DEPARTMENT OF STATE DAILY PRESS BRIEFING DPC #80 THURSDAY, JUNE 3, 1993, 12:50 P. M. (ON THE RECORD UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) MR. BOUCHER: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. I don't have any statements or announcements, but I'd be glad to take your questions. Q Richard, what can you tell us about the package of proposals for Bosnia dangling at the U.N.? MR. BOUCHER: At the U.N.? Q Yes. MR. BOUCHER: Sure. First, on the Safe Areas Resolution, there's an informal meeting of the Security Council this afternoon. We expect the Safe Areas Resolution will be discussed there. At yesterday's Council meeting, there was progress made in reaching a compromise on the French draft resolution. The French draft was circulated in the final version yesterday evening, and a vote on it in the next day or two is possible. We're supporting a broad-based effort within the Council to reach consensus on the Safe Areas Resolution, as we said we would do in the Joint Action Plan. Q That compromise -- did that change the U.S. role in any way, or did it change the idea in any major way? MR. BOUCHER: No. Q Go ahead. Q What is the idea? MR. BOUCHER: There's a text that's been circulated as the final draft. It's a resolution that implements the concepts of safe areas. It defines the roles of the UNPROFOR forces that would be there and defines the means by which they should protect themselves, protect the areas. Q Would it lift the arms embargo? MR. BOUCHER: No. This is safe areas. Q Does it define who will provide the forces? MR. BOUCHER: No, I don't think it does -- not in the resolution. Q On the basis of this definition now, Richard, do you have a sense of how many additional troops are going to be required? MR. BOUCHER: I don't at this point, Barrie. That's something that U.N. and UNPROFOR will have to determine. Q But does it -- I mean, does it suggest that additional troops will be needed? MR. BOUCHER: I don't think I'm in a position at this point to go entirely through the text of the resolution, but it doesn't specify any particular numbers. Q Well, yesterday we discussed the possibility -- rather, we discussed the fact that the non-aligned had put forward their own resolution and that there might be some elements from that incorporated into the French draft. Has that happened, and can you give us a sense of what they might have been able to get in? MR. BOUCHER: Again, without getting into the text, we and others -- and in the full meeting of the Council -- have been working with the other governments up there, with the non-aligned. And yes, indeed, some of the things that they wanted to see in the text are reflected in the final draft. There was a process of working out a compromise. Q Was the arms-embargo aspect one of the things they wanted to get in? MR. BOUCHER: No. As we understand it, there's no specific text in front of the Security Council on an arms embargo; and so we haven't taken a position on the specific resolution with them, in that regard. Q You have the framework of that French draft. That could trigger the use of the U.S. air power? MR. BOUCHER: Well, once again, I'm not quite in a position yet to outline for you all the details of the text. But, as you know, what we've said in the Joint Statement is that we committed ourselves to using our air power to protect or rescue UNPROFOR forces should they so request it. Q How are you actually going to rescue them? Is this going to be an Entebbe-kind of thing, with planes landing at the Srebrenica town hall, putting UNPROFOR forces aboard and taking them? How are you going to rescue them? MR. BOUCHER: Alan, obviously, that question -- Q (Inaudible) MR. BOUCHER: It would depend on the circumstances, wouldn't it? Q Does the resolution -- Q I'm just curious. I can understand that you might bomb somebody who's attacking them, although the Secretary of State -- Q Yes. Q -- said that that would not be effective for more than a day or two. But I can't understand how you're going to rescue them when you say you're not going to be on the ground. MR. BOUCHER: Alan, it's ridiculous to expect me, right here, right now, to define military action or what sort of action our military planners will decide is appropriate in a situation that has not yet occurred. I'm sorry, but it's not a question that anybody in the world can answer right now. Q But the ground forces -- MR. BOUCHER: Second of all, I think we went through the issue yesterday that you raise again of air power; and I think we've explained that, and I'd refer you back to the record. Chris. Q Richard, you put out a piece of guidance -- I think it was last week -- that showed that the previous Administration, I think in December, had made a general commitment to protect UNPROFOR forces; then this Administration had -- and then, of course, the Joint Action Plan about two-and- a-half weeks ago had specifically done it. How did the Joint Action Plan change that commitment, or did it change the commitment to protect and rescue UNPROFOR forces? MR. BOUCHER: Well, Chris, it did and it didn't. I mean, it didn't in terms of -- you know, we have a commitment to protect and, if necessary, rescue UNPROFOR forces should they require it. On the other hand, the joint action program and the resolution that we're about to pass changed the role and the circumstances that UNPROFOR is going to find itself in. So, obviously, there's some difference there in terms of the interrelationship between the two. Q Does the text of the resolution adopt the language of the Joint Action Plan on the subject of committing U.S. forces for protection or rescue of UNPROFOR troops? Is there any change in that formula in the resolution? MR. BOUCHER: Well, the resolution doesn't specify U.S. commitments. It's a Security Council resolution about what the Security Council members can or should do. So the language is slightly different. But, no, it doesn't; our commitment remains the same. Q Do you have anything new on the business of strategic material getting through across the border -- Mr. Milosevic's pledge? Do you have any new observations on whether he's living up to his pledge? MR. BOUCHER: There's not a whole lot of detail that I can offer you here. I can make some general observations though. First of all, we believe that the Serbian government -- the so-called Federal Republic of Yugoslav government -- took some limited steps last month to follow through on the stated intention to cut off deliveries on everything but food and medicine. There was some stepped-up monitoring at the borders by the Serbian and Montenegron authorities. The delivery of a wide range of goods was restricted. Traffic across the border has been reduced overall; but, we need to point out it has not been halted altogether. And the Bosnian- Serbs have, apparently, been able to obtain some of the goods that are purportedly restricted by the embargo. The border is long. It runs through a lot of difficult territory. But I think you've seen the press reports, and we have reports as well, that indicate some restrictions -- some places where the traffic is down, and traffic is down overall, but also the continued trans- shipments of goods. Q Do you know if those goods include weapons? MR. BOUCHER: I can't specify any further at this point. Q Does the U.S. have the capacity to know? Is your inability to specify based on some security reason or is the United States, under the present circumstances, not able, with its surveillance, to figure out what's getting across the border? MR. BOUCHER: I don't think that's a question I can answer for you now. Q Richard -- Q Can't you not answer my question because (laughter) we can go endlessly. I mean, the point is: The U.S. Government, with these -- I think, fairly described as -- MR. BOUCHER: We have the capability of surveillance, a capability of watching what's going on. Q Right. MR. BOUCHER: I mean, there have also been press reports in the border area. Some of the journalists have been out there too. So there are all kinds of reports out there about what's going on. You're asking me a question of exactly what that capability is: Can we find out this? Can we find out that? And those are the kind of questions I can't answer. Q I'm just trying to ask if the U.S. Government knows if weapons or chickens are crossing the border. And you're talking about monitors supplied by the Serbs themselves. This is incredible; they're not exactly the most reliable monitors. MR. BOUCHER: Well, I mean, they're there. Q Yes. MR. BOUCHER: The fact is they're there. They're monitoring the border. That, presumably, expresses some sort of intent or effort on their part. I was noting it -- Q Yes. MR. BOUCHER: -- but, at the same time, I don't want to really change the overall situation as we've described it before; and that's that there have been some restrictions, there is some traffic down overall. But, in fact, there are still goods getting through. Q Richard, on the same subject, how are the sanctions working on the Danube? Have we been able to increase the amount of traffic that is being cut off there or decrease the amount? MR. BOUCHER: The sanctions on the Danube, in fact, have been very tight. During the month of April there was almost no traffic at all on the Danube, and the problem has been rather that legitimate shipments that needed to go through had to -- the arrangements were being made to authorize those. And so now there have been a few convoys starting again. Did I say the month of April? Q You did. MR. BOUCHER: I think I better double-check that it wasn't May. I'll get you that answer afterwards; but there was a long period after the sanctions went into place when there was very little traffic, if any, on the Danube. And just recently the arrangements have been put in place by all the various monitors to allow approved cargoes that are allowed to go through -- that aren't destined for Serbia -- to go through. And so there's some traffic that's resuming now under those procedures. Q Is legitimate highway traffic of the same sort being cut off or limited in any way, coming from east of the former Yugoslavia? MR. BOUCHER: I don't know that I have an update on that specific highway traffic. There's been, I think, a lot of decline in traffic overall -- Q Richard -- MR. BOUCHER: -- due to the sanctions. The sanctions are being enforced. There's a lot of efforts that we have under way with other governments out there -- increased support. I think the WEU has just gone through a process of working out some agreements with the countries in the area to help them on the Danube. So there's a lot of efforts under way to make these sanctions tight, and tighter every day. Q On that subject, the Ukrainians say that the Danube blockade has been ruinous to their economy. They think they've lost some $2 billion worth of traffic that normally would have been gaining exports. Specifically, is there any thought being given to somehow compensating them or adjusting things to compensate for their economies? MR. BOUCHER: Jim, I don't know where that number might come from and whether it's related to this temporary halt in traffic on the Danube -- Q It's from the Ukrainian government -- MR. BOUCHER: -- and the resumed shipments now may make that a little easier to allow legitimate traffic through. But I don't really have anything for you on the issue of compensation at this point. Q Do you have any reservations about the monitors and the monitoring -- the success of the monitoring on the border? What's the status of the U.N. effort to beef that up? MR. BOUCHER: It was discussed yesterday in the Council. It came up yesterday -- the Border Monitors Resolution. The focus, as you know, right now in the Council is on safe areas; but we do support the adoption by the Security Council of a Border Monitors Resolution. It's something we said in the joint action program. Q But what's the status of it? Do you think it will be passed anytime soon, and -- MR. BOUCHER: I can't predict that, when the focus right now is on the safe areas. Q Is it still the U.S. view, as the Secretary has said repeatedly, that it's up to Milosevic and his government to decide whether there will be monitors on the border? MR. BOUCHER: Well, if you're going into Serbian territory, you can't do it without their acquiescence -- without their permission. I think we made clear all along the purpose of this is to test Milosevic at his word. He's the man who made the commitments; he's the man who made the statements. They were clear, they were categorical. And we're willing to help him make sure that what he said would happen happens. Q Could -- MR. BOUCHER: And I think that's the clear point. Q Couldn't borders -- borders can be checked from either side, can't they? Is there some consideration being given to not using Serbian territory to enforce the impending U.N. resolution on border- monitoring? MR. BOUCHER: I think, as we've said before, Ralph, the concept of this, the way it's proceeding in terms of moving towards a U.N. resolution, is to test Milosevic. He made the pledges. It is his responsibility to make his promises effective. The enforcement -- monitoring the actual enforcement at the border -- is the responsibility of the Serbs to make their pledge effective. And then we are looking at supporting the adoption of a resolution by the Security Council to send observers to ensure that those pledges are kept. Q Richard, a couple of days ago you were unable to tell us just how safe these safe areas would be because you said that there were discussions going on in New York on that very subject. We now have a resolution that's on the table and, presumably, has been more or less accepted. At this stage, then, can you give us a sense of how safe will the safe areas be? MR. BOUCHER: Barrie, I can't try to do that, even now. The resolution is -- there's a final draft. It will be voted. It will be available to all of you, and you will see the descriptions in there about what the UNPROFOR troops intend to do to make the area safe. Q Presumably, they will be doing more than they have been up until now. Can we assume that? MR. BOUCHER: Yes, it's an expanded mandate. The purpose of doing this resolution is to expand the mandate for UNPROFOR and is to implement the concept of safe areas that was adopted by the Security Council in a previous resolution, as a declaration, and is to now implement that and make it effective through the use of UNPROFOR forces. Q Just conceptually, will they have a mandate to seek out those things which are making their regions unsafe? MR. BOUCHER: That's the kind of question that you'll be able to answer once you see the resolution. Q Richard, does the resolution include language reaffirming Vance-Owen as the desired goal of policy in Bosnia? MR. BOUCHER: Once again, I'm not here to brief on the text of a resolution that hasn't been passed. I'm sorry, but I'm just not in a position to do that. Q Whether it does or not, can you tell us whether the Secretary will take the opportunity of his visit to Europe to press our allies once again on the Administration's preferred options? MR. BOUCHER: The Administration's preferred options remain the preferred options. I'm sure the discussion in Europe will involve a lot of Bosnia. You know that one of the points in the joint action program is that those options, those other options, remain on the table -- that they're not prejudiced or excluded; and I would expect a complete discussion of the Bosnian issues. Q Are they sitting on the table or are we pushing them across the table? MR. BOUCHER: That's an extension of metaphor I'm not prepared to do at this point. Q Richard, what is the U.S. Government's assessment of passage over the Serbian-Bosnian border? At the time of the Joint Action Plan -- MR. BOUCHER: I think I just did that. Q Can you have a discussion of the Bosnia issues without discussing it with the parties to the conflict? Or did you mean to be saying there that there will be some discussion with the parties of the conflict? MR. BOUCHER: I wasn't talking about bilateral meetings during the trip or any other meetings during the trip. Q Or multilateral meetings? MR. BOUCHER: Well, the multilateral meetings, you know the EC meetings -- Q But will any of them involve the parties to the conflict? My question is whether -- you said there would be a complete discussion -- MR. BOUCHER: At this point, Ralph, I don't have a list of other meetings during the trip of any kind. Q Richard, could you address the question of supplies reaching the Bosnian Serbs, or not reaching the Bosnian Serbs? What about reaching the Muslims? What's the status of the airdrops in eastern Bosnia, and what's happening with the airlift in Sarajevo? MR. BOUCHER: The airdrops are continuing. I don't have a precise update on that. I can get it for you if you want it. The Sarajevo airlift was suspended on June 1, three days ago -- two days ago -- because of a seriously deteriorating security situation. The airlift officials are expected to meet today to assess the security situation and to make a recommendation on when the airlift might be resumed. On convoys, there have been a lot of convoys getting through; in particular, last week. There have been some that have been held up this week. But we have been getting through to places like Srebrenica and Zepa and others like that. In Srebrenica, at this point, we're concerned about the water situation. The situation of the water there continues to deteriorate because the Bosnian Serbs are refusing to permit U.N. officials access to the water purification system that's under their control. But the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees is sending convoys today from Belgrade for Srebrenica and Zepa. They've cancelled convoys on the Belgrade-Sarajevo run due to fighting around Sarajevo. But the warehouse in Metkovic sent out 15 convoys on June 1-2, carrying 919 metric tons of relief supplies. For the period May 31 to June 1, the High Commissioner for Refugees reports that 20 convoys with 1,111 metric tons went from the warehouses in Zagreb, Zenica, and Belgrade. Q On the airdrops, some time ago there was concern about the dwindling resources. What's happening to the supply pipeline? MR. BOUCHER: I'd have to get you something on that, Howard. I know the airdrops have continued. Q Richard, recognizing your refusal to say what's in the resolution and your inability to define how safe the zones are going to be and what the UNPROFOR forces will be allowed to do, can I ask in the most general terms, will the people who are living in these zones feel an appreciable difference in their lives after this resolution is passed and implemented? MR. BOUCHER: That is the intention, and I would think so. Q You would? MR. BOUCHER: Yes. Q Richard, I know you don't normally do columns, but I wondered if you had any comment on William Safire's essay this morning in which he wonders if the Secretary is pursuing his own agenda on Bosnia or is merely inept? MR. BOUCHER: No, Johanna, we don't do columns. We haven't done that column for four years, and I don't think it's a good time to start now. Q Richard, can I ask -- back on Bosnia -- can I just review what you've said so far? There's one resolution on the table which will be voted on in the next day or two on safe havens. MR. BOUCHER: Yes, there certainly is. Q There are several others, however, making their way toward the table. One would be beefing up the monitor system and another would be -- MR. BOUCHER: Border monitors. Q -- making some adjustment on the Danube blockade. Is that a separate resolution, or doesn't it require a resolution? MR. BOUCHER: No. That's a procedure that's being worked out under the authority of the previous resolution. In the Joint Action Program we talked about three U.N. resolutions. One was the War Crimes Tribunal -- we've done that; (2) is the safe areas -- we're close to doing that; and (3) is the border monitors resolution -- that's something we still think should be adopted. Once the focus is off safe areas, we expect there will be more discussion of that. Q Richard, following up on Alan's question, you just gave us a list of activities going on in various safe areas, including Sarajevo and Srebrenica. Without disclosing what's in the resolution -- if you don't want to do that -- is it fair for us to conclude that the U.N. resolution will deal with the issues of allowing the people in the safe area of Srebrenica to have safe water supplies, or allowing the people in the safe area of Sarajevo to have an operable airport? Or is that not the sort of thing that the U.N. is dealing with in this resolution? MR. BOUCHER: I'm not sure U.N. resolutions ever get specific to the point of a water purification plant. Our strong support -- indeed, insistence on the need for the continuation of humanitarian supplies -- has been stated over and over again. It was stated in the Joint Action Program, it's been repeatedly stated in U.N. resolutions, and it has been carried out through things like the airdrops, through things like the continued convoys despite the difficulties. Q But we're talking about -- MR. BOUCHER: So these efforts will continue. Obviously, I think, with the implementation of the safe areas concept, we said the most important thing about it is it can save lives. It can save lives not only through stopping the fighting in these areas, but it can also help with the receipt of humanitarian supplies. So that support is part of it. Q I guess some of us have a problem. We've had a problem of trying to understand, when the U.N. designated certain areas as safe areas, I guess, after a while, we became accustomed to the idea that that was a designation that didn't necessarily make them safe. Now we're talking about implementation of the designation, and we're trying to determine whether -- trying to understand whether it's the U.N.'s intention that these areas actually be safe. Otherwise, we have to keep calling them so-called safe areas, or things like that. We can't just keep calling them safe areas when it's obvious the people can't even drink the water. MR. BOUCHER: In the end, it's going to depend on what happens on the ground. In the end, it's going to depend on what the parties can do, or can be brought to do, and what the UNPROFOR forces can do in terms of making them safe. The resolution will authorize the UNPROFOR people to expand their mandate, to expand their role and will define -- in general terms, give them the authority of the Council to carry out the actions that may be necessary to make those areas safe; and we'll specify many of those actions. So that's what the resolution will do. Q Do you know if there have been any volunteers at this point yet to send additional forces into these safe areas with the allies? MR. BOUCHER: No, I don't know; and I don't know what the troop levels will be. Q Richard, another subject? MR. BOUCHER: One down there, too. Q Is there another Bosnia question? Q I have one more. MR. BOUCHER: One more Bosnia? This gentleman has had his hand up for a while, too. Q Could you elaborate further on the first high-level meeting between the U.S. and -- MR. BOUCHER: Hold it. We were going to do one more Bosnia? Q I wanted to ask, three weeks ago, or so, President Clinton enumerated three interests that the U.S. has in Bosnia: humanitarian, containing the conflict, and responding to aggression. This morning, and on MacNeil/Lehrer, Secretary Christopher said that we're motivated by humanitarian interests and our only strategic interest is containing the conflict. I'm just wondering what happened. Are we still concerned about responding to aggression? Are we not characterizing that war as a war of aggression anymore? What happened to the third principle? MR. BOUCHER: I don't see a difference here, Tim. I think we've stated as clearly as possible that our goals are to stop the killing, to prevent the conflict from spreading, and to increase the pressure to bring about a negotiated solution. Those three goals have been stated repeatedly. Implicit in all of those is stopping aggression. The Secretary has, I think, repeatedly also discussed the American interests and how we're pursuing the American interests in this conflict. We've made very clear we have humanitarian interests, and we also have the strategic interest in preventing the conflict from spreading. So it's -- Q So you're saying it's implied that stopping the aggression is strategic interest or not? I don't want to put too much into it, but it's -- MR. BOUCHER: Stopping the killing and stopping the aggression from killing people is humanitarian interest as well. Stopping the conflict from spreading is stopping the aggression from going more broad. It's all the same thing. Q Increasingly, Richard, you don't even hear the word "aggression" being used here. The Secretary has delivered some very long answers on the Bosnia situation in which there's basically no blame apportioned, no aggression taking place; it's three factions with a long history of hatred for one another. Aggression doesn't seem to be part of the picture anymore. MR. BOUCHER: Howard, every time that I can remember that the Secretary has addressed this, he's made clear that there is blame, whether it's for crimes or for fighting, on all sides; but that the principal burden, the principal responsibility lies on the Serbian side. As I've reported to you day after day on the steps we're taking, the pressures that are increasing, they're all on the Serbs. Q Well, I'll tell you, I have a problem. If it's in the U.S.'s strategic interest not to see the battle -- the conflict spread, why isn't it in the U.S.'s strategic interest to see that war stopped before it can begin to spread? How do you draw a line? And what about the Europeans? Is their security interest only in containment? If the war stops, then your strategic interest in containing the war, I suppose, is satisfied. I don't get this. MR. BOUCHER: That was my answer to Tim's question. Stopping the aggression -- Q No, but you introduced -- MR. BOUCHER: -- is inherent in all these things that we're trying to do. What we're trying to do is to come up with specific steps, and we think we've done some of those in the Joint Action Program to get the killing to stop, to contain the conflict, and to bring more pressure on the Serbs to settle this thing through a negotiation. Q All right. But Christopher's long interview with NBC, only part of which was aired on the "Today" program, speaks of the U.S.'s strategic interests not being involved or invoked, as he put it, in the Bosnian war itself; only if -- well, "only" is -- I shouldn't say -- he didn't say "only" -- but the strategic interest, he said, is to see the war not spread. And I don't understand that. If a war is ended, well, then it can't spread, by definition; or if people keep killing themselves, presumably, you know, they could get confident enough to spread the war. How does the U.S. Government draw a strategic line like that? What about the Europeans? MR. BOUCHER: The Europeans -- you can ask the Europeans. Q Well, he asked them, and I know what their answer was. MR. BOUCHER: Well, then you don't need to ask me either, do you? The Secretary, I think, has been very clear that we have a humanitarian interest in stopping the killing and seeing the humanitarian supplies get through; and we've done a lot of things to carry that out. We also have a strategic interest in preventing the conflict from spreading, particularly outside of Bosnia's borders -- Q Correct. MR. BOUCHER: --and we have done things to carry that out. In the Joint Action Program you'll see a series of steps that respond to those various interests, to those various needs, whether it's safe areas or continuation of humanitarian supplies in order to help stop the killing inside Bosnia, or whether there are steps that we can take with Kosovo or Macedonia to help keep the conflict from spreading, or whether it's further steps to bring pressure on the Serbs to resolve this peacefully. I think we've defined what the interests are, we've defined what the goals are, and we've defined what the steps are to carry it out. Q Well, maybe I'll get a chance to pursue it with him some day. I don't see -- my problem is a war in Macedonia affects the U.S.'s vital or strategic interests is what he and all you folks are saying; but a war in Bosnia does not. It's just a humanitarian problem. I don't get it. MR. BOUCHER: You're -- Q It's said a priori. It's said -- MR. BOUCHER: Okay. You're turning things back and forth. Q No, I'm not. You guys say if the war spreads -- MR. BOUCHER: Yes, it is true, as you said, that if you stop the fighting in Bosnia, you also stop it from spreading. Q Of course. MR. BOUCHER: And that's why there has been an effort placed on -- Q Is it necessarily true? That's not necessarily true. It could stop in Bosnia, and it could still spread. MR. BOUCHER: I guess that's true, Alan. But the presumption is that if you stop the fighting where it is now, you stop it from spreading; you may not. That's why you need a series of steps, a package of steps, as we worked out with the Europeans in the Joint Action Program, that work on all these different aspects of the problem at once. Q Does the U.S. Government still consider this war in part a war of aggression by one state against another? MR. BOUCHER: Tim, we've been around that 13 times. Our view on that has not changed. There's elements of aggression. There's elements of intra-state, and there's elements of civil war. Q Could I just check on something, though. On the subject of containment, does this mean that -- you're worried about the conflict spreading outside of Bosnia. Does this mean that the Serbs, for example, the Bosnian-Serbs may get a message that as long as the conflict remains within Bosnia, then that is not a threat to -- MR. BOUCHER: No. I don't see any reason for them to draw that conclusion. With the U.N. considering placing UNPROFOR forces in cities that are threatened and under siege, with the United States committed to helping protect those forces through the use of our air power, I think it would be unjustified to draw any conclusion that they have license to do what they want in Bosnia. Q Richard, does -- MR. BOUCHER: We have a guy that wanted to change the subject a long time ago. Q Yes. Same subject. Does the U.S. Government have any clear idea of what went on in Belgrade the other day in that dust-up in front of the Parliament? MR. BOUCHER: I think I have a little more information on what happened after. The Serbian Renewal Movement leader, Vuk Draskovic, was arrested and beaten by Serbian police after a demonstration in Belgrade on June 1. Approximately 5,000 demonstrators had gathered outside the Parliament building to protest the assault of a Serbian Renewal Movement parliamentary deputy by a Serbian Radical Party deputy following the parliamentary debate on the recall of President Cosic. The police and some among the demonstrators fired shots. At least a dozen people were injured on both sides of the demonstration. One policeman was killed. Draskovic's injuries required hospital treatment. He and his wife have reportedly been sentenced to 60 days in jail for disturbing the public order and are subject to further prosecution. Despite repeated attempts, our Embassy in Belgrade has been unable to confirm their health or detention status. Obviously, we deplore the senseless violence that's occurred during the demonstration, as well as the police brutality that led to Draskovic's hospitalization. This is an issue which we intend to raise at the CSCE as part of their human rights standards which Serbia has claimed it maintains and respects. Q But you're still reading no great inference -- MR. BOUCHER: No broader political implications at this point. Q What do you think about the stability of Milosevic's government at this point? It's unchanged in your view in the last couple of days, three days, four days? MR. BOUCHER: As I said, I'm not trying -- at this point we're not drawing any political conclusions from the incidents that occurred. Q The U.S. has said for I think more than a year now, maybe a year and a half -- has talked about how brittle the Government of Iraq is, for example. We haven't seen too much public evidence of that brutality, but would you characterize -- would you care to characterize the government in Belgrade, using a phrase like that or anything of that sort? MR. BOUCHER: No, I don't think I would. Thank you. Q You wouldn't care to characterize him? MR. BOUCHER: No. And I don't think in the case of Iraq either we've tried to make specific predictions about how long it will last. Carol, and then we had a North Korea question back there, too. Q There was a report out of Kiev that Premier Kuchma had told Parliament -- the Parliament meeting that was discussing START -- that Ukraine should declare itself a nuclear state and temporarily keep hold of part of its nuclear arsenal. Have you seen this statement, and does it come as some -- as a surprise to you? MR. BOUCHER: I have not seen that statement at all, Carol. What I saw reported in the wires this morning was a very strong statement by Foreign Minister Zlenko about the importance of reaching non-nuclear status and support for ratification. I hadn't seen any statement by Kuchma at this point. Q Well, would you take a look at that and see -- MR. BOUCHER: And I think President Kravchuk was there as well. Q Well, would you take -- I mean, Kuchma is a fairly important player as well, so would you take a look at that and see if you can confirm that -- MR. BOUCHER: I'll check and see if we have anything on it, yes. Q Yes. Could you see if he told Strobe Talbott that when Strobe was in Kiev? MR. BOUCHER: I think we've told you about 13 times, Barry, that Ukrainian leaders, including during our recent visit, once again assured us of their intention to be a non-nuclear state and to ratify the START and the NPT. Q Speaking of non-nuclear states, do you want to talk about the talks on North Korea? Q I have a question on this subject, please. Is the United States concerned that Ukraine will have operational control of its nuclear weapons in one to two years? MR. BOUCHER: Let me explain the situation as we know it. The nuclear weapons of the former Soviet Union remain under the single unified command of the Commonwealth of Independent States' Armed Forces led by Marshal Shaposhnikov. We have heard reports about Ukrainian efforts to seek operational control. We have made it clear that we would oppose their establishing such control. Senior Ukrainian officials have consistently assured us that they continue to support Ukraine's commitments to become a non-nuclear weapons state; and, as I mentioned just today, Foreign Minister Zlenko made a strong statement in that regard in front of Parliament. Obviously, this is a subject of great importance to us. It's one that we follow closely. We remain confident that Ukraine does not have the independent control over nuclear weapons and does not have the capability to order the use of strategic weapons on its territory. Q But are you concerned that they are moving in that direction, and is there any evidence that they could in fact gain operational control within two years? MR. BOUCHER: Carol, I'm afraid all I can tell you is what we just did, and that's that we heard reports about Ukrainian efforts to seek operational control, and we've made clear to them that we would oppose their establishing such control. The senior Ukrainian officials have consistently assured us that they continue to support Ukraine's commitments to become a non-nuclear state. Q What kind of reports are those? Are those press reports you're referring to, or are you referring to having heard reports over some longer period of time from government officials or other informants in Kiev? MR. BOUCHER: That's not something I can get into. Q But you're not saying they're press reports. MR. BOUCHER: No, I didn't say that. Q Could you elaborate further on the first high-level meeting between the U.S. and North Korea? And, secondly, is your government now discussing some sort of sanctions against North Korea with member states of the United Nations Council -- Security Council? MR. BOUCHER: As far as further, I think you saw the statement done in New York, but just to review for the basics of what happened yesterday. Representatives of the United States and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea met to discuss international efforts to resolve the nuclear issue and to eliminate the threat of nuclear weapons on the Korean peninsula. As Assistant Secretary Gallucci stated yesterday, the two sides had seven hours of discussions, but there was no significant progress. As was stated yesterday as well, the two sides agreed to meet again on Friday. With regard to your second question, I would say that our goal remains to seek a nuclear-free Korean peninsula. To achieve this, North Korea must commit itself to remain in the NPT, fully cooperate with the IAEA, and implement the North-South denuclearization declaration. We continue to consider, along with other members of the international community, what further steps to take to accomplish these goals. Q Were the sanctions among them? MR. BOUCHER: I think we've previously said that that was in the universe, but at this point I think the next step is to have this meeting with the Koreans tomorrow. Q Richard, why are you having this meeting on Friday if you had no progress in seven hours yesterday? MR. BOUCHER: Well, they agreed it might be useful -- the people who were up there talking agreed it might be useful to get together again, and they're getting together again on Friday. Q Was there some indication that either side -- either the U.S. or the North Koreans planned to take back some results or some paper or some proposals that they've discussed in the first meeting and return on Friday with fresh opinions or instructions of some sort? MR. BOUCHER: We'll have to see what happens tomorrow. Q Well, no, that's a question that relates to what happened yesterday. Was there some commitment to do that? MR. BOUCHER: At this point we've said as much as we can about the content of the discussions. They're underway. They will continue on Friday. Q Richard, any comments in response on developments in Bolivia? MR. BOUCHER: No. Q Richard, does the United States recognize the Vice President of Guatemala as the new head of government, new head of state? MR. BOUCHER: Mr. Espina? Q Yes. MR. BOUCHER: Our understanding is that with the Presidency having been vacated by former President Serrano, the Vice President, Gustavo Espina, has, according to the constitution, now assumed the Presidency. There is disagreement between the former Vice President, Espina, the Congress, the Constitutional Court of Guatemala and others as to whether this is an interim, temporary step. The United States is not in a position to intervene in that constitutional dispute. We reiterate, however, that we want to see Guatemala return immediately to full constitutional democracy, and that we want this done through peaceful, legal and constitutional processes. Q The Ambassador will be -- MR. BOUCHER: Our Ambassador? Q Yes. Ours. MR. BOUCHER: No change in that. Q When she gets there, how will she address this gentleman? MR. BOUCHER: In whatever his status is that's worked out through the constitutional process. Q But we have no view on his status? MR. BOUCHER: Again, we're not in a position to decide constitutional questions for Guatemala. Q So the U.S. position today is that what's going on in Guatemala right now is a "constitutional dispute." There's no aspect of another coup or military involvement, or anything. This is -- in the U.S. view this dispute over Espina's status is a constitutional dispute. MR. BOUCHER: Our understanding is that the issue is being addressed down there as a constitutional question. Q And in the meantime, who do you recognize as the repository of sovereignty in Guatemala? MR. BOUCHER: I don't think it's for us to annoint people, Jim. He has assumed the Presidency, but the constitutional situation remains confused. It's a fluid situation. It's one that changes and one that's playing itself out. Q Richard -- Q On the -- I'm sorry -- on the OAS meeting, what does the U.S. think -- in light of what you've just said about the situation in Guatemala, what is there that the OAS can or should do in the course of its meeting today? What's the purpose of having it? If they're having a constitutional dispute and the U.S. thinks that, yes, that's something that has to be played out down there, what's the point of having a Foreign Ministers meeting here? MR. BOUCHER: Ralph, the point of having the meeting is to support democracy. It's to make clear the hemisphere's support for democracy and to look at ways that we can take additional steps or whatever we can do to make that change go peacefully, legally and constitutionally; and I'll leave further statements on that for the Secretary's statement this afternoon. Q So does the U.S. think that the OAS should consider additional steps to, what, to get involved in the constitutional dispute in Guatemala or -- MR. BOUCHER: No. I'm not prescribing anything for the OAS. The meeting is ongoing now. Deputy Secretary Wharton is over there. The Secretary will be going over this afternoon and will make a statement there on what we think the OAS can and should do. Q Richard, is this your last briefing? MR. BOUCHER: I think so, yes. Yes] Q Well, we -- I guess, without dissent, we want to say we wish you well. We appreciate your help and your candor, and that you tried to be on time most days. (Laughter) And we hope you have a new assignment that will be one that you'd like. So, thank you. Q Do you have an announcement along those lines? MR. BOUCHER: No, I don't. (Applause) Q That was on the record. MR. BOUCHER: I'll say on the record, thank you very much. I've made a lot of friends here, and I hope to keep seeing you, even if I don't stand up at the podium and talk. Q Indeed. Thank you. (The briefing concluded at 1:31 p.m.) (###)