DEPARTMENT OF STATE DAILY PRESS BRIEFING DPC #61 WEDNESDAY, APRIL 28, 1993, 12:42 P. M. (ON THE RECORD UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) MR. BOUCHER: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. If I can start out with two small announcements, one on Eritrea and one on Haiti: On April 27 the Eritrean authorities announced that the Eritrean people had voted overwhelmingly for independence from Ethiopia in their April 23-25 referendum and that Eritrea was a sovereign country as of April 27. After this announcement, our Consulate in Asmara informed the authorities that we recognized Eritrea as an independent state. The formal steps to establish diplomatic relations with Eritrea are in process. We congratulate the Eritrean Referendum Commission for the excellent job it did in conducting such a well-organized and open referendum. The United Nations referendum observer mission issued a statement that the referendum was free and fair. We welcome Eritrea into the family of nations, and we look forward to its continued progress in developing democratic forms of government. That's it for Eritrea. Having dealt with all the follow-up questions, we'll go on to Haiti. Q A round of applause. (Laughter) Q A round of champagne. MR. BOUCHER: We have instructed our Embassy in Haiti to protest in the strongest terms the statement that was issued Monday by the Haitian armed forces concerning the dispatches of a New York Times reporter who covers Haitian affairs. The Haitian armed forces have every right to deny or criticize reports that they consider incorrect. It is not acceptable to seek to intimidate reporters. So we've asked our Embassy to go in and protest that in the strongest terms. Q Was the reporter Howard French, and how did they intimidate him? MR. BOUCHER: This is Howard French, and it was a statement on Monday that talked about measures that could be taken to stop this kind of reporting, or words like that, that we felt were intimidating and threatening to the American involved. And with that, I'd be glad to take your questions. Q Could you give us an idea -- we have some idea what the President's been doing so far as consulting with the allies. Has the Secretary been on the phone, talking to Foreign Ministers, having any exchanges with them about Bosnia that you could tell us about? MR. BOUCHER: We have had exchanges with the allies at various levels. I can't think of any very recent phone calls with the allies. He talked to Foreign Minister Hurd and Foreign Minister Juppe last Friday about sanctions enforcement principally. I don't know of any since then, but we've been in touch with allies at the United Nations. We've been talking to people here in Washington, consultations at NATO, in capitals with others, including the European Community and Russia, obviously, about the general situation in Yugoslavia. So we've been keeping in close touch with allies. Q I know the Russian was here -- yesterday, I guess -- for the peace talks. He's a Middle East expert. But was that an occasion to talk to the Russians about Bosnia? MR. BOUCHER: I don't know that that's within the gentleman's brief. He's here for the peace talks. Q Well, what else -- if I can just follow for a second more, it seems that the President may have interrupted this consultation, at least with the French, figuring that we wanted to think it through again before getting on the phone with these leaders. MR. BOUCHER: I don't know why you assume that. Q Well, it's an account in the New York Times. MR. BOUCHER: Well, I still don't know why you would assume it's true, but anyway -- Q Do you want to send him to jail? (Laughter) MR. BOUCHER: No. Q I just wondered if there is some sort of a suspension -- not necessarily a reconsideration, but for deeper consideration of what the Administration may finally do before picking up the phone again. MR. BOUCHER: Barry, I'll leave it to the White House to describe the status of the President's conversations with other leaders. I think he has been trying to connect with Mitterrand. He's talked to a couple others. They had an extensive discussion at the White House yesterday with members of Congress and a consultation with them over there. So, you know, we are discussing -- obviously, we are concerned from our level, at different levels, with the situation in Yugoslavia. We've been in close touch with other members of the international community, and many of them are considering some of the same issues that we're currently considering. But the President is reviewing his options. He's consulting. We're hearing the views not only of foreign governments, but also he's consulting with the Congress. There are various options being looked at, and I think the White House made very clear at this point there aren't any decisions. Q What is the Secretary doing today? MR. BOUCHER: What is the Secretary doing today? Q Yes. As far as I can tell -- MR. BOUCHER: Right now he's over at the White House. He's had some meetings this morning and -- Q At the White House? MR. BOUCHER: He was over at the White House for the Drug Czar announcement and has constant touch with people over there. Q What's he doing in the next week or so? Does he have any plans to go get in touch with people personally? MR. BOUCHER: Still the same place we were on travel. No decisions on any travel plans at this point. Q Is there anything more you can tell us about the consultative process or the review process at least from the State Department point of view -- what's going on here, if anything? MR. BOUCHER: No, I really can't, Saul. This is a process that's underway. It's a process that the Secretary has, I think, made clear in a number of public statements that involves a lot of careful consideration of some very difficult choices and options that have to be looked at. It's a process that's underway. Q Richard, what can you tell us about what's happening on the ground? Are you alarmed by the new Serb offensives that were launched yesterday, and what do you think all of this says about any hope for the Vance-Owen Accord? MR. BOUCHER: Let me try to address those separately. The fighting has continued. The new sanctions have gone into effect, and we certainly hope that they will have an effect in changing Serbian attitudes and particularly Serbian behavior on the ground, but the fighting has continued -- different places, different kinds of things going on, some similar to what we've seen in the past. Sarajevo was relatively quiet last night. There has been some fighting outside of Srebrenica yesterday, but the cease-fire in that area is holding generally. Bosnian Serb and Bosnian Government forces were reported to be fighting near Gradacac, Brcko, Zvornik in northeast Bosnia; near Goradze in eastern Bosnia, and near Maglaj in north-central Bosnia. Those have all been places where fighting has gone on before. The cease-fire between the Bosnian Government and the Bosnian Croats appears to be holding in the Mostar area, but the fighting has diminished around Zenica and Travnik in central Bosnia. However, around Busovaca, Vitez and Kiseljak in central Bosnia and Jablanica in western Bosnia, there has been fighting again between those forces. Croatia -- there are still some artillery exchanges going on in a couple of places on the coast in Croatia. So there's still fighting going on in various places. As far as the Vance-Owen process goes, obviously with the rejection of the revised Vance-Owen package for a peace settlement -- rejection by the Bosnian Serb parliament -- the U.N. sanctions resolution went into effect. That resolution will bring additional pressure to bear on the Bosnian Serbs and their backers in Serbia- Montenegro. We are considering further options. The European Community is as well. But we're continuing to work the peace process; and Ambassador Bartholomew has been in touch with Lord Owen, with U.N. officials, and with our allies regarding the peace process. Q Richard, there are a number of reports out of Belgrade in the last day or so expressing alleged disillusionment on the part of the Belgrade Government with the Bosnian Serbs and their actions. What level of credibility do you give to the split between Belgrade and the Bosnian Muslims -- or the Bosnian Serbs, rather? MR. BOUCHER: We've seen the reports, Barrie. Rather than offer some kind of analysis, I think you just have to say that the credibility is determined by events on the ground. We've always said it's within the power of the Serbian Government to pull the plug, to make the fighting end, to use their influence to make the fighting end, and to end their support for the fighting that's going on inside Bosnia. Until we see that kind of effect, I think it's hard to do any analysis or draw any conclusions. Q Just related to pulling the plug, do we have evidence that there are still supplies flowing from Serbia into Bosnia across the Drina River bridges? MR. BOUCHER: I don't think I've been able to get into that level of detail, as far as specific bridges, in the past; but we continue to believe that they provide supplies and support for the Bosnian Serbs. Q Well, if you feel that way, can you -- I mean, this may not be the place to ask; maybe the White House is -- but if you feel that way, could you say whether one of the options under consideration is using force against Serbia as well as against Bosnian Serbs? The reason -- George Shultz, for instance, told several us the other day that indeed the United States should do something, it should do it all the way back to Serbia -- hit supply lines, hit ammunition depots, etc. Is that under consideration -- a broader military action than just in Bosnia? MR. BOUCHER: Barry, I'm not in a position to define the options any further than we have so far. Q Richard, doesn't one of the provisions of the latest sanctions call for stopping the passage of things over the borders of Bosnia-Herzegovina and Serbia and Serbian-controlled parts of the latter? I think that's called for in the sanctions. MR. BOUCHER: That's right. The new resolution requires that any shipments into any part of Bosnia that's controlled by the Serbs must be specifically authorized by the Bosnian Government in Sarajevo. It's obviously too early to determine the effect that those measures would have on the Bosnian Serbs. Q But what I'm saying is that if that's in -- if there are shipments in violation of that, doesn't the sanctions resolution call for action, necessary action, to stop that? MR. BOUCHER: Chris, I think you can look at the resolution yourself, and otherwise I'm not going to lead you any further in your speculation. Q But it's not speculation. These are supply lines which exist. The sanctions seem to say you can't use those supply lines, so what are you going to do about it if they do use the supply lines? MR. BOUCHER: Once again, Chris, it's not for me to define the options any further than they've been defined. Obviously we're looking at various options. The President and the Secretary have made that clear. Whatever it says in the sanctions resolution itself you can find as well as I can, but I don't want to lead you beyond that into speculation on what specific options might be under consideration. Q Richard, if you can, tell us the options. Can you clearly state the objective that all the options would be in support of? MR. BOUCHER: The President has clearly stated the objectives that he has considered to be the principal objective, the primary goals; and that's to stop the fighting and to bring about a negotiated solution. Q How, can I ask, does the view of the "Dirty Dozen," if you want to put it that way, or the "Dissident 12," get into the mix over at the White House? Could you tell us when the Secretary goes there and, you know, gives them the State Department view, as the President hears from Aspin and others at the Pentagon, can we be confident that the argument is made that those 12 folks and maybe others like them would make if they were there -- the reasons for strong action? MR. BOUCHER: Barry, I'm not going to get into what the Secretary says to the President or to the other principals in the course of these discussions, so I really can't try to answer your question for you about what he says. Clearly the Secretary, when he heard their views, saw their views in the letter, he wanted to hear them directly himself. He asked to meet with them. He met with them on Monday, talked to these people about their views; and he has a clear understanding of their views, both in writing and through his discussions with them. But how he factors that into the mix of his discussions with others, I have to leave to him. Q But the views are on a piece of paper, for instance. Would that piece of paper end up in the President's stack? MR. BOUCHER: I don't know. Q Richard, I'm wondering, when the policy was first unveiled on February 10 and since then, it has been stated repeatedly by Administration officials, including Secretary Christopher and the President, that the United States would get involved militarily on the ground only as part of a peacekeeping force, and that that would happen only if the parties reached agreement in good faith among them. Now you're talking about coercing one of the parties -- the Serbs -- into signing this accord. Does that affect the policy on U.S. involvement? Is the U.S. still prepared to get involved in a peacekeeping force if the Serbs have been dragged or bombed to the table? MR. BOUCHER: Mary, at this point that would be speculative on my part as well to try to deal with that. I think we've made clear -- the Secretary has made clear in recent days; the President has as well -- that various options are being considered and that they're looking at options that might previously have been considered unacceptable. At the same time, they've made clear that, apart from the use of U.S. forces to help implement a viable agreement, one that the parties can accept and can live with, they're not contemplating the use of ground forces. Q But, Richard, at this point would you concede that the Serbs have said that they don't find the Vance-Owen plan viable or one they can agree to live with? MR. BOUCHER: Yes. They've rejected it, basically, even in its revised form. Q So doesn't that mean that the U.S. can't get involved in a peacekeeping force if Vance-Owen is eventually imposed? MR. BOUCHER: People can always change their minds. Q Richard, does the United States still take the position that it would not impose a settlement on any of the parties? MR. BOUCHER: Again, Mark, I think I just said that the one thing that the President and Secretary have said is not being contemplated right now, among all the options that they're looking at, is the use of U.S. ground forces or U.S. military -- U.S. ground forces to impose a settlement outside of a -- you know, implementing an agreement. Q But that was the context in which President Clinton said he did not want to impose a settlement on any of the parties. It now seems clear that the United States wants to impose a settlement on the Serbs. MR. BOUCHER: It now seems clear that the U.S. has continued to bring pressure on the Serbs so that they can understand that it's very much in their interests to reach a negotiated settlement to this conflict. Q But not necessarily the formula that's on the table? MR. BOUCHER: Once again, the Secretary has stressed that numerous times -- Q Indeed, he has, yes, but has he changed his mind? MR. BOUCHER: -- to say that we were not imposing a specific formula. We were trying to make it in their interests, make them understand that it was in their interest to enter in good faith into a negotiation or reach a solution. Q That goes back to Vancouver time. I just wondered if it still stood. It's been three weeks. MR. BOUCHER: Well, it was much before that as well. Q Richard, there are those who suggest that perhaps the difficulties arise from the fact that the objective is limited and may be more dangerous than something more fundamental. That is, the objective, as you stated it, is to stop the fighting and bring about a negotiated solution a la Vance-Owen or any other acceptable solution. There are others, though, who suggest that the more fundamental objective might be to roll back -- stop Serbian aggression -- stop it and roll back Serbian aggression. Because, as the Administration has said, aggression should not be rewarded. Is that among the objectives being considered in this debate that's going on in the Administration, as far as you know? Or is the objective pretty well set? That is, to stop the fighting -- that is, a limited one -- to stop the fighting and get them to the peace table? MR. BOUCHER: Saul, I'm not sure there's such a stark contrast between the things that you say. But rather than going into any further analysis of the options at this point, I will stick to the principal position I've taken, that I'm not in a position to define the options any further for you at this point. Q I was going to ask you about -- if I could switch the subject -- this Iraqi statement yesterday about war crimes, which came sort of -- a little bit out of the blue. There was a report recently about Iraqi repression in Kuwait. As with the Serbs, when that idea surfaced, will there be some -- is there some follow-up documentation we're going to see? And/or I suppose you would give it to the U.N. -- evidently, it seems, as the statement was worded, that the U.S. will take the lead in making this proposal? MR. BOUCHER: Yes. We've begun consultations with our coalition allies at the United Nations on our proposal to establish a war crimes commission to investigate crimes -- crimes against humanity, war crimes and genocide in Iraq in the war there. We transmitted our report on Iraqi war crimes to the United Nations on March 19. We're consulting with allies up there. Obviously, all along we've been very concerned about the human rights situation in Iraq. We've been strong supporters of the efforts that have been made the U.N. rapporteur Max Van der Stoel and the reports that he's done and his proposals to put human rights monitors in Iraq. We've strongly supported the U.N. resolutions that call on Iraq to cease the repression of its own people. And with this body of evidence, the body of information that's been gathered and now submitted to the United Nations on March 19, we think it's appropriate to go ahead and establish a war crimes commission to investigate these crimes. Q Richard, speaking of war crimes, do you now know more about an alleged attempt by Iraqi agents to assassinate the former President? MR. BOUCHER: Not a lot more, John. At this point, we still only have preliminary reports on the investigation in Kuwait into an alleged assassination plot against former President George Bush. It is an extremely serious matter and one that we think needs to be investigated thoroughly. The Kuwaitis are doing that. We're in touch with the Kuwaiti authorities, and we're evaluating the information they've provided thus far. Q Are we taking part in the investigation? MR. BOUCHER: Our Embassy is in close contact with the Kuwaitis. I'm not sure I should say formally that they're taking part. Q Richard, how much credibility do you give to this allegation that it was an attempt against Bush? MR. BOUCHER: At this point, I can't really give you an assessment. As I said, we only have preliminary information and we're evaluating that. Q Richard, just to go back to Bosnia for a minute. President Yeltsin's statements yesterday, the Secretary welcomed them. Do you see it as Yeltsin giving a green light to the West to take military action against the Serbs, if necessary? MR. BOUCHER: I'll leave it to the Russians to explain their own statement in that regard, Mary. I think they've already dealt with those questions themselves. But the way that we see it is distinctly the way the Secretary said yesterday. He made very clear that the Russian view -- that President Yeltsin's view -- was that the Serbs, if they continue thwart the peace process, could not expect to get the support of Russia. Q I also had another one on Bosnia. The Secretary's testimony yesterday -- specifically, the four barometers that he laid out for action -- had he discussed those with Secretary Aspin, for instance? MR. BOUCHER: I don't know in particular, Johanna. He has -- Q Whether he was speaking for himself, whether this is a White House view, a Pentagon view, a State Department view, or none of the -- I mean, is he just speaking for himself in outlining those four criteria -- MR. BOUCHER: Johanna, he and others have talked about these kinds of criteria before. I think the Secretary has made very clear that any new options at this point need to be very, very carefully considered. He said that to you all about a week ago. In addition, he laid out yesterday some of the key factors in examining any possible military actions. So he's made clear that any possible military action is something that needs to be very carefully looked at, and gave you the criteria by which he'd have to judge it. Q Does the President share the view that those are the four criteria by which the President will judge any -- MR. BOUCHER: That's a question you'd have to ask the President. Q Well, let me turn that question around. Is that U.S. policy? Is the Secretary's statement a personal reflection or U.S. policy? MR. BOUCHER: Carol, I guess my answer is I don't quite understand the question. U.S. policy is a particular policy on things that happen elsewhere in the world. What he's describing is the thinking process, it's the criteria by which he evaluates any potential military actions. Whether those are the same thoughts and criteria in other's minds in the Administration, I can't speak for the whole Administration on that because I'm just here at the State Department. Q Richard, perhaps I can help. Four of those -- I mean, those four were among seven sort of criteria laid out by Cap Weinberger during the Reagan Administration and then by (General) Powell during the Bush Administration -- MR. BOUCHER: And I think by the Secretary at his confirmation hearing as well. Q -- and I wonder whether this is now -- and that was the policy of both those Administrations. They included -- the others were the use of overwhelming military force and victory. I'm just wondering, therefore, what the Secretary has done is simply adopt what had been and has been the policy of the Bush and Reagan Administration's on the use of force? That's what it seems. MR. BOUCHER: Once again, Saul, the Secretary described yesterday the factors, the issues, the policy point of view that he takes in order to approach these questions. These are, as I said, questions of military action that have been discussed by many others before. If you want to do a poll of everybody in the Administration, you can go ahead and do that, but I'm just constrained. Q Were the Secretary's remarks yesterday vetted at the White House before he issued them? MR. BOUCHER: I don't know, Johanna. Q Maybe "policy" is the wrong word, because the policy is under review. Can I try "standards?" Will these be the standards for any -- will these be the standards that will govern any new strategy the U.S. might adopt? MR. BOUCHER: Again, Barry, the Secretary told you very clearly yesterday, these are the standards by which he judges military action proposals. Q Maybe he means it universally, because I think he's said this before. Q By which "he" judges military. You said that three times now, Richard. MR. BOUCHER: I'm not trying to send any big signal. I personally don't know who he talked to before he discussed these things on the Hill. There are things that he has discussed before. There are things which U.S. policymakers in various positions have been discussed before. I'm just standing here at the State Department not in a position to speak for everybody else in the Administration. First of all, because I don't know that these are, indeed, standards that they have used inside their meetings or something to evaluate each option. And I don't know that I can speak for everybody else. But standing here at the State Department, these are clearly the things that the Secretary has laid out as the key standards and factors in his mind to evaluate military action. Q Richard, this is not a strange or off-the-wall kind of question to be asking you. And I guess what we're sort of left with, will you go back and come back and let us know whether this is an Administration statement of policy? MR. BOUCHER: I'm sort of left with saying that if you want to know what the President thinks, you ought to ask over at the White House. Q No, I'm asking what the Administration -- Q Richard, can't you take the question of what the U.S. policy is? I mean, that's hardly a bizarre thing for us to be asking. MR. BOUCHER: Mary, I'll see if there's any more I can do to apply these standards universally in the Administration. Q Richard, is there any of those questions that the Secretary would answer positively in connection with Bosnia? MR. BOUCHER: Mark, at this point, we are prepared to give you the questions. We're not prepared to give you the answers yet. Those will be discussed inside the Administration. Q How did the meeting with Elie Wiesel come about? And can you tell us anything about how Secretary Christopher received him and his views on Bosnia? MR. BOUCHER: At this point, no, I don't have a readout of the meeting. I'll try to get you one. Elie Wiesel was here talking to the Open Forum today. Q Whose open -- MR. BOUCHER: The forum open to employees for a private and confidential discussion of issues that are of concern to them. He was invited by the Secretary's Open Forum to come and speak. Whether that coincided with another meeting that they were going to have or whether the Secretary took advantage of his presence to talk to him, I don't know. But, in any case, Elie Wiesel was here today and met with the Secretary, and we'll try to get you a readout later. Q A couple of quickies on the Middle East. Do you know -- I mean, does the State Department know whether this round is a two-week round or it could go longer? Maybe even be sort of a continuum? MR. BOUCHER: First, on that, no, I don't have any information on that at this point. Q Are the parties being sounded out? MR. BOUCHER: We were discussing the issue of continuous, or more or less continuous negotiations with the parties. At this point, I don't have any views back yet. Obviously, our position has been that we think that the more they stay in touch, the more they stay in negotiations, the better. Q And the Secretary -- excuse me -- what he said was an unprecedented session, which it was, as far as I know, yesterday. MR. BOUCHER: A very good session. Q Will he -- can you look down the road and tell us if he's going to play an active role like that? MR. BOUCHER: Well, certainly the United States will play an active role. The Secretary has already played an active role in getting this round back together and -- through his trips and through his other conversations and preparing as best we can to help the parties make substantive progress. The President's decision was that we should be a full partner and play an active role in the negotiations. The Secretary has been carrying that out. Ed Djerejian and his peace team will have frequent and I think pretty much constant contacts, an active schedule of meetings with the parties and that will continue. The meeting yesterday, as the Secretary said, was a good one. The Secretary and the Russian co-sponsor took the opportunity yesterday to welcome the parties as the talks resumed. The Secretary noted the talks were at a critical period. There's an opportunity to make real progress towards the shared goal of a peaceful resolution of the Arab-Israeli dispute. He called on all the parties to focus on the substance of the negotiations, to avoid procedural wrangling, to work to shape the environment on the ground and at the table which would be conducive to rapid progress. The parties all expressed their gratitude for the efforts that Secretary Christopher has made to assure the resumption of the talks. Q Richard, do you have any reaction to the package of proposals that the Israelis laid out at yesterday's session? MR. BOUCHER: No, I don't. As you know, our policy has been and will continue to be to be very active behind the scenes in our contacts with the parties but not to get into the practice of commenting on a daily basis on the status of their discussions and the ideas that they put forward. Q Since the United States is active and trying to get these proposals formulated and presented to the Palestinians, doesn't it behoove you to somehow endorse them or say something about them? MR. BOUCHER: It behooves us to talk to the parties in private and to try to help them achieve what progress they're prepared to make in these talks. We don't think it behooves us any more this time than it has in past rounds to start commenting on the proposals put forward by the different parties to a negotiation. Q How about commenting on, after only one day, not so veiled threats by the Palestinians to walk out again? They're terribly frustrated. They accuse Israel of increasing repression, blah, blah, blah, and they're raising the prospect now of leaving if they don't hear something new, as they put it. That could be procedural wrangling, I suppose. But having worked so hard to get the folks here, does the U.S. have a view whether they should keep going or what? MR. BOUCHER: Barry, I think we've frequently expressed our view of the importance of the talks and the need to continue them, our desire to see them continue discussions and have useful discussions to move forward. But, again, there are going to be a lot of statements made by different statements made by different parties to these negotiations during the course of the talks, and we're going to avoid trying to comment on each and every one of them. Q Forgive me if someone's already asked this, but the Secretary, before the talks began, said it was his personal view that it would be good if they just ran continuously instead of breaking every few weeks. Is there any agreement yet on how long this round will be? MR. BOUCHER: Didn't I just answer that question? Q I'm sorry. MR. BOUCHER: I said we thought that was a good idea, but I didn't have responses at this point. Saul. Q Just as a matter of logistics, how do you know from day to day that it's going well or not going well? Does somebody in there report to somebody specific in one of the -- among the -- or do you just call people on the telephone, "How is it going?" How is that done? MR. BOUCHER: We talk to the parties in meetings, in telephone calls, and in a lot of different ways. We have people that are in close touch with the parties. Ed Djerejian and his peace team which is, indeed, a fairly large group of people that help facilitate these talks and keep in close touch with the parties. Through our contacts with the parties and what they want to tell us, we have a pretty good idea of what's going on. Q These people get a daily readout from the people in the meetings? MR. BOUCHER: I don't want to make it sound like we call them all together and debrief every afternoon, but we do have frequent contacts with the parties and we keep in touch with them. We want to play an active role. We're going to be a full partner, as you know -- Q And an honest broker? MR. BOUCHER: -- a catalyst and an honest broker. Q And not a potted plant, as Dennis Ross used to say. MR. BOUCHER: We'll reserve that for some later date, Mary. Q Could we have a filing break for that? Q How about just a break, period. Q Thank you. (Press briefing concluded at 1:15 p.m.) (###)