billion in capitalization costs that would involve infrastructure improvements, facilities, and things that would presumably need to be constructed. But, I think, they're probably in the best position to give you a breakdown on their assessment. That's the way I recall the figures. Q Mike, the Administration has said that it would like to get the $250 million over two years by reprogramming money in the foreign aid budgets. Have you decided where you're going to reprogram money from, or is that all under review right now? MR. McCURRY: No. They, clearly, did some very fast work to put together the package that the Secretary was in a position to announce on Monday. They did have to think about that question, but I don't have a detail on how they put together all of the elements of the package itself. It was done consistent with some of our conversations already with members of Congress about the FY-93 and FY-94 budget picture. Q Mike, coming back to an earlier question, you were asked about meetings with Shara and with Lebanon. Did the U.S. send invitations to Syria and Lebanon to attend the donor conference? MR. McCURRY: Not that I'm aware of.** ** Note: Later corrected to indicate Syria and Lebanon were invited to the conference. Q Why not? You don't want them to come? MR. McCURRY: No. As I say, we did it in the context of the multilateral groups working on the Palestinian issue directly. Again, our desire is not to exclude anyone. But I think our criteria is aimed at who is in the best position to provide significant financial resources that can help move the work of the conference forward. Q But the U.S. has always -- or at least up until now anyway -- has consistently encouraged Syria and others who are not participating in those multilateral sessions to do so. This, it seems to me, would have been a perfect opportunity to offer another opportunity for the Syrians to come in. Even if they can't make a financial contribution, wouldn't you welcome their political support? MR. McCURRY: I'm not aware of any impediment that we would place in the way of participation by those countries if they were interested. Q Mike, going back to my colleague's question here about where the money is coming here, could you take it and find out so that we actually have a breakdown and we can look at the figures that were already presented to Congress and see where the money is coming from? MR. McCURRY: I'll take it. The likelihood that anyone wants to be real forthcoming in telling how they mash together budget figures is a fairly dubious proposition. Q Sorry, it's a legit question. If some country is not now going to get a certain amount of money that it was going to get because of this, it's up to us to find out and for them to know. Q That's right. It's a legitimate question, and we will legitimately pursue an answer. Q Is it true to say that the decision is not to go for a supplemental come early next year, rather to reprogram? They don't want to add to the budget, they just want to ... MR. McCURRY: I think it's pretty clear that the desire is to do that within the existing constraints of the budget process. This is not a time in which it's easy to ask Congress to consider additional budgetary appropriations, and it's something that we feel in this case we can get the money we need over this two-year period from the resources that we've got available. That's something that we've been in close consultation with Congress on. Q Michael, we have heard pledges from Japan, from the U.S., from the EC. We've not heard pledges from the Arab countries yet. Are you trying to get some specific figures -- pledges -- from those countries before the donor conference? MR. McCURRY: We've certainly been in contact with those governments about the importance of being supportive of this conference and of the effort to raise resources, yes. I don't want to comment on any assistance that might be rendered by any state. I think it's really up to them to make that type of announcement or to indicate at the time of the conference that they intend to participate. Q Can you characterize their general response in doing this. MR. McCURRY: In general, there has been a great deal of enthusiasm in the region and amongst those that we've invited for the idea of the conference. I think people recognize there's a great deal of work that needs to be done. Q But aren't you kind of worried, or at least concerned, that the Saudis or the Kuwaitis are not willing to help their Palestinian brothers? MR. McCURRY: That hasn't been ruled out. Of course, they'll come to the conference. We'll see. Q Did you say whether Jordan was coming? MR. McCURRY: No, I did not. They were not in -- I'm sorry, they were because under the multilaterals, their participation with the Palestinians in that process. They are on the Steering Group, so they are included under the auspices of the Steering Group that's putting together the conference. Q Would you expect Chairman Arafat to come to this conference? MR. McCURRY: I'm not expecting him. I'm not aware of any plans for him to attend. Q You said the Palestinians. Has the nature of the Palestinian delegation to which the invitations were issued changed? Or will the same rules apply as have been applied to the multilaterals until now? MR. McCURRY: Again, it will be up to the parties to determine the composition of their delegations attending the conference itself. Q What address did you send the invitation to? MR. McCURRY: That's a good question. I don't know how they extended the invitation or from whence it went and to whom it was addressed. Q Would you find out? MR. McCURRY: I will find that out. Q Would he be welcome if he chose to come? MR. McCURRY: I think that anyone who wants to contribute to the success of the conference, subject to the work outlined by the multilateral Steering Group, would certainly be welcome. Q I have two questions. One, is Abdel Alla on the list of people to come since he was the key man on the Oslo negotiations and he's the observer to the multilaterals? MR. McCURRY: As I say, we have not had responses to the invitations so I can't tell you anything about the composition of individual delegations. Q A follow-up to that. As to the observers that we've seen on all these delegations -- Palestinian observers like Nabil Shaath and Abu Allah and others -- is their status going to change now? MR. McCURRY: That really will be something that the delegations themselves will have to address. In a variety of ways, as the dialogue has continued between the United States and the PLO, you've seen some indications that there might be changes; but really, again, that's up to them to address because they have to tell you more about the composition of their delegations, the roles that individuals play. Q New subject? MR. McCURRY: New subject. Q Can you give us sort of an update on what Christopher has done today with regard to the situation in Russia? Has there been any contact with Minister Kozyrev today or others in Russia perhaps? MR. McCURRY: He is, of course, as are many in the United States Government, following the developments there intensely. He received his customary briefing on the situation this morning. He held a meeting, a gathering, the weekly meeting of the Assistant Secretaries this morning and asked Ambassador Strobe Talbott to provide a fairly detailed and comprehensive situation report which provided our most up- to-date information to the Assistant Secretary group. He has had a conversation about the events in Russia this morning with Foreign Minister Kinkel of Germany, and he may have by now been in contact with Foreign Minister Kozyrev. His intent was to have a call at some point this afternoon, interrupting the proceedings going on at Dumbarton House where the Secretary is, of course, meeting with Foreign Minister Hurd, and there was a very obvious likelihood that they would be discussing the events in Russia at that session as well. Q Is there an effort, either through the State Department or the White House, to bring some other allies on board with public support for what's happened? MR. McCURRY: Yes. I'm sorry, say the question again. Q Is there an effort -- MR. McCURRY: I'll have to go back and eat my words in a minute here. Q Is there an effort underway either through Secretary Christopher or through the White House to bring on board some of the other allies with public support for Yeltsin? MR. McCURRY: I think there has been an effort to be in contact with other governments to assess how they're responding. I'd say, as the Secretary said earlier this afternoon, that we have been gratified with the response that has come from our allies and friends in Europe and elsewhere. Many of them are responding in a way very consistent with the United States response yesterday; and I feel that certainly, as the Secretary said, that's been one indication of the level of support for the process of reform in Russia: the fact that within the world community there has been a largely positive response to these developments. I want to go back and correct... I'm handed a note that the NEA bureau has provided that Syria and Lebanon have been invited to the conference. They were not indicated on the list that I had, but they have been invited. Someone listens. It's very good. Q That's right. They're up there listening. MR. McCURRY: Yes. Q At the risk of asking you a question that somebody may have asked you yesterday, and forgive me if I am: Does the Secretary have a sense that his senior aides are somehow letting him down -- that Dennis Ross let him get blindsided by the PLO-Israel secret dialogue, and that Strobe Talbott let him get blindsided by the constitutional coup in Russia? And that somehow these people who are supposed to be such experts are not keeping him properly informed and are not giving him a heads-up on these rather earth-shaking events that change the entire political map seemingly every week? MR. McCURRY: No. (Laughter) Next question. Q Was that question asked yesterday? Michael, do you want to elaborate? MR. McCURRY: Do I want to elaborate that? No. That's just a wildly speculative theory. I mean, I'm not aware of anyone who predicted either the events yesterday in Russia, except to say that it's obviously a situation that we have monitored carefully. Strobe was in Moscow just a short while ago. I think the urgency of the political situation there is something readily apparent to them, to our Embassy there which has been reporting regularly on it; and I think that we feel like we had a pretty good assessment and as it turned out a fairly accurate assessment of the political situation in Russia. As to the other issue and the detail on the conversations that have occurred, we've, as the Secretary has told you, had very good information and readouts on things going on in the Oslo track from the Israelis, from the Norwegians and others. I think the premise and the overall direction of the question is just badly flawed. Q Mike, just to follow. There were news reports last week, though, that Russia -- that Yeltsin might dissolve the parliament. Did Strobe Talbott have any information, any inkling that was going to happen? MR. McCURRY: I think, as I say, we had a good, accurate assessment of what the political situation was. I don't think we knew that Boris Yeltsin was going to go on television at a time certain yesterday and make the announcements that he made. Q But did he raise the possibility? Did he tell anybody that -- MR. McCURRY: I think the contest of political forces within Russia, the actions of the key players in that drama, is something that we have been assessing and monitoring for some time; and it was the basis upon which we had a fairly accurate read on the political situation in the country. Q Is it clear that Yeltsin has the support of the military and the security forces? MR. McCURRY: Their own statements on that issue have been fairly clear, and that's obviously a situation that we continue to watch carefully. Q Do you -- MR. McCURRY: We have no reason to dispute the public statements that have been made by Minister Grachev and other officials within the government, no. Q Mike, is there anything that we can do in the interim period before elections? I mean, what are the practical implications for American foreign policy? Are we in a kind of a holding pattern now, and just waiting to see what happens? MR. McCURRY: No, I don't think we're -- we're not at all in a holding pattern. I think ironically in some sense the question of our own material support for the transformation of Russia's political economy was very much before the United States Congress as these events did unfold and as they continue to unfold; and, as the Secretary indicated yesterday, completing Congressional action on that package now, giving support to reform and democracy in Russia, can make a very powerful and important statement at exactly this moment. That's something that we certainly hope the Congress will continue to consider and act accordingly on the request that has been submitted. Q Mike, wouldn't the Administration be at all concerned about giving that much money to a government that might not be in power in a few months? MR. McCURRY: I don't know whether Ambassador Talbott has addressed this publicly or whether any of the people doing the backgrounding for you have addressed this, but it's a very important point to make that we are in support of the process of reform in Russia. We are in support of the reformers; and you see across the country numerous places where reform is taking root, market economies are emerging, and efforts are being made to transform Russian society itself. Now, that's where we can be of assistance. Much of the package of assistance that the United States is considering now and attempting to put forward is aimed at that process of reform at the grass roots. The fact is you've heard us talk about that package often. One of its key features is that it does not necessarily have to go through Moscow to get to the places at the grass roots where it can make a difference. I think that's one of the reasons, among many, why we continue to press the need to provide the type of aid that can make a difference in the lives of the Russian people. Q So as far as the Administration is concerned, the Russian aid package is not married to the political future of Boris Yeltsin? MR. McCURRY: No. The package is married to the proposition of reform and the need to give it assistance urgently. Dan. Q In any of the conversations officials have had with Russian counterparts, has it been made clear that between now and the elections that President Yeltsin will implement monetary and fiscal reforms as called for by the IMF for the next round of aid that is due Russia? MR. McCURRY: The best information we have of that is from the President, who discussed these matters with President Yeltsin yesterday; but in addition to extending support to President Yeltsin, as you know, President Clinton also asked for certain assurances that certain things would happen, that reform would continue to be on track in Russia. I doubt very much they discussed things at the level of detail that your question implies, but I think the thrust of the assurances sought by the President were that the reform process itself and the move toward market economies and to economic liberalization would continue on course in Russia. Q Strobe Talbott and Larry Summers have been in Moscow in recent weeks. Is it their understanding that reforms are going to go underway now, or is the Administration willing to tolerate laxity until after the elections on the grounds that sharp, shock treatment-type reforms might undermine Yeltsin's support in the coming elections? MR. McCURRY: I think that their assessment is the one that they provided: that these events relate in part to the need that Yeltsin feels to gain a greater hold on the reform process itself so they can move forward. Frankly, as you know, some of the reforms, some of the liberalization required in the economic reforms advanced by the Yeltsin Government had been stymied in effect, and I think the assessment is that they were taking steps to try to move those reforms forward. As to how fast they can push for certain things, what they can ask of the Russian people as this transformation occurs, that's not something we can dictate at this point. That's something that surely will enter into the picture as an election campaign unfolds in Russia, and I can't comment for you at this time on how that will be addressed. As far as the United States, given our concerns, we have placed a very high premium on their ability to make the kind of transformations necessary for both international lending through international financial institutions and then to demonstrate progress towards reform that would then warrant the types of assistance levels that we are currently pressing Congress to consider. Q Mike, but we have influence in the IMF. If Yeltsin does seize control of the central bank or make some adjustments to monetary policy, will we in the IMF take the position that the next $1.5 billion should go, even though for all intents and purposes there will be two people claiming to be the President of Russia until after the election or -- MR. McCURRY: That is a real speculative point. I don't want to get into what position we're going to take at IMF lending conferences in advance of addressing those issues. Q But, Mike, part of that question is not speculative, and that is regardless of what the U.S. public position is, the fact is that there are -- it is not clear who the President of Russia is right now. There certainly are at least two people who claim to be President, and is there anything in the aid package -- MR. McCURRY: I doubt that even an international financial institute would doubt which of the two make a stronger case. Q But that's not the issue. The issue is the American people are being asked and many other people around the world are being asked to give their stamp of approval to many billions of dollars of assistance to go to a country in whom right now there are at least two people claiming to be President. Is there any provision in the assistance package or in the Administration's view should there be some way of making sure that none of the money goes until it's clear who's running Russia? MR. McCURRY: First, it's clear who's running Russia. Boris Yeltsin is the democratically elected President, and he is clearly the President of Russia. Second, in answer to the earlier question, I would restate, so much of this assistance package is directed at the process of reform at the grass roots for exactly the reason that it then, you know, in a sense doesn't get tied up in Moscow politics as it gets to the countryside to make a difference. We are empowering the process of political and economic reform in Russia, not individual people who are members of a government. We are assisting the Russian people make this transformation happen, and that's the important thing to remember, I think. Q Michael, does the Embassy in Moscow have any contact with General Rutskoi? MR. McCURRY: They have not had contact with him in the last 24 hours I am told. Q Mike, do you know when and how the text of Ambassador Albright's speech would be available tomorrow? MR. McCURRY: I don't. I will try to find out from Mr. Rubin up in New York how they make that available. I know they were making changes in the draft, but it will be available in advance, I am told. Q Can you give us some sort of guidance on what the U.S. feels in the Somalia case? The U.N. has now arrested one of the aides to Aideed. What is the U.S. recommendation for what ought to happen to that man? Should he be on trial? Should he be held indefinitely? Should he -- MR. McCURRY: I don't know whether we have made any recommendations to the United Nations authorities in Mogadishu about processing. I have to step back from that question. There's a larger question there about judicial and penal institutions within Somalia. That's something that I think is going to be addressed in short order by the U.N. Security Council, which is preparing a resolution on that subject that should be acted upon within the next several days; but the importance of establishing procedures to bring individuals to trial so they can be punished for crimes and held accountable for the misery that they've inflicted on the Somali people is something that is a very direct concern of the United Nations itself. Q Is he still in the custody of the Rangers? I mean, the U.S. Army? MR. McCURRY: I am not aware of the current arrangements for his incarceration. Q And under what law is he being held? Whose law? MR. McCURRY: I don't know the answer to that. I can find out. I'll try to find out. He was being pursued -- the pursuit and apprehension of him was clearly at the direction of the United Nations, as reflected in the relevant U.N. Security Council resolutions, so it's a matter of international law in one respect. How he is currently being detained and incarcerated is something I'll try to find out more about. Q Can you take the question of what the U.S. is likely to recommend in terms of this man's judicial future? What venue he will be tossed into or what jail he is being held in and what is likely to happen to him? MR. McCURRY: I'll find out what I can about how legal proceedings will proceed in his case. Q Related to that, National Security Adviser Lake yesterday indicated or implied that U.S. troops might not be there that much longer. What sort of time frame is he thinking about or the Administration thinking about? There have been a lot of references to when U.S. troops might or might not be pulled out but never any sort of time frame. MR. McCURRY: I direct you first to the resolution I just mentioned as being currently circulating at the United Nations and what it might say about the duration of the UNOSOM mission. I think that they are pointing ahead towards a date, I believe, in the spring of 1995. We have indicated that in the case of the Quick Reaction Forces, our desire is to return them to the United States as soon as possible; and then the remainder of the U.S. contingent still present, I think you've heard others in the Department talk about our drawdown timetable which would proceed over the course of the coming year. Q Michael, do you have any remark on a report put together by a Professor at American University of the request of Admiral Howe on the way things were conducted in Somalia and being very critical of Glaspie -- Ambassador Glaspie. Are you aware of that report? MR. McCURRY: I'm not aware of that report, no. I'll try to find out more about it. Q Mike, on Somalia. What's the current status of the discussion or the debate over PRD-13? MR. McCURRY: I don't know that -- why is that related to Somalia? Q If you don't want to relate it to Somalia, don't. What is the current status of the debate over PRD-13? MR. McCURRY: I think there's, in my understanding, a Presidential review on the subject generally of peacekeeping that is under consideration, as it has been for some time, and to my knowledge has not been forwarded to the President. Q Mike, do you have anything today, any details on what's going to happen with Mandela? If he on Tuesday gives the go-ahead to lift sanctions, then what will the U.S. do? MR. McCURRY: There are certain things that are expected to happen and certain responses that may then occur. I kind of prefer to leave it to see if things happen as they are scheduled to happen. We have said in the past, of course, that should there be a call by Mr. Mandela for a lifting of sanctions, we then are in a position to proceed to do certain things; and we'll see if that occurs, but that certainly would be the expectation. Q Now, doesn't he have an award here on Friday or a major speech -- the same time as the Middle East thing, on October 1? MR. McCURRY: I'm sorry. Q Isn't he due to have something here at the State Department October 1? MR. McCURRY: I don't have firm information about his travel schedule. Q It's going to be a fun day. Q I have two quick questions which you'd have to take on the donors conference. The Palestinians are saying that the amount the United States has dedicated to this -- about $75 million a year in actual cash -- happens to match the exact amount the U.S. Government pays out to Israel for the deposit situation on Israeli aid. Israeli aid is deposited at the beginning of the year, and she earns interest on it. That is unique, and the Palestinians are saying maybe the United States is simply going to stop giving Israel her aid ahead of time. Would you take the question on that, and is that where you're getting the money for the aid to Palestine? MR. McCURRY: I don't think it would be profitable to take the question. I don't think we would get much of an answer on that question. That's not something that's under consideration, as far as I know. Q A follow-up on Rutskoi: Is there any policy reason why the United States would not contact him directly, given the fact that he claims to be President? MR. McCURRY: The reason is that we made clear yesterday that we recognize a single individual as President and a competing claim from someone else is not something that we would recognize. Q So you're not going to deal with him. MR. McCURRY: We could not deal with him in his capacity as a self-proclaimed President, because we acknowledge that someone else is President. Q Well, couldn't you be dealing with other people? There's a precedent, of course. There's a large precedent for keeping your ears and eyes open to things going on in other countries; and in fact the Administration was criticized, the previous one, for not paying enough attention to Yeltsin and his people while they pinned their hopes to Gorbachev. You may have the wrong horse here, no? MR. McCURRY: I think through our Embassy in Moscow we have a variety of good and strong contacts with a range of people within Russian society, Russian political culture; but this is a specific question about diplomatic contact with an individual at this time who indicates that he is the President, and we say he is not and so that wouldn't be a profitable point of contact. Q You do stay in contact with opposition leaders all around the world -- MR. McCURRY: Of course, Q -- including people -- MR. McCURRY: Including in Russia. Q -- including Russia and including people outside countries who claim various sorts of rights as -- leadership rights and things like that. So you would continue to remain in contact with Rutskoi from the point of view of maintaining your contacts with Yeltsin's opposition, wouldn't you? MR. McCURRY: That's a hypothetical question that doesn't make a lot of sense in the context that we're in right now. Rutskoi has made -- there's been a dramatic change in the status he proclaims for himself, and so that would change the nature of the type of contact. Q So you're -- I'm sorry to pursue this, but the answer to Mark's question is there's a U.S. policy at the moment that says no U.S. diplomats will be in touch with this man who claims to be the President of Russia, is that correct? MR. McCURRY: I don't know if there is a policy written down somewhere that says we've decided we will not have contact with Rutskoi, but as a practical effect, we have not had contact with him, and we don't plan contact with him. Q Thank you. MR. McCURRY: You're welcome. (The briefing concluded at 1:50 p.m.) (###)