DEPARTMENT OF STATE DAILY PRESS BRIEFING DPC #79 WEDNESDAY, JUNE 2, 1993, 12:31 P. M. (ON THE RECORD UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) MR. BOUCHER: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. If I can start with two brief announcements. First of all, we are pleased to welcome two new interns in the Press Office, David Bosco and Tabitha Oman. Both are native Washingtonians. They have just finished their sophomore years in college; David at Harvard College and Tabitha at the University of Colorado. They are both government majors with an interest in inter-government international affairs, so this is a good place for them to be; and we are happy to have them with us. They will be with us through the summer, hopefully helping you as much as they are helping us. Anyway, David and Tabitha are over on the side there. Second of all, a briefing this afternoon at 2:00 p.m. Counselor Timothy Wirth and Assistant Secretary for Human Rights and Humanitarian Affairs John Shattuck will be briefing in this room on the World Conference on Human Rights. It's to be held in Vienna from June l4 to the 25. The briefing will be on the record. And, as you know, the Secretary will be making a speech to that conference on the first day, June l4, as part of his trip to Europe. That's all I have in the way of announcements. I'll be glad to take your questions. Q Could you tell us what pressures besides the aid cut-off announced last week were brought to bear by the United States in Guatemala? MR. BOUCHER: George, I think the aid cut-off, the review of GSP, these are things, as the Secretary said, that were part of an international effort through the OAS and working with other governments which seems to have paid off, seems to have played, as the Secretary said, a significant role in the turn of events, which seems to be leading back in the democratic direction. The United States also made very clear to all the parties in Guatemala what our views were, the same views that I have expressed to you here, and that is that democracy needed to be restored peacefully, legally, and constitutionally. And that position was made very clear to all the different factions and parties in Guatemala. They appear to have moved to develop a formula for the return to constitutional government. Military and civilian political leadership consulted extensively on this formula. We are following the events down there closely. The facts are not entirely clear, but it appears that they are finding a means to return to democracy under a constitutional process. Q Richard, on that subject, I asked the Secretary about the issue of the military playing a role here. Doesn't this sort of set a tone for a future constitutional democratic civilian government in Guatemala, that the civilian leaders will always be kind of looking over their shoulder and saying, "Well, you know, it is really obviously the military that's going to decide whether I stay in this office or whether I don't, and they are going to be the ones pulling the strings and calling the shots." Does this -- is the U.S. afraid at all of that aspect of this -- of the way this turn of events is occurring? MR. BOUCHER: Obviously the military was involved in yesterday's events, but you had a constitutional court ruling that President Serrano's actions were unconstitutional. They were involved in consulting extensively with the civilian political leaderships. They were acting pursuant to a request of the constitutional court and in consultation with that court; and these parties devised a solution which, as I said, appears to be being carried out and appears to be moving towards constitutional rule. So, to the extent that the military's role was to act pursuant to civilian authority and to the constitutional court in cooperation with the civilian and political leadership, well, that's the kind of role that they should have. Q And if I just could follow up briefly, in Russia, when Yeltsin was undergoing his constitutional strains, the U.S. applauded the fact -- or I guess took some satisfaction in the fact that the military in Russia essentially stayed on the side lines in all of that, didn't weigh in with one -- in one way or another. Is there a comparison to be made here? MR. BOUCHER: Of course not. Q Because you never make comparisons. MR. BOUCHER: Ralph, the two situations are in no way analogous, I think. If you start thinking through them, I guess it's a question of whether the military stays under civilian control and acts in support of constitutional government and constitutional principles; and that was what we have supported in both cases. Q Richard, has former-President Serrano applied for a U.S. visa, and/or has he received one? MR. BOUCHER: He has had a visa. He has had a visa that has been -- from some time ago. I don't know exactly when. Q And do you expect him to come here? MR. BOUCHER: He has a tourist visa. It's still valid. We understand he's coming to visit relatives in Texas. Q Do you know when? Q When will he do that? MR. BOUCHER: I'm not sure exactly when. Soon. Q Will he be welcome in the United States on the basis of his activities in Guatemala? MR. BOUCHER: He has a visa, his visa is still valid, and, as far as we know, he's coming to visit relatives. Q Yes, but that question is, will he have -- MR. BOUCHER: We haven't tried to revoke the visa, if that's what you're asking. Q That's what I'm asking, yes. Also, is the U.S. planning to meet with the former-President of Guatemala when he comes to visit his relatives to discuss the situation there at all with him? MR. BOUCHER: I don't know of any such plans at this point. Q Richard, do you know what the plans are of the newly confirmed ambassador to Guatemala? Will she go down now or will she await the restoration of democracy? MR. BOUCHER: I think we said yesterday that she would remain in Washington until the situation is clarified. At this point, we haven't made that decision about when she should go down there. We haven't seen the situation sufficiently clarified, I guess. Q Richard, I wanted to flip George's question and ask you whether you felt the U.S. had any role in this return to democracy, or whatever we are going to call it? MR. BOUCHER: I certainly think we did, but acting along with others in the hemisphere, acting through the OAS, acting in a direction that was also supported broadly in Guatemalan society. There was a large number of people who turned out for democracy, both inside Guatemala and outside Guatemala in the OAS, and certainly the role of the United States in support of democracy -- the way we moved to suspend aid and review other programs, the position that we made clear both in public and in private -- I think those were all factors. Q Richard, following that, how do you reconcile U.S. concern for democracy in general with the other general rule that the United States does not interfere in the internal affairs of other countries? MR. BOUCHER: It's a pretty broad question, Jim, one that I think, if you did a careful analysis, you would see a lot of evolution in those principles as time has gone on. There is, you know, a universal declaration of human rights. There are standards of democracy that are embraced throughout the world. There are standards of democracy that are embraced by the OAS specifically, by all the OAS members in the Santiago Declaration. I think it is generally held at this point that countries have an interest in peaceful and stable societies, and that democracies are those kind of societies. I think we live in an age where our interest in democracy and the interest of other governments in the hemisphere in democracy is not taken to be interference. Q Still following on that, does the -- can you be any more specific about who, if anyone, from the United States Government was present in Guatemala in these last few days since the coup who may have exercised U.S. influence either on the military or civilian leaders or talked with, consulted with, members of the court or parliament members or whatever? MR. BOUCHER: Our embassy is down there. They have a full complement of people, minus the ambassador. Q Was it active on this -- MR. BOUCHER: And they were active throughout in stressing the importance of democracy and the importance of restoring constitutional rule. Q And was the U.S. -- was there a U.S. military attache in Guatemala in this last period of a few days, and was the U.S. attache, military attache, active in contacts with the Guatemalan military? MR. BOUCHER: We have a Defense Attache Office down there. I can't give you a list of meetings or contacts that they might have had; but I think that the view that we have expressed down there in all our sections and all our people is the same view that we have been expressing up here. Q In other words, even though military aid had been suspended, contacts between the U.S. Defense Attache and the Guatemalan military were active during this period. MR. BOUCHER: No. I don't know specifically who in the embassy had what contacts with whom, with which Guatemalan; but I do know that in the contacts that we did have -- and I don't have a list of them -- that the views that we were expressing were the ones that I have expressed to you here publicly. Q New subject? Ukraine, Richard. Does the latest deferral of the parliamentary debate on nuclear weapons go against assurances that Strobe Talbott received in Kiev recently? And is the United States still confident that Ukraine is going to abide by its START I commitment? MR. BOUCHER: Well, let me review the situation as we know it now. President Kravchuk has made a statement that the Ukrainian parliament will begin debate on the START treaty this month, and that's something that we welcome. Ukrainian Government officials, including President Kravchuk, have continued to state their support for the ratification of START and accession to the NPT as a non-nuclear-weapon state. As for the timing of the final vote, it's a matter of Ukraine to work out according to its own procedures. It's frankly unclear exactly when a final vote in parliament will take place. We do expect Ukraine to fulfill its Lisbon Protocol obligations promptly, and that hasn't changed. Further delays would continue to be a matter of concern. But I have to point out at the same time that we don't view our relationship with Ukraine solely in terms of arms control agreements. We seek a partnership with Ukraine that's based on a broad range of economic, political and security issues. We look forward to their fulfilling the Lisbon obligations promptly as part of the natural development of that partnership. Q On Yugoslavia, do you have an update on the situation in the safe haven of Gorazde? MR. BOUCHER: Of Gorazde or Gradacac? Q Gorazde. MR. BOUCHER: Gorazde. Let's see what we know on the fighting. Heavy fighting continued around Gorazde. That's about all I have. Sarajevo was relatively quiet except for the soccer match explosion. Some small arms fire in the Novo Sarajevo district. There's also been fighting reported around Maglaj, around Olovo, Brcko, and Gradacac in northeastern Bosnia. Srebrenica was tense but quiet, and there's some fighting between Bosnian-Croatian and government forces reported around Mostar, Vitez, and Kiseljak. Q I would like to ask you about something the Secretary said last night in his interview on MacNeil/Lehrer. Let me read you the quote, and then I'll ask the question. He said, "One of the things I think perhaps the American people have not understood adequately is that there is no simple air power solution. All of military planners say that an air strike could perhaps accomplish something the first or the second day, but thereafter the artillery pieces, the mortars, would be hidden in the hills, hidden under trees, or even more frighteningly placed next to schools or mosques or hospitals. So I think there are real limitations on air power as a solution to the problem in Bosnia." My question is, if this is the case, why is this still the preferred solution of the United States, or part of the preferred policy of the United States, and why did the Secretary go to Europe to push for air power to be used? MR. BOUCHER: Alan, you can't reduce the whole to one of its parts. Air power alone, as the Secretary said, has certain distinct and clear limitations in this situation. That's why, as he explained elsewhere in that interview, which I'm sure you've read thoroughly, the preferred option for the United States was and still is a lifting of the arms embargo to provide the Muslims -- the government -- with the wherewithal to defend itself; and given the prospects that there might be an upsurge in fighting or attacks during that time, that air power could in some way compensate for that period. That is what the Secretary explained is what he went to Europe with. Q Also, given the limitations of air power, what does this mean for the use of air power in the protection of safe havens? MR. BOUCHER: Once again, it's what the Secretary said -- you can't expect air power alone to accomplish those goals. I think he's also discussed many times the division of labor; and, as you know, we're currently working on a United Nations resolution that would more precisely define how to implement the safe havens concept. Q So the United States remains willing to use air power to protect not the safe havens, the people, the U.N. peacekeepers in the safe havens, or guarding the safe havens? That remains the U.S. -- MR. BOUCHER: That remains the same. Q Why wouldn't the same restrictions, or the same -- not restrictions -- but the same concerns that the Secretary expressed about if the U.S. were to use air power to protect UNPROFOR forces in some of the safe havens, why wouldn't the weapons threatening the UNPROFOR forces be subject to being placed next to a mosque or in a school yard or something like that? And why wouldn't that give the U.S. the same pause or the same concern about using its air power to protect the UNPROFOR forces as it apparently has for protecting Bosnian Muslims? MR. BOUCHER: The point that the Secretary made in the quote that Alan read is that air power alone can't do this. There is a division of labor. There will be UNPROFOR troops on the ground in the safe areas with an expanded mandate; and there will be a U.S. role, having pledged our air power to help protect or rescue the UNPROFOR forces should they so request. So it's a matter of looking at the totality of the situation as it develops. Q Do you have a better sense of what the shape of that resolution is going to be now, what it will do and what it won't do? MR. BOUCHER: It's still being worked on up in New York. Yesterday, the Security Council discussed a French draft of the resolution to implement the six safe areas. We understand that members of the non-aligned movement have raised concerns about the current draft and that they have prepared an alternative text. We do believe it's important for the Council to reach a consensus on safe areas resolutions and to move forward to adopt a joint action program, and we're working to achieve this goal. There is a meeting of the Perm 4 plus Spain and the non-aligned nations that's been going on since this morning. I think it's still going on now. The full Council will meet in an informal session this afternoon to discuss further this safe areas resolution. Q Would you anticipate that there will be some -- I'm sorry -- that there might be some coming together of the non-aligned resolution and the French draft? MR. BOUCHER: There might be. Q Because I understand that one of the things that -- MR. BOUCHER: I can't at this point predict a precise vote. Q One of the things that this non-aligned draft, I believe, calls for is actually -- indirectly, at least -- the lifting of the arms embargo. MR. BOUCHER: Yes. Their proposal, I think, includes the idea of some lifting of the arms embargo. I don't have the exact text; and, as I said, it's all being worked on up in New York, and Security Council members have discussed this. Q What's the U.S. view on that aspect of it? MR. BOUCHER: Our view is what I've said previously, what the Secretary said previously. We support the idea of enabling the Bosnian Government to exercise their right to self-defense by acquiring weapons to even the balance with the Serbs. Q So the U.S. would support at least that portion of the non-aligned resolution? MR. BOUCHER: I said we've supported the idea. At this point, the exact text of resolutions is being worked on up in New York. Q Do you still have any sense at all as to how many additional troops are going to be required to enforce this? MR. BOUCHER: No, I don't. Not at this point. Q The CIA Director is in Sofia today -- it's in the context. I want to know whether his mission is connected with the Bosnia questions? MR. BOUCHER: I have no idea. Q Can you comment at all on his visit? MR. BOUCHER: No. I think if there is such a visit, you can ask the people involved. Q Richard, but do we -- just back to Ralph's question -- do we think that lifting the arms embargo without stiffening it with air power, is that going to work -- just the arms embargo? You said the air power alone won't work. Will lifting the arms embargo alone work? MR. BOUCHER: Sid, I've described the preferred option. You know that these options remain on the table and that some of the elements, or some of these other options are being advocated by various people up at the U.N. as the U.N. moves towards a resolution. We do think it's important to move forward, to move forward on the Joint Action Program; and we're trying to achieve that up in New York, so I don't think I can take pieces apart. What we're trying to do is to work out something that can make a difference on the ground and can help stop the killing, contain the conflict, and increase pressure on the parties that aren't willing to reach a negotiated solution; and those steps are in the Joint Action Plan, and we think we should move forward, including on the U.N. resolutions that we're working on. Q I'm bit puzzled as to the way the United States is going about it. It advocated lifting the arms embargo. It said this was part of its preferred solution. Now there are a whole lot of countries out there that agree with the United States, and the United States isn't actively supporting them. Instead, it's supporting a resolution for what you call safe havens but what might better be called "semi-demilitarized dangerous zones." How do you explain this contradiction? MR. BOUCHER: Alan, without introducing your personal characterizations of things, I think we made quite clear when we agreed on the Joint Action Program that these were interim measures, that other measures might be required, and it was explicitly recognized by the other governments involved in the Joint Action Program that other options remained on the table and were not prejudiced. There are indeed governments with different points of view, and there's a process going on at the United Nations to try to take action and try to move forward on the things. We think we can move forward and should move forward on the elements of the Joint Action Program, and we're trying to do that up in New York. Q But, Richard, there's a political -- there's a mechanical aspect to this here. You've settled on what you call the Joint Action Plan. Now you're pursuing it at the U.N., and suddenly an element of what was not part of the action plan has been introduced. Our question is, does the U.S. feel at this time, mechanically, that the right way to go about this process is to amend part of the action plan that dealt with safe havens to include an aspect that the U.S. favors -- lifting the arms embargo -- but was not agreed to as part of the action plan? Is the U.S. in favor of inserting that element that was outside the action plan into the U.N. resolution dealing with part of the action plan? MR. BOUCHER: Ralph, at this point there's a process going on in New York that, as Barrie suggested, might result in some merger of the non-aligned proposals and the ones that the Perm Four plus Spain have come up with in the Joint Action Program. That's a process that's ongoing. I can't really get into the negotiations at this point. There are discussions going on up at the United Nations. You know what our position has been on lifting the arms embargo; but you also know that we've taken the position on the Joint Action Program that those are worthwhile things that we should try to move forward on, and that are worth doing promptly. We do want to see things move forward, and we'll be working at the United Nations to move forward as best we can. Q Richard, in light of the generalized fighting that you noted, is the Secretary going to raise this preferred option when he travels to Europe again next week? MR. BOUCHER: I think we've said that all the options remain on the table. I don't know where exactly we'll be when we go to Europe next week, so at this point I can't give you a precise agenda. Q I wanted to ask about what's going on in Belgrade and what your take is on it -- the jailing of the -- and the beating of the opposition leader. I mean, does the State Department consider that this could be the opening steps in a larger move against Milosevic, or how seriously do you view all this? MR. BOUCHER: Well, I think we deal with this in a pretty straightforward way of just noting what's going on. I don't think I have any broader conclusions to draw from it at this point. What we know is as follows: There was a crowd estimated at 5,000 that gathered outside the Parliament building in Belgrade last evening, following the assault of a Parliamentarian of the Serb Renewal Movement by a Parliamentary follower of Seselj. As the police moved to clear the area last night, approximately 32 people were injured, including several policemen. One policeman died. We think some of the demonstrators were armed. More than 100 persons were arrested, including Vuk Draskovic, the leader of the Serbian Renewal Movement, who had earlier addressed the crowd. Q But you have no -- does this suggest that -- MR. BOUCHER: No preliminary conclusions from this point. Q -- sanctions are working? MR. BOUCHER: It was a fight between members of the Serb Renewal Movement and the followers of Mr. Seselj. Q Following up briefly to your comment about where we're going to be when you go to Europe next week, you mentioned, I think, in a posted answer last night that Reginald Bartholomew would be accompanying the Secretary of State on the European trip; and I think yesterday or the day before you said that Bosnia was likely to be a topic that was certain to come up -- MR. BOUCHER: Obvious topic. Q -- obvious topic. Will the -- does the Secretary plan to meet with any of the parties to the conflict during the course of his European visit next week, such as the Bosnian Muslim Government, the Belgrade Serb Government, the Bosnian-Serb leaders? MR. BOUCHER: Ralph, at this point the meetings that are firm are the NATO meetings and the EC meetings and obviously the meetings with Turkish Government officials. I don't have anything on any further bilats or other meetings that he might have. Q Would you take the question of whether the Secretary intends to use his visit next week to Europe to meet with the parties to the conflict? MR. BOUCHER: I'm sure we'll get you that information at the appropriate time. Q Richard, back to the United Nations, did the meeting with the North Korean go off as planned this morning? MR. BOUCHER: The meeting has started. It's an ongoing meeting that's going on, and that's about the -- whatever it was -- 12:15 update from USUN. Q Richard, also on North Korea. It's a little technical question but important. What's the interpretation of the U.S. Government as to exactly when North Korea's notice of withdrawal from NPT takes effect? Apparently the treaty requires the notice to be made three months prior to all parties and the Security Council, and some of the governments are saying they received the notice on March the 14th or they haven't received the notice at all. MR. BOUCHER: That question came up the other day; and I said that my understanding was that it was June 12, or about June 12. I'm not sure I can get any more precise for you than that, but that's our view. Q Back on Guatemala -- MR. BOUCHER: We have one over there, too. Q Go ahead. Q Do you have any position on the strange happenings in Jerusalem -- the Libyan contingent, the pilgrims and the Israeli reaction, the Arab reaction? What do you think of this? Is this something that you would encourage? MR. BOUCHER: I think, first of all, it's worth noting that we obviously welcome access to the holy sites in Jerusalem. We've always said that that's something that is important. At the same time, our views on Libya and the U.N. resolutions have not changed; and I think the parties are also aware of our views on that. Q Do you see this as a Libyan attempt to improve Libya's image in the United States? MR. BOUCHER: I don't think I can characterize what the Libyans may or may not be trying to do in this. Q While still in the Middle East, do you have anything new on the preliminary contacts with the Palestinians? There were reports last week that Faisal Husseini received an invitation from Secretary Christopher to come to Washington before the next round. Anything new on that? MR. BOUCHER: Nothing new to say on that. We remain in touch with the parties. Q Following up on the Libya question for just a second, the U.S. has strict sanctions in place vis-a-vis Libya and urges other nations to do so as well. Is the U.S. going to take up with the Israeli Government the question of Israeli businesses allowing commerce with Libyan tourist agencies providing services in Jerusalem and tourism? MR. BOUCHER: Our understanding -- and the Israelis did consult with us before the arrival of the Libyan pilgrims -- our understanding is that they came by bus to Jerusalem. Israel knows about the requirements of the U.N. Security Council Resolution 731 and 748; and the visits to the holy sites, as far as we understand, wouldn't contravene those requirements in the U.N. resolutions. Q Richard, back on the Middle East conference, has the Secretary sent out any invitations for the next round, or the continuation of the last round, whatever you're calling it? MR. BOUCHER: At this point, Jim, we don't have any other news for you. We remain in touch with the parties. Q What are you calling this, by the way? MR. BOUCHER: What are we calling it? Q Are you calling it a continuation of the round or a new round? MR. BOUCHER: We're currently in an adjournment. (Laughter) So we'll call it when we get to the new talks. We call them an adjournment in the talks, that's where we are now. Q Can I come back to Bosnia for just a second, two small ones? One, the Secretary General, I think is his title, of the Islamic Conference in Dubai made a public statement urging the presence of Islamic troops in Bosnia. Does the U.S. favor the contribution of troops from Islamic nations, for example -- but not to limit my question to this -- for example, in connection with the safe havens or something? MR. BOUCHER: Ralph, I hadn't seen those comments and really don't have a reaction to them. Q Well, the U.S., generally speaking, though, you said the other day has been urging other nations to contribute -- to make contributions to the safe haven operation, in part by contributing troops, didn't you? MR. BOUCHER: I don't remember saying that, but in any case -- Q Does the U.S. not urge nations to provide troops to the safe haven operation? MR. BOUCHER: We certainly think that everybody should support UNPROFOR, but the exact composition of UNPROFOR's forces is really something for the United Nations and the UNPROFOR people to decide. Q O.K. And one other small one: Do you have any comment -- I'm sorry it's taken me this long to get around to this -- but any comment on Sunday's full-page ad -- I believe it was in the New York Times -- from the Ambassador from Saudi Arabia urging greater attention to the Bosnia issue by the United States? MR. BOUCHER: I didn't read the ad. Q You didn't see it. MR. BOUCHER: No. I don't have any particular comment. Q Richard, if I could ask one more on -- MR. BOUCHER: Can we have David. He's had his hand up. Q This is unrelated so -- MR. BOUCHER: O.K. Q Just does the State Department have any indications of increased tension or violence in Sandjak region? MR. BOUCHER: I haven't seen anything new on Sandjak. I'll have to check. Q Do you have any comment on the Australian Government's decision to halt the Northwest Airline flights into Australia? MR. BOUCHER: I hadn't seen that. I'll have to check on that one, too. Q Anything on the American in Iraq? I asked yesterday. MR. BOUCHER: We put out something yesterday, didn't we? Q Did you? OK. Q Yes. Q Richard, back on Guatemala, do the events of the last 24 hours have any impact on the OAS Foreign Ministers meeting? Does the Secretary still plan to attend? Is the nature of the meeting changed at all? (Staff hands note to Mr. Boucher) Q This just in. MR. BOUCHER: This just in. Our understanding is the meeting is still on. They convene at 11:00. Deputy Secretary Wharton will be there, at least at the opening. The Secretary will speak probably between 3:00 and 4:00. Obviously, the Ministers will want to review the situation as it stands tomorrow; but as far as we know, the meeting is still on. Q Thank you. (The briefing concluded at 1:02 p.m.) (###)